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data updated 14.10 03:20

FINISHED

Racing Santander vs Valencia 2:2: result and odds

Racing Santander vs Valencia finished 2:2. The AI models' pick was over 2.5 goals at 1.75, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Racing Santander
Valencia

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

1.75

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 for this bet, 9 for others

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.75 unitsclosing odds1.69CLV+4%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:113%odds 6.58

2:1 9%1:0 9%0:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 11.10 18:16

result12.24+0.29X3.50−0.0823.15−0.51
total 2.5O1.68 — matches our bet−0.07U2.22+0.11
both to scoreyes1.54−0.11no2.37+0.23
double chance1X1.36+0.10121.30+0.03X21.65−0.24
handicapH1 −13.26+0.60H2 +11.32−0.15

Over 18 days a Valencia win shortened from 3.66 to 3.15 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Over 2.5: 1.75 → 1.68 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (over 2.5 goals) has shortened from 1.75 to 1.68: the market now rates it as more likely.

Over 2.51.75 → 1.68our betUnder 2.52.11 → 2.22
1.802.002.2013 daysno data24 Sep25 Sep26 Sep27 Sep10 Oct11 OctWe published · 1.75Under 2.5 2.22Over 2.5 1.68

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 2.5 market
WhenOver 2.5 · our betUnder 2.5
1.682.22+0.01
1.68−0.072.21+0.10
27 Sep – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 13 days
We published over 2.5 goals at 1.75
1.75opened2.11opened
73 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

How the match went

half-time 1:1

match report · 11.10 22:00

  1. 2'ValenciaDaniel Raba Antolín (Justin De Haas)0:1
  2. 22'Racing SantanderPablo Ramon Parra YC
  3. 32'Racing SantanderYassir Zabiri (Iñigo Vicente)1:1
  4. 45'Valenciaon Arnaut Danjuma, off Mouctar Diakhaby
  5. 45+2'ValenciaGuido Rodríguez YC
  6. 45+2'Racing SantanderJorge Salinas Viadero YC
  7. 45+4'ValenciaDaniel Raba Antolín YC
  8. 47'ValenciaVAR check · Mouctar Diakhaby
  9. 47'Racing SantanderIván Martín2:1
  10. 58'Valenciaon David Otorbi Ejededawe, off Filip Ugrinic
  11. 58'Valenciaon Harvey Elliott, off Daniel Raba Antolín
  12. 61'Racing Santanderon Andrés Martín, off André Almeida
  13. 61'Racing Santanderon Aarón Martin Caricol, off Pablo Ramon Parra
  14. 65'ValenciaDavid Otorbi Ejededawe (Javi Guerra)2:2
  15. 72'ValenciaPablo Maffeo YC
  16. 75'Racing Santanderon Pablo García, off Sergio Canales
  17. 85'Valenciaon Aliou Dieng, off Javi Guerra
  18. 86'Valenciaon Arnau Martínez López, off Pablo Maffeo
  19. 87'Racing Santanderon Maguette Gueye, off Matteo Prati
  20. 87'Racing Santanderon Asier Villalibre, off Yassir Zabiri
  21. 90+2'Racing SantanderIván Martín YC
Match stats: Racing Santander vs Valencia
Racing SantanderstatValencia
1.35expected goals (xG)1.71
20shots10
11on target2
54%possession46%
8corners3
15fouls10
0saves9
3yellow cards3
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Racing Santander

formation 4-1-4-1 · manager José Alberto López

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13Julen Agirrezabala5.9
  • 17Jorge Salinas5.8
  • 24J. Belocian6.6
  • 5Pablo Ramón6.0
  • 2Álvaro Mantilla6.0
  • 18M. Prati6.9
  • 10Iñigo Vicente7.7
  • 8André Almeida6.3
  • 23Iván Martín8.0
  • 20Sergio Canales6.2
  • 21M. Zabiri8.0
substitutes
  • 19Iker Luque
  • 11Andrés Martínon 61'6.7
  • 12Asier Villalibreon 87'6.6
  • 6Íñigo Sainz-Maza
  • 4Manu Hernando
  • 3Aarón Martínon 61'6.2
  • 9Juan Carlos Arana
  • 15Pablo Garcíaon 75'6.8
  • 31Laro Gómez
  • 16Facundo González
  • 14M. Gueyeon 87'5.6
  • 7G. Guliashvili
Valencia

