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Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, Ferencváros host Viktoria Plzeň. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.66: 9 of 16 models chose it.
- Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
- Europa League, matchday 2 of 8
- +12°, clear
- Groupama Aréna, Budapest
published UTC
AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.66AI models' pick · 9 of 16 for this bet, 7 for others
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days a Viktoria Plzeň win shortened from 3.61 to 3.57 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Over 2.5: 1.66 → 1.67 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Over 2.5 1.66 → 1.67, Under 2.5 2.20 → 2.21.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 · our bet | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67+0.01 | 2.21+0.01 | |
| We published over 2.5 goals at 1.66 | ||
| 1.66opened | 2.20opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. 4 more went for a Ferencváros win. The other 3 chose other bets: both teams to score and double chance.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 12.10 at 08:42 UTC
Ferencváros have put away 17 goals in six matches this season with their current squad, conceding only five. Last season's home numbers tell the same story: over 2.5 goals landed in 88% of their games in Budapest, and both teams scored in most of them. Viktoria Plzeň were shipping close to two a game on their travels, and in the new season they have nine goals scored and eight conceded. The market rates over 2.5 goals at 57%, and at a price of 1.66 that squares with how much both sides shoot and how high they play. Our pick is over 2.5 goals.
Where we could be wrong
The previous meetings point the other way: September 2025 in the Europa League finished 1-1, in February of the same year Ferencváros won 1-0, and a friendly in January 2023 ended 0-0. Plzeň's away averages rest on only four matches, and in Europe the Czechs know how to sit deeper and slow the game down.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Injuries and suspensions
Ferencvárosno absences listed
Viktoria Plzeňno absences listed
managers: B. Borbely · Radoslav Kovac
Recent matches
Ferencváros| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Debreceni VSCNB I | H | 1:1xG 1.6–1.6 | D |
| 20.09 | NyiregyhazaNB I | A | 1:1 | D |
| 17.09 | Celtic | A | 3:1 | W |
| 12.09 | DEACMagyar Kupa | A | 7:0 | W |
| 06.09 | UjpestNB I | H | 2:2 | D |
| 03.09 | Gyori ETO FCNB I | A | 3:0 | W |
Viktoria Plzeň| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Mlada BoleslavCzech First League | H | 3:0xG 2.8–1.6 | W |
| 20.09 | Slavia PragueCzech First League | A | 1:2xG 0.8–1.9 | L |
| 17.09 | Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0:3 | L |
| 13.09 | Sigma OlomoucCzech First League | H | 2:3 | L |
| 09.09 | Hradec KrálovéCzech First League | A | 0:0 | D |
| 05.09 | ArtisCzech First League | A | 3:0xG 1.7–0.4 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
1–2–2Ferencváros wins · draws · Viktoria Plzeň wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň | 1:1 | 25.09.25 | |
| Viktoria Plzeň vs Ferencváros | 3:0 | 20.02.25 | |
| Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň | 1:0 | 13.02.25 | |
| Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň | 1:3 | 25.01.24 | club friendly |
| Viktoria Plzeň vs Ferencváros | 0:0 | 16.01.23 | club friendly |
- both scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 5
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 1-0-0 | 3–0 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Ferencváros | 1 | 1-0-0 | 3–1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–0 | 3 | W |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0-0-1 | 1–4 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 0-0-1 | 0–4 | 0 | L |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
