FINISHED
Real Betis vs Osasuna 5:2: result and odds
Real Betis vs Osasuna finished 5:2. The AI models' pick was Real Betis to win at 1.55, and it won.
- Referee: Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
- LaLiga, matchday 8 of 38
- +28°, cloudy
- Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Seville
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Real Betis to win
1.55AI models' pick · 5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 18 days a Real Betis win shortened from 1.56 to 1.50 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Real Betis: 1.55 → 1.50 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (a Real Betis win) has shortened from 1.55 to 1.50: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Real Betis · our bet | Draw | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 4.52+0.02 | 6.32+0.07 | |
| 1.50−0.03 | 4.50+0.15 | 6.25+0.11 | |
| 1.53 | 4.35 | 6.14+0.10 | |
| 1.53+0.01 | 4.35−0.01 | 6.04−0.13 | |
| 1.52 | 4.36+0.02 | 6.17+0.03 | |
| 1.52 | 4.34−0.01 | 6.14 | |
| 1.52−0.03 | 4.35+0.14 | 6.14+0.52 | |
| 8 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 2 days | |||
| We published a Real Betis win at 1.55 | |||
| 1.55−0.01 | 4.21+0.07 | 5.62+0.19 | |
| 27 Sep – 8 Oct · no snapshots for 11 days | |||
| 1.56opened | 4.14opened | 5.43opened | |
How the match went
- 10'
Isco penalty1:0 - 31'
Abde Ezzalzouli (Cucho Hernández)2:0 - 41'
Jon Moncayola YC - 45'
Unai Santos YC - 45'
on Asier Osambela, off Unai Santos - 45+2'
Cucho Hernández YC - 48'
Ante Budimir own goal3:0 - 51'
Ante Budimir (Rubén García)3:1 - 52'
VAR check · Ante Budimir - 56'
Raul García (Alejandro Catena)3:2 - 63'
on Valentin Rosier, off Íñigo Arguibide - 63'
on Mauro Echegoyen, off Jon Moncayola - 64'
Lucas Torró YC - 67'
Isco4:2 - 73'
on Antony Matheus dos Santos, off Rodrigo Riquelme - 74'
on Dani Ceballos, off Isco - 74'
on Jonathan Dubasin, off Rubén García - 79'
on Iker Muñoz Cameros, off Raul García - 81'
Marc Roca YC - 81'
on Troy Parrott, off Cucho Hernández - 81'
on Nelson Deossa, off Pablo Fornals - 88'
Valentin Rosier YC - 90+2'
on José Antonio Morante Antúnez, off Abde Ezzalzouli - 90+6'
José Antonio Morante Antúnez (Héctor Bellerín)5:2 - 90+6'
Alejandro Catena YC
| Real Betis | stat | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | expected goals (xG) | 1.57 |
| 20 | shots | 11 |
| 7 | on target | 5 |
| 52% | possession | 48% |
| 8 | corners | 4 |
| 11 | fouls | 13 |
| 3 | saves | 3 |
| 2 | yellow cards | 5 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 1Álvaro Vallés6.4
- 11Fran García6.9
- 4Natan7.1
- 3Diego Llorente6.5
- 2Héctor Bellerín6.8
- 21Marc Roca7.0
- 8Pablo Fornals6.6
- 10A. Ezzalzouli7.2
- 22Isco — highest feed rating in the match8.2
- 17Rodrigo Riquelme6.3
- 9C. Hernández7.0
- 5Marc Bartra
- 6F. Bernal
- 25Dani Ceballoson 74'6.7
- 13Diego Conde
- 18N. Deossaon 81'6.2
- 15Álvaro Fidalgo
- 16V. Gómez
- 20G. Lo Celso
- 27J. A. Moranteon 90+2'0.0
- 12Ángel Ortiz
- 19T. Parrotton 81'6.7
- 7Antonyon 73'6.8
- 13Aitor Fernández5.9
- 23Abel Bretones6.2
- 35U. Santos5.5
- 24Catena6.6
- 27Íñigo Arguibide5.7
- 16Moi Gómez6.5
- 6Lucas Torró6.1
- 7Moncayola5.9
- 14Rubén García7.2
- 9Raúl García7.6
- 17A. Budimir6.8
- 48R. Yeboah
- 19V. Rosieron 63'5.2
- 15Diego Rico
- 29Asier Osambelaon 45'6.3
- 8Iker Muñozon 79'5.8
- 1Sergio Herrera
- 26Mauro Echegoyenon 63'6.0
- 21Jonathan Dubasinon 74'6.5
- 22F. Boyomo
- 32Mikel Bermejo Sola
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Real Betis win — the bet won. 5 more chose close bets in the same direction: Real Betis −1 and Real Betis −1.5. 3 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet lost. The other 2 bet on under 2.5 goals — the bet lost.
