Skip to content
Menu

data updated 17.10 21:23

Tomorrow

Real Madrid vs Sevilla: AI prediction and betting pick

On 18 October, Real Madrid host Sevilla. The AI models' pick is Real Madrid −1.5 handicap at 1.68: 9 of 15 models chose it.

published UTC

Real Madrid
Sevilla

AI models' pick: Real Madrid −1.5 handicap

1.68

Now 1.66 · 1.68 when published

AI models' pick · 9 of 15 for this bet, 6 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

2:011%odds 7.56

1:1 9%2:1 9%3:0 9%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 17.10 21:20

result11.24−0.42X6.62+0.68211.33+1.99
total 3.5O2.05U1.78−0.01
both to scoreyes1.86+0.04no1.88−0.04
double chance1X1.05−0.06121.12−0.04X24.08+0.17
handicapH1 −1.51.66 — matches our bet−0.02H2 +1.52.21+0.03

Over 2 days a Sevilla win drifted from 9.34 to 11.33 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementSevilla 9.34 → 11.33 over 2 days · 29 snapshotsView

The biggest move is a Real Madrid win: from 1.66 to 1.24.

Real Madrid1.66 → 1.24Draw5.94 → 6.62Sevilla9.34 → 11.33
1.201.752.504.006.001016 Oct17 OctSevilla 11.33Draw 6.62Real Madrid 1.24

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenReal MadridDrawSevilla
1.246.62+0.0111.33+0.04
1.246.61+0.0311.29+0.01
1.246.58+0.0811.28+0.25
1.246.50+0.0111.03+0.01
1.24+0.026.49−0.1911.02−0.57
1.22−0.036.68+0.1911.59+1.11
1.25−0.416.49+0.5410.48+1.02
1.665.95+0.019.46+0.12
1.66opened5.94opened9.34opened
29 snapshots · the prices changed 8 times

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for Real Madrid −1.5. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Real Madrid −2.5. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose a bet each: a total-goals bet, both teams to score, 'both to score — no' and a Sevilla handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 15:21 UTC

Sevilla travel to Madrid without their two leading scorers: Isaac Romero (5 goals) is suspended and Lucas Stassen is nursing a muscle problem, while Marcao and I. Muñoz are missing at the back. Real Madrid have won all four of their home matches, averaging 3.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, and in the last ten meetings between the pair they have nine wins and one draw. The hosts have found the margin a -1.5 handicap needs on a regular basis: 2-0 in December 2025, 2-0 away in May 2025, 4-2 in December 2024. Inside a day the price on a Real Madrid win dropped from 1.66 to 1.22, and the move only ever went one way. Our pick is the Real Madrid -1.5 handicap at 1.68.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is who supplies the second goal, with Vinicius serving a suspension and Rodrygo treating a knee injury. Sevilla have not lost on the road yet — two wins and two draws, an average of 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded — and back in May Real Madrid took only a 1-0 win out of this fixture.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 16.10 15:01
Real Madrid
  • R. AsencioDF · 38 matches in 2025/26broken legout
  • Eder MilitaoDF · 22 matches in 2025/26hamstring injuryout
  • F. MendyDF · 9 matches in 2025/26hip injuryout
  • RodrygoFW · 32 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • Vinicius JuniorFW · 23 goals in 2025/26red cardout
Sevilla
  • MarcaoDF · 13 matches in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • I. MunozDFinjuryout
  • I. RomeroFW · 5 goals in 2025/26red cardout
  • L. StassinFW · 11 goals in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • M. SierraFW · 1 match in 2025/26injurydoubtful

managers: José Mourinho · Luis García · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Real Madrid
Recent matches: Real Madrid
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14.10RomaChampions LeagueA4:3xG 1.5–1.5W
10.10VillarrealH1:0xG 1.4–0.6W
20.09Atlético MadridA1:2xG 0.3–2.4L
15.09ElcheA3:2xG 3.6–0.8W
12.09Rayo VallecanoH4:1W
08.09InterChampions LeagueH2:1xG 2.9–1.8W
Sevilla
Recent matches: Sevilla
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12.10LevanteA3:3xG 2.2–1.9D
02.10Aston Villaclub friendlyH1:3L
19.09BarcelonaH1:3xG 0.4–3.5L
16.09Deportivo La CoruñaA1:0W
11.09ValenciaH1:0W
06.09EspanyolA1:1xG 0.5–1.2D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstReal MadridSevillaLaLiga
goals2.4 / 11.6 / 1.51.5
xG2.5 / 11.1 / 1.31.5
shots17.9 / 1311.9 / 12.413.4
shots on target7.1 / 4.44.3 / 4.64.7
corners7.1 / 43.1 / 3.84.9
fouls8.4 / 14.114.8 / 13.412.4
yellow cards2.3 / 2.83 / 1.92.1
matches over 2.575%63%
both scored63%75%
clean sheets25%25%
failed to score13%0%
home / away
goals3.3 / 0.52 / 1.3
average total3.83.3
matches over 2.575%50%
both scored50%75%
  • Real Madrid score more than the league average: 2.4 vs 1.5
  • Sevilla shoot less often than the league average: 11.9 shots vs 13.4
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Real Madrid, away games only for Sevilla

Head to head

last 10

9–1–0Real Madrid wins · draws · Sevilla wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Sevilla vs Real Madrid0:117.05.26
Real Madrid vs Sevilla2:020.12.25
Sevilla vs Real Madrid0:218.05.25
Real Madrid vs Sevilla4:222.12.24
Real Madrid vs Sevilla1:025.02.24
Sevilla vs Real Madrid1:121.10.23
Sevilla vs Real Madrid1:227.05.23
Real Madrid vs Sevilla3:122.10.22
Sevilla vs Real Madrid2:317.04.22
Real Madrid vs Sevilla2:128.11.21
  • both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
3Real Betis86-1-114–919WWWDW
4Real Madrid86-0-219–818LWWLW
5Sevilla84-2-213–1214DWWLD
6Real Sociedad84-1-312–1513DWLWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Real Madrid
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3033
  • 31-4531
  • 46-6013
  • 61-7521
  • 76-9062
Sevilla
  • 0-1522
  • 16-3012
  • 31-4501
  • 46-6052
  • 61-7512
  • 76-90+43

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full LaLiga fixtures
16:30Málaga–Real SociedadOur pick:BTTS1.628 of 14 AI models picked this bet1 3.29X 3.522 2.1914:15Celta Vigo–Deportivo AlavésOur pick:U 2.51.679 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.21X 3.322 3.4312:00Osasuna–Racing SantanderOur pick:U 2.52.226 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.99X 3.722 3.63