formation 5-4-1 · manager J. Aguirre

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1S. Dimitrievski7.5
  • 14José Gayà6.4
  • 12J. de Haas7.1
  • 18Pepelu6.8
  • 4M. Diakhaby6.3
  • 24Pablo Maffeo5.7
  • 8Javi Guerra7.1
  • 2G. Rodríguez6.0
  • 23F. Ugrinic6.4
  • 19Dani Raba7.4
  • 9Hugo Duro6.3
substitutes
  • 22Arnau Martínezon 86'6.1
  • 37Aimar Blázquez
  • 36Iker Córdoba
  • 7A. Danjumaon 45'6.9
  • 15A. Diengon 85'5.9
  • 10H. Elliotton 58'6.1
  • 33Aaron Mayol
  • 27David Otorbi — highest feed rating in the matchon 58'8.2
  • 39R. Sato
  • 5César Tárrega
  • 21Jesús Vázquez
  • 25K. van Oevelen

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. 6 more bet on both teams to score — the bet won. The other 3 chose other bets: a Racing Santander win and double chance.

  • 7 of 16O 2.5our betodds 1.75ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiMiniMaxwon
  • 6 of 16BTTSodds 1.65QwenGLMMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultrawon
  • 2 of 161odds 2.27DeepSeek FlashDots3-Notelost
  • 1 of 161Xodds 1.26Sonarwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC

Racing Santander's home games have all told the same story: all three have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in each of them. In Santander the hosts average 2.3 goals a game and concede 1.7. Neither defence holds up. Racing have scored nine and conceded 18 across the last five rounds, Valencia four and 12. The two sit close together at the bottom of the LaLiga table, 16th with 7 points against 19th with 4, and neither side can keep a clean sheet. The market rates over 2.5 goals at around 55%.

Where we could be wrong

Only Valencia on the road look like a different team: 0.7 goals a game, just one of their three away matches above this line, and in one of them they failed to score at all. After four defeats in five rounds, will they bring enough attacking intent to the drizzle at El Sardinero if they turn up to sit deep and wait for a Racing mistake? Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.75.

  • 7 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Racing Santander
Recent matches: Racing Santander
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19.09Celta VigoA0:5L
16.09BarcelonaA2:7L
12.09Deportivo AlavésH2:1W
05.09Rayo VallecanoA2:3L
28.08ElcheH3:2W
Valencia
Recent matches: Valencia
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20.09Real SociedadH2:3L
15.09Deportivo AlavésA1:0W
11.09SevillaA0:1L
06.09BarcelonaH0:5L
30.08Deportivo La CoruñaA1:3L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstRacing SantanderValenciaLaLiga
goals1.6 / 2.90.8 / 1.91.5
xG1.4 / 2.11 / 1.61.5
shots11.5 / 15.910.5 / 15.913.4
shots on target4.9 / 6.62.6 / 5.54.7
corners4.8 / 8.44.3 / 4.34.9
fouls14.4 / 1410.5 / 11.312.4
yellow cards2.6 / 2.52.1 / 1.92.1
matches over 2.588%50%
both scored75%38%
clean sheets0%25%
failed to score25%50%
home / away
goals2.3 / 1.81 / 1.5
average total42.5
matches over 2.5100%50%
both scored100%50%
  • Racing Santander shoot less often than the league average: 11.5 shots vs 13.4
  • Valencia score less than the league average: 0.8 vs 1.5
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Racing Santander, away games only for Valencia

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
5:2Real Betis–OsasunaOur pick:1prediction won5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction1 1.50X 4.522 6.323:2Real Sociedad–Deportivo La CoruñaOur pick:BTTSprediction won8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.73X 3.872 4.730:0Elche–Celta VigoOur pick:U 2.5prediction won9 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.91X 3.232 2.51