Skip to content

FINISHED

Real Betis vs Osasuna 5:2: result and odds

Real Betis vs Osasuna finished 5:2. The AI models' pick was Real Betis to win at 1.55, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Real Betis
Osasuna

AI models' pick: Real Betis to win

1.55

AI models' pick · 5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.55 unitsclosing odds1.45CLV+7%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

likely score

1:112%odds 7.34

1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 11.10 15:17

result11.50 — matches our bet−0.06X4.52+0.3826.32+0.89
total 2.5O1.65−0.08U2.26+0.09
both to scoreyes1.76+0.01no1.98−0.02
double chance1X1.12−0.03121.19−0.03X22.58+0.20
handicapH1 −11.80−0.17H2 +12.04+0.16

Over 18 days a Real Betis win shortened from 1.56 to 1.50 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Real Betis: 1.55 → 1.50 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Real Betis win) has shortened from 1.55 to 1.50: the market now rates it as more likely.

Real Betis1.56 → 1.50our betDraw4.14 → 4.52Osasuna5.43 → 6.32
1.502.003.004.006.0011 daysno data2 daysno data24 Sep25 Sep26 Sep27 Sep8 Oct10 Oct11 OctWe published · 1.55Osasuna 6.32Draw 4.52Real Betis 1.50

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenReal Betis · our betDrawOsasuna
1.504.52+0.026.32+0.07
1.50−0.034.50+0.156.25+0.11
1.534.356.14+0.10
1.53+0.014.35−0.016.04−0.13
1.524.36+0.026.17+0.03
1.524.34−0.016.14
1.52−0.034.35+0.146.14+0.52
8 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 2 days
We published a Real Betis win at 1.55
1.55−0.014.21+0.075.62+0.19
27 Sep – 8 Oct · no snapshots for 11 days
1.56opened4.14opened5.43opened
72 snapshots · the prices changed 8 times

How the match went

half-time 2:0

match report · 11.10 22:00

  1. 10'Real BetisIsco penalty1:0
  2. 31'Real BetisAbde Ezzalzouli (Cucho Hernández)2:0
  3. 41'OsasunaJon Moncayola YC
  4. 45'OsasunaUnai Santos YC
  5. 45'Osasunaon Asier Osambela, off Unai Santos
  6. 45+2'Real BetisCucho Hernández YC
  7. 48'Real BetisAnte Budimir own goal3:0
  8. 51'OsasunaAnte Budimir (Rubén García)3:1
  9. 52'OsasunaVAR check · Ante Budimir
  10. 56'OsasunaRaul García (Alejandro Catena)3:2
  11. 63'Osasunaon Valentin Rosier, off Íñigo Arguibide
  12. 63'Osasunaon Mauro Echegoyen, off Jon Moncayola
  13. 64'OsasunaLucas Torró YC
  14. 67'Real BetisIsco4:2
  15. 73'Real Betison Antony Matheus dos Santos, off Rodrigo Riquelme
  16. 74'Real Betison Dani Ceballos, off Isco
  17. 74'Osasunaon Jonathan Dubasin, off Rubén García
  18. 79'Osasunaon Iker Muñoz Cameros, off Raul García
  19. 81'Real BetisMarc Roca YC
  20. 81'Real Betison Troy Parrott, off Cucho Hernández
  21. 81'Real Betison Nelson Deossa, off Pablo Fornals
  22. 88'OsasunaValentin Rosier YC
  23. 90+2'Real Betison José Antonio Morante Antúnez, off Abde Ezzalzouli
  24. 90+6'Real BetisJosé Antonio Morante Antúnez (Héctor Bellerín)5:2
  25. 90+6'OsasunaAlejandro Catena YC
Match stats: Real Betis vs Osasuna
Real BetisstatOsasuna
2.85expected goals (xG)1.57
20shots11
7on target5
52%possession48%
8corners4
11fouls13
3saves3
2yellow cards5
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Real Betis

