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Rennes vs OFI Crete: AI prediction and betting pick
On 15 October, Rennes host OFI Crete. The AI models' pick is Rennes −1.5 handicap at 1.75: 9 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.
- Referee: Andrea Colombo
- Europa League, matchday 2 of 8
- +19°, clear
- Roazhon Park, Rennes
published UTC
AI models' pick: Rennes −1.5 handicap
1.75Now 1.70 · 1.75 when published
AI models' pick · 9 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
2:0 10%4:0 9%3:1 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 4 days an OFI Crete win drifted from 10.08 to 10.78 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Rennes −1.5: 1.75 → 1.70 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (Rennes −1.5 handicap) has shortened from 1.75 to 1.70: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Rennes −1.5 · our bet | OFI Crete +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.15+0.01 | |
| 1.70−0.05 | 2.14+0.07 | |
| We published Rennes −1.5 handicap at 1.75 | ||
| 1.75+0.01 | 2.07−0.01 | |
| 1.74−0.01 | 2.08+0.01 | |
| 1.75opened | 2.07opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Rennes −1.5. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Rennes win and Rennes −1. 2 more each for over 2.5 goals and for both teams to score. One more went for over 3.5 goals.
- 9 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 1.75ChatGPT
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistralXiaomi MiMo - 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.52DeepSeekNemotron Ultra
- 2 of 16BTTSodds 1.96Claude
Dots3-Note - 1 of 161same directionodds 1.26Nemotron Super
- 1 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.36
Sonar - 1 of 16O 3.5odds 2.35MiniMax
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 12.10 at 08:42 UTC
The −1.5 handicap asks Rennes to win by two or more goals, and their own defence does not make that simple. At home they keep a clean sheet in only 24% of matches, and across the first five games of the season they have scored 7 while conceding 6. The opposition helps, though: OFI Crete ship 2.5 goals a game on the road, and the early-season numbers have the Greeks second best in every department — 9.6 shots against 18.8, 3.2 on target against 6.2. A straight home win is priced at 1.26, which on its own brings almost nothing, so we're backing the Rennes −1.5 handicap at 1.75 as the logical way to take the favourite.
Where we could be wrong
The risk sits at the other end. OFI have found the net in 63% of their away games, and a single goal in reply would leave Rennes needing three. The opening matches also show the hosts behind on xG, 1.99 against 2.45, and with Europa League football in the schedule there is room for rotation in midweek.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Rennesno absences listed
OFI Creteno absences listed
managers: F. Haise · C. Kontis
Recent matches
Rennes| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | AuxerreLigue 1 | H | 4:1xG 2.6–1.8 | W |
| 02.10 | Lavalclub friendly | A | 0:1 | L |
| 19.09 | LyonLigue 1 | A | 0:4xG 1.4–3.1 | L |
| 16.09 | Sturm Graz | A | 0:0 | D |
| 11.09 | MarseilleLigue 1 | H | 1:0 | W |
| 06.09 | AngersLigue 1 | A | 2:1 | W |
OFI Crete| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | AEK AthensGreek Super League | A | 0:3xG 0.2–1.7 | L |
| 20.09 | Asteras TripolisGreek Super League | H | 2:2xG 0.9–0.7 | D |
| 17.09 | Hoffenheim | H | 2:0 | W |
| 12.09 | OlympiacosGreek Super League | A | 1:0 | W |
| 09.09 | Nestos ChrisoupolisGreek Cup | H | 3:0 | W |
| 06.09 | KifisiaGreek Super League | H | 2:0xG 0.7–1.1 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–0 | 3 | W |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–0 | 3 | W |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1-0-0 | 2–1 | 3 | W |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0–0 | 1 | D |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
