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22 Oct

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht: AI prediction and betting pick

On 22 October, Jagiellonia Białystok host Anderlecht. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.59: 7 of 15 models chose it.

published UTC

Jagiellonia Białystok
Anderlecht

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.59

AI models' pick · 7 of 15 for this bet, 8 for others

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

likely score

1:111%odds 6.30

2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 18.10 03:20

result12.94X3.5222.31
total 2.5O1.75U2.07
both to scoreyes1.59 — matches our betno2.25
double chance1X1.59121.30X21.41
handicapH1 +11.26H2 −13.52

Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.59 → 1.59 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Yes 1.59 → 1.59, No 2.25 → 2.25.

Yes1.59 → 1.59our betNo2.25 → 2.25
1.601.802.002.2017 Oct18 OctWe published · 1.59No 2.25Yes 1.59

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
We published both teams score at 1.59
1.59opened2.25opened
15 snapshots · the prices have not changed

The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 6 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and an Anderlecht win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 20:50 UTC

Jagiellonia Białystok have scored six and conceded nine in four competitive matches this season, with 1.86 xG against, so a clean sheet for the visitors looks a rare story. Their home games in Białystok followed an open script last season too: both teams scored in 71% of them. Anderlecht look tidier going forward, with seven goals in five matches, plenty of possession and 5.6 shots on target per game, and the market leans the same way — our pick is both teams to score at 1.59.

Where we could be wrong

The visitors can also shut up shop, though. They have kept three clean sheets already this season, and on the road last season Anderlecht were the ones left without a goal in 35% of their matches. If they turn up to control the ball and wait, Jagiellonia and their 3.8 shots on target may not find the moment.

  • 7 of 15 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Jagiellonia Białystok
Recent matches: Jagiellonia Białystok
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15.10Ararat-ArmeniaH3:1xG 2.1–1.0W
10.10Górnik ZabrzeEkstraklasaH1:3xG 0.6–2.1L
03.10Polonia Warszawaclub friendlyH1:2L
29.09Suduva Marijampoleclub friendlyH5:0W
20.09Legia WarsawEkstraklasaH1:3xG 2.3–1.8L
16.09OlympiacosA1:2xG 0.5–2.5L
Anderlecht
Recent matches: Anderlecht
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15.10Dinamo ZagrebA0:1xG 1.1–2.1L
10.10Cercle BruggeBelgian Pro LeagueA2:1xG 0.8–0.7W
02.10Reimsclub friendlyH3:0W
19.09Zulte WaregemBelgian Pro LeagueH3:0xG 2.6–1.0W
16.09LyonH1:2xG 1.4–1.3L
11.09KV MechelenBelgian Pro LeagueA1:0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

League table

League standings: Europa League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
16Milan21-0-14–23LW
17Jagiellonia Białystok21-0-14–33LW
18OFI Crete21-0-13–23WL
28Celta Vigo20-0-21–30LL
29Anderlecht20-0-21–30LL
30Hoffenheim20-0-22–50LL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Jagiellonia Białystok
  • 0-1522
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4542
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7521
  • 76-9011
Anderlecht
  • 0-1523
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6040
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9023

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Europa League fixtures
19:00Bournemouth–MilanOur pick:DNB 11.635 of 13 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.21X 3.532 3.0919:00Hoffenheim–LyonOur pick:X21.816 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.97X 3.892 3.4219:00Celtic–Celta VigoOur pick:BTTS1.635 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.93X 3.452 2.34