- 5 of 151our betodds 1.55
GeminiMistral
Sonar
Dots3-NoteNemotron Superwon - 4 of 15H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.97ChatGPTDeepSeekKimi
GLMwon - 3 of 15BTTS noodds 2.00Claude
GrokXiaomi MiMolost - 2 of 15U 2.5odds 2.17QwenMiniMaxlost
- 1 of 15H1 (−1.5)same directionodds 2.55DeepSeek Flashwon
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC
Real Betis have dominated this fixture: six wins, three draws and just one defeat in the last 10 meetings. At home this season the hosts have played three matches and kept a clean sheet in every one. Osasuna on the road are a different proposition — three trips, three defeats, 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game. The table tells the same story: Real Betis sit third with 16 points after seven rounds, Osasuna thirteenth with eight, and the visitors have managed four goals while shipping 12 in their last five. Over the past fortnight the away price has drifted from 5.43 to 5.62, while the odds on the home side have hardly moved. We're backing Real Betis to win at 1.55.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is the Betis attack in front of their own crowd: an average of one goal per game, and with 29 degrees at La Cartuja the tempo is likely to be sluggish. Two of the last six head-to-heads finished 1-1.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.09 | Deportivo La Coruña | A | 1:1 | D |
| 17.09 | Getafe | H | 1:0 | W |
| 14.09 | Villarreal | A | 2:1 | W |
| 08.09 | LilleChampions League | A | 3:2 | W |
| 04.09 | Real Madrid | H | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09 | Rayo Vallecano | H | 1:1 | D |
| 16.09 | Atlético Madrid | A | 0:4 | L |
| 12.09 | Espanyol | H | 0:2 | L |
| 06.09 | Deportivo Alavés | A | 2:5 | L |
| 31.08 | Getafe | H | 1:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | LaLiga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1 / 2.3 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.7 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.5 |
| shots | 17.8 / 15.1 | 9.6 / 13.8 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 6.5 / 5.8 | 4 / 4.3 | 4.7 |
| corners | 5.1 / 6.6 | 3.1 / 5 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 9.9 / 11.8 | 13.9 / 12.8 | 12.4 |
| yellow cards | 1.4 / 2.3 | 2.8 / 1.8 | 2.1 |
| matches over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | |
| both scored | 50% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 50% | 25% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 38% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 3.8 | |
| average total | 2.5 | 5.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 100% | |
| both scored | 25% | 75% | |
- Real Betis shoot more often than the league average: 17.8 shots vs 13.4
- Osasuna score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Real Betis, away games only for Osasuna
Head to head
6–3–1Real Betis wins · draws · Osasuna wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna vs Real Betis | 1:1 | 12.04.26 | |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 2:0 | 28.09.25 | |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 1:1 | 11.05.25 | |
| Osasuna vs Real Betis | 1:2 | 19.10.24 | |
| Osasuna vs Real Betis | 0:2 | 05.05.24 | |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 2:1 | 29.10.23 | |
| Osasuna vs Real Betis | 3:2 | 22.04.23 | |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 2:2 | 18.01.23 | Copa del Rey |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 1:0 | 26.08.22 | |
| Real Betis vs Osasuna | 4:1 | 03.04.22 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10