22 Oct
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Union Saint-Gilloise host Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The AI models' pick is Union Saint-Gilloise to win at 1.34: 13 of 15 models chose it.
- Europa League, matchday 3 of 8
- +10°, drizzle, wind 15 km/h
- Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
published UTC
AI models' pick: Union Saint-Gilloise to win
1.34AI models' pick · 13 of 15 for this bet, 2 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
3:0 11%1:0 10%2:1 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Union Saint-Gilloise: 1.34 → 1.34 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Union Saint-Gilloise 1.34 → 1.34, Draw 5.24 → 5.24, Hapoel Be'er Sheva 8.28 → 8.28.
Price changes
| When | Union Saint-Gilloise · our bet | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published a Union Saint-Gilloise win at 1.34 | |||
| 1.34opened | 5.24opened | 8.28opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Union Saint-Gilloise win. The other 2 chose a bet each: both teams to score and 'both to score — no'.
- 13 of 151our betodds 1.34ChatGPTDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistral
Sonar
Dots3-NoteNemotron Super - 1 of 15BTTSodds 1.76Xiaomi MiMo
- 1 of 15BTTS noodds 1.96Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 20:50 UTC
Union Saint-Gilloise have scored 15 goals and conceded four since the start of the season, alternating between the Europa League and the Belgian league, while Hapoel Be'er Sheva have seven scored and six conceded over the same stretch. The gap in chance creation is even wider: the Israeli side average 1.48 expected goals a game and allow 2.3, and they manage 3.8 shots on target against 8.3 for the Belgians. After two rounds Union have four points and sit 12th, the visitors have one point and sit 24th. The odds have not moved for a day, keeping the hosts at 71%.
Where we could be wrong
Hapoel can take care of the ball, though, with 56.3% possession, and last season both teams scored in half of their away matches, so a one-sided hammering is far from guaranteed. Drizzle and wind in Leuven make quick passing football harder, and Union are back in Europa League action in a few days, so changes to the starting line-up cannot be ruled out.
Even so, we're backing Union Saint-Gilloise to win at odds of 1.34.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Union Saint-Gilloise| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Real Sociedad | H | 1:1xG 1.9–0.8 | D |
| 11.10 | OH LeuvenBelgian Pro League | H | 1:1xG 1.3–1.3 | D |
| 20.09 | AntwerpBelgian Pro League | A | 2:0xG 3.3–0.4 | W |
| 17.09 | Viktoria Plzeň | A | 3:0 | W |
| 12.09 | Lommel UnitedBelgian Pro League | H | 5:0 | W |
| 05.09 | CharleroiBelgian Pro League | A | 3:2xG 1.2–2.2 | W |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | AZ Alkmaar | A | 1:2xG 1.1–2.8 | L |
| 10.10 | Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al | A | 2:0xG 1.9–1.9 | W |
| 19.09 | Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al | H | 1:0 | W |
| 16.09 | Dinamo Zagreb | H | 0:0 | D |
| 13.09 | Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al | A | 2:0 | W |
| 07.09 | Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al | H | 1:4 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5–2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4–1 | 4 | WD |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1-1-0 | 2–1 | 4 | DW |
| 24 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1–2 | 1 | LD |
| 25 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1–2 | 1 | DL |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0-1-1 | 0–3 | 1 | DL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
