FINISHED
Levante vs Sevilla 3:3: result and odds
Levante vs Sevilla finished 3:3. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.78, and it won.
- Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega
- LaLiga, matchday 8 of 38
- +23°, clear
- Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.78AI models' pick · 10 of 16 for this bet, 6 for others
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 19 days a Levante win drifted from 2.57 to 2.73 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.78 → 1.84 since we published · Sevilla became the favourite in 1X2View
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.78 to 1.84: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84+0.01 | 1.90 | |
| 1.83+0.05 | 1.90−0.05 | |
| 1.78+0.01 | 1.95−0.01 | |
| 1.77+0.02 | 1.96−0.02 | |
| 1.75−0.02 | 1.98+0.01 | |
| 1.77−0.01 | 1.97 | |
| 27 Sep – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 13 days | ||
| We published both teams score at 1.78 | ||
| 1.78opened | 1.97opened | |
How the match went
- 13'
Robbie Ure0:1 - 39'
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla YC - 48'
Felix Correia YC - 54'
Felix Correia (Robbie Ure)0:2 - 55'
VAR check · Felix Correia - 56'
on Petar Ratkov, off Yanis Musuayi - 56'
on Thiago Cruz Fernandez, off Víctor García - 57'
Iván Romero (Roger Brugué)1:2 - 63'
Andrés Castrín YC - 66'
Luis García Plaza YC - 68'
on Alfonso González Martínez, off Miguel Sierra - 68'
on Isaac Romero, off Robbie Ure - 68'
on Daniel Requena Sánchez, off Oriol Rey - 72'
on Julio Diaz, off Felix Correia - 76'
Daniel Requena Sánchez YC - 84'
Alfonso González Martínez YC - 88'
on Jon Guridi, off Giorgi Kochorashvili - 90'
on Nacho Pérez Gómez, off Jeremy Toljan - 90'
on Paco Cortés, off Jon Ander Olasagasti - 90+2'
Isaac Romero YC - 90+2'
Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla2:2 - 90+5'
Isaac Romero (Youssouf Fofana)2:3 - 90+6'
Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez YC - 90+6'
Isaac Romero RC - 90+10'
Ifeanyi Ndukwe3:3
| Levante | stat | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | expected goals (xG) | 2.55 |
| 20 | shots | 18 |
| 8 | on target | 5 |
| 56% | possession | 44% |
| 5 | corners | 2 |
| 7 | fouls | 17 |
| 2 | saves | 5 |
| 2 | yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | red cards | 1 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 13M. Ryan6.3
- 23Manu Sánchez6.7
- 3IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe7.2
- 4Dela6.9
- 22J. Toljan5.8
- 7Brugui6.7
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti6.4
- 20Oriol Rey6.2
- 17Víctor García6.0
- 11Yanis Musuayi6.4
- 9Iván Romero8.1
- 14Jorge Cabello
- 27Paco Cortéson 90'0.0
- 1Pablo Cuñat
- 24T. Fernándezon 56'6.6
- 36I. Galdin
- 2A. Mandi
- 29Nacho Pérezon 90'0.0
- 10P. Ratkovon 56'6.5
- 6Requeon 68'5.6
- 16A. Tape
- 18E. Bardeli
- 1O. Vlachodimos6.8
- 17G. Suazo6.5
- 4Kike Salas7.2
- 5Andrés Castrín6.2
- 2Juan Iglesias6.2
- 6L. Agoumé6.6
- 8G. Kochorashvili6.7
- 20Félix Correia7.4
- 24Y. Fofana7.5
- 30Miguel Ángel6.0
- 9R. Ure — highest feed rating in the match8.9
- 22José Ángel Carmona
- 3Julio Díaz del Romoon 72'6.1
- 21C. Ejuke
- 10Peque Fernández
- 7Alfon Gonzálezon 68'6.3
- 13Fran González
- 18Jon Guridion 88'5.9
- 15Fábio Cardoso
- 16Isaacon 68'6.8
- 12A. Sangante
- 11R. Vargas
- 14Manu Bueno
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 4 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Sevilla win.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC
Levante are yet to keep a clean sheet at home: in two home matches both teams scored and each one went over 2.5 goals, an average of 6.5 per game with 3.5 scored and 3 conceded. Sevilla have found the net in all three of their away games, and in two of them the opponent replied. The prices barely separate the pair, 2.65 for the home win against 2.62 for the away win, and the chance of both teams scoring is rated at 52%. In a contest this even, one side shutting the door completely looks a rare outcome, and Levante, 17th with five points, cannot afford to sit deep in front of their own fans.
Where we could be wrong
The other side of the argument is Sevilla's away record: 0.7 goals conceded per game and a clean sheet in a third of their trips, so once they get an early goal the visitors know how to close a match down. The recent meetings nag too. Sevilla lost 0-3 at home in January, Levante added a 2-0 win of their own in April, and in both games one team failed to score. Even so, we're backing both teams to score at 1.78.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09 | Villarreal | A | 1:3 | L |
| 13.09 | Barcelona | H | 2:4 | L |
| 06.09 | Málaga | A | 0:0 | D |
| 29.08 | Real Betis | H | 5:2 | W |
| 24.08 | Osasuna | A | 0:0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Aston Villaclub friendly | H | 1:3 | L |
| 19.09 | Barcelona | H | 1:3 | L |
| 16.09 | Deportivo La Coruña | A | 1:0 | W |
| 11.09 | Valencia | H | 1:0 | W |
| 06.09 | Espanyol | A | 1:1 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | LaLiga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 |
| shots | 12 / 15.6 | 11.9 / 12.4 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 4.3 / 5.7 | 4.3 / 4.6 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3.3 / 5.3 | 3.1 / 3.8 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 9.6 / 12.1 | 14.8 / 13.4 | 12.4 |
| yellow cards | 1.1 / 2.3 | 3 / 1.9 | 2.1 |
| matches over 2.5 | 71% | 63% | |
| both scored | 57% | 75% | |
| clean sheets | 29% | 25% | |
| failed to score | 43% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 3.3 / 3 | 2 / 1.3 | |
| average total | 6.3 | 3.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| both scored | 100% | 75% | |
- Levante shoot less often than the league average: 12 shots vs 13.4
- Sevilla shoot less often than the league average: 11.9 shots vs 13.4
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Levante, away games only for Sevilla
Head to head
2–1–4Levante wins · draws · Sevilla wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante vs Sevilla | 2:0 | 23.04.26 | |
| Sevilla vs Levante | 0:3 | 04.01.26 | |
| Levante vs Sevilla | 2:3 | 21.04.22 | |
| Sevilla vs Levante | 5:3 | 24.10.21 | |
| Levante vs Sevilla | 0:1 | 21.04.21 | |
| Sevilla vs Levante | 1:0 | 01.10.20 | |
| Levante vs Sevilla | 1:1 | 15.06.20 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 7