22 Oct
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia: AI prediction and betting pick
On 22 October, Viktoria Plzeň host Levski Sofia. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.66: 10 of 16 models chose it.
- Europa League, matchday 3 of 8
- +6°, clear
- Doosan Aréna, Pilsen
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.66AI models' pick · 10 of 16 for this bet, 6 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 9%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.66 → 1.66 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.66 → 1.66, No 2.13 → 2.13.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| We published both teams score at 1.66 | ||
| 1.66opened | 2.13opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more each for Levski Sofia +1 and for a Viktoria Plzeň win.
- 10 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.66ChatGPTClaude
Gemini
GrokQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.66DeepSeekMiniMax
Dots3-Note - 3 of 161odds 1.70Kimi
SonarNemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 20:50 UTC
Plzeň's home matches almost never pass without goals at both ends: both teams have scored in 83% of them, and the Czech side only rarely keeps a clean sheet. In the new season Viktoria have scored seven and conceded 10 in six official matches, so the defence is leaking even with a reworked squad. Levski Sofia have found the net in the majority of their away games, and the market rates the chance of both teams scoring at 56% — that is where the bookmakers lean as well.
Where we could be wrong
The counter-argument is the visitors' attack on the road, which looks cool at best: 1.5 shots on target per game this season and one in five away matches without a goal. The Bulgarians spend plenty of time on the ball but rarely turn it into finishes, and if the hosts open the scoring and pin them back, the goals could all come at one end.
Even so, our pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.66.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Viktoria Plzeň| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | Ferencváros | A | 1:2xG 2.0–2.4 | L |
| 10.10 | Mlada BoleslavCzech First League | H | 3:0xG 2.8–1.6 | W |
| 20.09 | Slavia PragueCzech First League | A | 1:2xG 0.8–1.9 | L |
| 17.09 | Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0:3 | L |
| 13.09 | Sigma OlomoucCzech First League | H | 2:3 | L |
| 09.09 | Hradec KrálovéCzech First League | A | 0:0 | D |
Levski Sofia| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | NEC | A | 1:1xG 1.4–2.1 | D |
| 11.10 | Cherno More VarnaBulgarian First League | A | 2:0 | W |
| 20.09 | LudogoretsBulgarian First League | H | — | |
| 17.09 | Salzburg | H | 0:1 | L |
| 13.09 | Botev VratsaBulgarian First League | A | 0:0 | D |
| 09.09 | CSKA SofiaSuper Cup | H | 2:4 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lillestrøm | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2–3 | 1 | LD |
| 24 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1–2 | 1 | LD |
| 25 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1–2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2–5 | 0 | LL |
| 31 | Viktoria Plzeň | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1–5 | 0 | LL |
| 32 | Marseille | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1–5 | 0 | LL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
