24 Oct19:00 UTC

Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña: AI prediction and betting pick

On 24 October, Atlético Madrid host Deportivo La Coruña. The AI models' pick is Atlético Madrid −1.5 handicap at 1.69: 16 of 16 models chose it.

LaLiga, matchday 10 of 38
+16°, overcast
Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid

published 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

AI models' pick: Atlético Madrid −1.5 handicap

1.69

AI models' pick · 16 of 16 for this bet

Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results

Why this bet All odds

likely score

2:011%odds 6.33

1:1 10%1:0 9%2:1 9%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 18.10 15:30

result11.24X6.11212.05

total 3.5O2.31U1.62

both to scoreyes2.03no1.71

double chance1X1.04121.13X24.12

handicapH1 −22.11H2 +21.68

abbreviations

1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
O/U — over/under total goals
H1/H2 — home/away handicap
1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw

There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.

The largest group of AI models went for Atlético Madrid −1.5. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Atlético Madrid −1.

15 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 1.69ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashGLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra
1 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.31Sonar

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

The last three meetings between these sides were all settled by a single goal, and in January Atlético Madrid won 1-0 in La Coruña in the Copa del Rey — a scoreline like that would see the handicap bet go down. This Atlético look a different side, though: five straight wins with 12 scored and two conceded, 2.5 goals a game at home against 0.8 conceded, three wins and a draw from four home matches. Deportivo La Coruña concede 1.8 a game on the road, have yet to keep a clean sheet this season and trail by 11 points in the table. Across 10 previous meetings the visitors have not won once, with seven defeats and three draws, and the market rates the hosts at 77%.

Where we could be wrong

The risk is obvious enough. Deportivo have scored in all four of their away games, while Atlético have kept a clean sheet in only half of their home matches — concede once and the hosts need three goals. The Champions League schedule is another concern, with Simeone in a position to rest part of his first choice. Even so, our pick is the Atlético Madrid −1.5 handicap at 1.69.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published 19 October 2026 · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches
Season averages
Head to head
League table
Goals by minute

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first

Atlético Madrid

Recent matches: Atlético Madrid
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
17.10	Espanyol	A	1:0xG 1.4–0.6	W
13.10	Manchester UnitedChampions League	H	2:0xG 1.5–1.0	W
10.10	Deportivo Alavés	A	2:1xG 2.0–1.3	W
20.09	Real Madrid	H	2:1xG 2.4–0.3	W
16.09	Osasuna	H	4:0	W
13.09	Real Sociedad	A	3:0	W

Deportivo La Coruña

Recent matches: Deportivo La Coruña
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
16.10	Levante	H	1:1xG 1.1–0.8	D
11.10	Real Sociedad	A	2:3xG 2.1–1.4	L
02.10	Portoclub friendly	H	1:3	L
25.09	Penafielclub friendly	A	2:2	D
20.09	Real Betis	H	1:1xG 2.1–0.8	D
16.09	Sevilla	H	0:1	L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match

for / against			LaLiga
goals	2.3 / 1	1.5 / 1.4	1.5
xG	1.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.2	1.5
shots	17.6 / 9.5	11.5 / 12.8	13.4
shots on target	6.5 / 3.3	4.3 / 4.4	4.7
corners	5.6 / 2.6	5.5 / 5.5	4.9
fouls	12.5 / 11.8	12.5 / 12	12.4
yellow cards	1.9 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.9	2.1
matches over 2.5	88%	38%
both scored	50%	88%
clean sheets	38%	0%
failed to score	13%	13%
home / away
goals	2.5 / 0.8	1.8 / 1.8
average total	3.3	3.5
matches over 2.5	75%	50%
both scored	50%	100%

Atlético Madrid score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.5
Deportivo La Coruña shoot less often than the league average: 11.5 shots vs 13.4
Atlético Madrid: 5 league wins in a row
Deportivo La Coruña without a win in the last 5 league games
"home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Atlético Madrid, away games only for Deportivo La Coruña

Head to head

last 10

7–3–0Atlético Madrid wins · draws · Deportivo La Coruña wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
Match	Score	Date	Competition
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	0:1	13.01.26	Copa del Rey
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña	1:0	01.04.18
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	0:1	04.11.17
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	1:1	02.03.17
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña	1:0	25.09.16
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña	3:0	12.03.16
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	1:1	30.10.15
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	1:2	18.04.15
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña	2:0	30.11.14
Deportivo La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid	0:0	04.05.13

both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#	Team	P	W-D-L	GF–GA	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	9	9-0-0	39–9	27	WWWWW
2	Atlético Madrid	9	7-1-1	19–8	22	WWWWW
3	Real Betis	9	6-1-2	16–14	19	WWDWL
8	Celta Vigo	9	2-5-2	10–7	11	DDWDW
9	Deportivo La Coruña	9	2-5-2	13–12	11	DLDLD
10	Osasuna	9	3-2-4	10–18	11	LLDLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season