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager M. Pellegrini

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Álvaro Vallés6.4
  • 11Fran García6.9
  • 4Natan7.1
  • 3Diego Llorente6.5
  • 2Héctor Bellerín6.8
  • 21Marc Roca7.0
  • 8Pablo Fornals6.6
  • 10A. Ezzalzouli7.2
  • 22Isco — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 17Rodrigo Riquelme6.3
  • 9C. Hernández7.0
substitutes
  • 5Marc Bartra
  • 6F. Bernal
  • 25Dani Ceballoson 74'6.7
  • 13Diego Conde
  • 18N. Deossaon 81'6.2
  • 15Álvaro Fidalgo
  • 16V. Gómez
  • 20G. Lo Celso
  • 27J. A. Moranteon 90+2'0.0
  • 12Ángel Ortiz
  • 19T. Parrotton 81'6.7
  • 7Antonyon 73'6.8
Osasuna

formation 4-4-2 · manager Luis Miguel Ramis

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13Aitor Fernández5.9
  • 23Abel Bretones6.2
  • 35U. Santos5.5
  • 24Catena6.6
  • 27Íñigo Arguibide5.7
  • 16Moi Gómez6.5
  • 6Lucas Torró6.1
  • 7Moncayola5.9
  • 14Rubén García7.2
  • 9Raúl García7.6
  • 17A. Budimir6.8
substitutes
  • 48R. Yeboah
  • 19V. Rosieron 63'5.2
  • 15Diego Rico
  • 29Asier Osambelaon 45'6.3
  • 8Iker Muñozon 79'5.8
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 26Mauro Echegoyenon 63'6.0
  • 21Jonathan Dubasinon 74'6.5
  • 22F. Boyomo
  • 32Mikel Bermejo Sola

The largest group of AI models bet on a Real Betis win — the bet won. 5 more chose close bets in the same direction: Real Betis −1 and Real Betis −1.5. 3 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet lost. The other 2 bet on under 2.5 goals — the bet lost.

  • 5 of 151our betodds 1.55GeminiMistralSonarDots3-NoteNemotron Superwon
  • 4 of 15H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.97ChatGPTDeepSeekKimiGLMwon
  • 3 of 15BTTS noodds 2.00ClaudeGrokXiaomi MiMolost
  • 2 of 15U 2.5odds 2.17QwenMiniMaxlost
  • 1 of 15H1 (−1.5)same directionodds 2.55DeepSeek Flashwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC

Real Betis have dominated this fixture: six wins, three draws and just one defeat in the last 10 meetings. At home this season the hosts have played three matches and kept a clean sheet in every one. Osasuna on the road are a different proposition — three trips, three defeats, 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game. The table tells the same story: Real Betis sit third with 16 points after seven rounds, Osasuna thirteenth with eight, and the visitors have managed four goals while shipping 12 in their last five. Over the past fortnight the away price has drifted from 5.43 to 5.62, while the odds on the home side have hardly moved. We're backing Real Betis to win at 1.55.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is the Betis attack in front of their own crowd: an average of one goal per game, and with 29 degrees at La Cartuja the tempo is likely to be sluggish. Two of the last six head-to-heads finished 1-1.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Real Betis
Recent matches: Real Betis
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20.09Deportivo La CoruñaA1:1D
17.09GetafeH1:0W
14.09VillarrealA2:1W
08.09LilleChampions LeagueA3:2W
04.09Real MadridH1:0W
Osasuna
Recent matches: Osasuna
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19.09Rayo VallecanoH1:1D
16.09Atlético MadridA0:4L
12.09EspanyolH0:2L
06.09Deportivo AlavésA2:5L
31.08GetafeH1:0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstReal BetisOsasunaLaLiga
goals1.8 / 1.11 / 2.31.5
xG1.7 / 1.91.3 / 1.61.5
shots17.8 / 15.19.6 / 13.813.4
shots on target6.5 / 5.84 / 4.34.7
corners5.1 / 6.63.1 / 54.9
fouls9.9 / 11.813.9 / 12.812.4
yellow cards1.4 / 2.32.8 / 1.82.1
matches over 2.538%50%
both scored50%50%
clean sheets50%25%
failed to score0%38%
home / away
goals2 / 0.51.5 / 3.8
average total2.55.3
matches over 2.525%100%
both scored25%75%

Head to head

last 10

6–3–1Real Betis wins · draws · Osasuna wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Osasuna vs Real Betis1:112.04.26
Real Betis vs Osasuna2:028.09.25
Real Betis vs Osasuna1:111.05.25
Osasuna vs Real Betis1:219.10.24
Osasuna vs Real Betis0:205.05.24
Real Betis vs Osasuna2:129.10.23
Osasuna vs Real Betis3:222.04.23
Real Betis vs Osasuna2:218.01.23Copa del Rey
Real Betis vs Osasuna1:026.08.22
Real Betis vs Osasuna4:103.04.22

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
3:2Real Sociedad–Deportivo La CoruñaOur pick:BTTSprediction won8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.73X 3.872 4.732:2Racing Santander–ValenciaOur pick:O 2.5prediction won7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.24X 3.502 3.150:0Elche–Celta VigoOur pick:U 2.5prediction won9 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.91X 3.232 2.51