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Levante vs Sevilla 3:3: result and odds

Levante vs Sevilla finished 3:3. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.78, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Levante
Sevilla

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.78

AI models' pick · 10 of 16 for this bet, 6 for others

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.78 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.

likely score

1:113%odds 5.80

2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 12.10 18:15

result12.73+0.16X3.17−0.0322.69−0.03
total 2.5O2.18+0.07U1.70−0.07
both to scoreyes1.84 — matches our bet+0.06no1.90−0.07
double chance1X1.45+0.01121.34X21.45−0.04
handicapH1 −14.81+0.43H2 +11.17−0.03

Over 19 days a Levante win drifted from 2.57 to 2.73 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.78 → 1.84 since we published · Sevilla became the favourite in 1X2View

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.78 to 1.84: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.78 → 1.84our betNo1.97 → 1.90
1.701.801.902.0013 daysno data24 Sep25 Sep26 Sep27 Sep10 Oct11 Oct12 OctWe published · 1.78No 1.90Yes 1.84

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.84+0.011.90
1.83+0.051.90−0.05
1.78+0.011.95−0.01
1.77+0.021.96−0.02
1.75−0.021.98+0.01
1.77−0.011.97
27 Sep – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 13 days
We published both teams score at 1.78
1.78opened1.97opened
86 snapshots · the prices changed 6 times

How the match went

half-time 0:1

match report · 12.10 22:00

  1. 13'SevillaRobbie Ure0:1
  2. 39'LevanteAdrián de la Fuente Barquilla YC
  3. 48'SevillaFelix Correia YC
  4. 54'SevillaFelix Correia (Robbie Ure)0:2
  5. 55'SevillaVAR check · Felix Correia
  6. 56'Levanteon Petar Ratkov, off Yanis Musuayi
  7. 56'Levanteon Thiago Cruz Fernandez, off Víctor García
  8. 57'LevanteIván Romero (Roger Brugué)1:2
  9. 63'SevillaAndrés Castrín YC
  10. 66'SevillaLuis García Plaza YC
  11. 68'Sevillaon Alfonso González Martínez, off Miguel Sierra
  12. 68'Sevillaon Isaac Romero, off Robbie Ure
  13. 68'Levanteon Daniel Requena Sánchez, off Oriol Rey
  14. 72'Sevillaon Julio Diaz, off Felix Correia
  15. 76'LevanteDaniel Requena Sánchez YC
  16. 84'SevillaAlfonso González Martínez YC
  17. 88'Sevillaon Jon Guridi, off Giorgi Kochorashvili
  18. 90'Levanteon Nacho Pérez Gómez, off Jeremy Toljan
  19. 90'Levanteon Paco Cortés, off Jon Ander Olasagasti
  20. 90+2'SevillaIsaac Romero YC
  21. 90+2'LevanteAdrián de la Fuente Barquilla2:2
  22. 90+5'SevillaIsaac Romero (Youssouf Fofana)2:3
  23. 90+6'SevillaJuan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez YC
  24. 90+6'SevillaIsaac Romero RC
  25. 90+10'LevanteIfeanyi Ndukwe3:3
Match stats: Levante vs Sevilla
LevantestatSevilla
2.00expected goals (xG)2.55
20shots18
8on target5
56%possession44%
5corners2
7fouls17
2saves5
2yellow cards4
0red cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Levante

formation 4-4-2 · manager Luís Castro

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13M. Ryan6.3
  • 23Manu Sánchez6.7
  • 3IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe7.2
  • 4Dela6.9
  • 22J. Toljan5.8
  • 7Brugui6.7
  • 8Jon Ander Olasagasti6.4
  • 20Oriol Rey6.2
  • 17Víctor García6.0
  • 11Yanis Musuayi6.4
  • 9Iván Romero8.1
substitutes
  • 14Jorge Cabello
  • 27Paco Cortéson 90'0.0
  • 1Pablo Cuñat
  • 24T. Fernándezon 56'6.6
  • 36I. Galdin
  • 2A. Mandi
  • 29Nacho Pérezon 90'0.0
  • 10P. Ratkovon 56'6.5
  • 6Requeon 68'5.6
  • 16A. Tape
  • 18E. Bardeli
Sevilla

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Luis García

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1O. Vlachodimos6.8
  • 17G. Suazo6.5
  • 4Kike Salas7.2
  • 5Andrés Castrín6.2
  • 2Juan Iglesias6.2
  • 6L. Agoumé6.6
  • 8G. Kochorashvili6.7
  • 20Félix Correia7.4
  • 24Y. Fofana7.5
  • 30Miguel Ángel6.0
  • 9R. Ure — highest feed rating in the match8.9
substitutes
  • 22José Ángel Carmona
  • 3Julio Díaz del Romoon 72'6.1
  • 21C. Ejuke
  • 10Peque Fernández
  • 7Alfon Gonzálezon 68'6.3
  • 13Fran González
  • 18Jon Guridion 88'5.9
  • 15Fábio Cardoso
  • 16Isaacon 68'6.8
  • 12A. Sangante
  • 11R. Vargas
  • 14Manu Bueno

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 4 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Sevilla win.

  • 10 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.78ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekQwenDeepSeek FlashGLMMiniMaxMistralDots3-NoteNemotron Ultrawon
  • 4 of 16O 2.5odds 2.11GeminiGrokKimiXiaomi MiMowon
  • 1 of 16X2odds 1.49Sonarwon
  • 1 of 162odds 2.62Nemotron Superlost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC

Levante are yet to keep a clean sheet at home: in two home matches both teams scored and each one went over 2.5 goals, an average of 6.5 per game with 3.5 scored and 3 conceded. Sevilla have found the net in all three of their away games, and in two of them the opponent replied. The prices barely separate the pair, 2.65 for the home win against 2.62 for the away win, and the chance of both teams scoring is rated at 52%. In a contest this even, one side shutting the door completely looks a rare outcome, and Levante, 17th with five points, cannot afford to sit deep in front of their own fans.

Where we could be wrong

The other side of the argument is Sevilla's away record: 0.7 goals conceded per game and a clean sheet in a third of their trips, so once they get an early goal the visitors know how to close a match down. The recent meetings nag too. Sevilla lost 0-3 at home in January, Levante added a 2-0 win of their own in April, and in both games one team failed to score. Even so, we're backing both teams to score at 1.78.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Levante
Recent matches: Levante
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20.09VillarrealA1:3L
13.09BarcelonaH2:4L
06.09MálagaA0:0D
29.08Real BetisH5:2W
24.08OsasunaA0:0D
Sevilla
Recent matches: Sevilla
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Aston Villaclub friendlyH1:3L
19.09BarcelonaH1:3L
16.09Deportivo La CoruñaA1:0W
11.09ValenciaH1:0W
06.09EspanyolA1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLevanteSevillaLaLiga
goals1.6 / 2.11.6 / 1.51.5
xG1.4 / 2.21.1 / 1.31.5
shots12 / 15.611.9 / 12.413.4
shots on target4.3 / 5.74.3 / 4.64.7
corners3.3 / 5.33.1 / 3.84.9
fouls9.6 / 12.114.8 / 13.412.4
yellow cards1.1 / 2.33 / 1.92.1
matches over 2.571%63%
both scored57%75%
clean sheets29%25%
failed to score43%0%
home / away
goals3.3 / 32 / 1.3
average total6.33.3
matches over 2.5100%50%
both scored100%75%

Head to head

last 7

2–1–4Levante wins · draws · Sevilla wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Levante vs Sevilla2:023.04.26
Sevilla vs Levante0:304.01.26
Levante vs Sevilla2:321.04.22
Sevilla vs Levante5:324.10.21
Levante vs Sevilla0:121.04.21
Sevilla vs Levante1:001.10.20
Levante vs Sevilla1:115.06.20

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
2:2Racing Santander–ValenciaOur pick:O 2.5prediction won7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.24X 3.502 3.155:2Real Betis–OsasunaOur pick:1prediction won5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction1 1.50X 4.522 6.323:2Real Sociedad–Deportivo La CoruñaOur pick:BTTSprediction won8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.73X 3.872 4.73