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data updated 14.10 03:20

FINISHED

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña 3:2: result and odds

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña finished 3:2. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.72, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Real Sociedad
Deportivo La Coruña

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.72

AI models' pick · 8 of 16 for this bet, 8 for others

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.72 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:114%odds 6.45

0:0 9%1:0 9%2:1 9%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 11.10 14:07

result11.73−0.19X3.87+0.3824.73+0.83
total 2.5O1.73−0.15U2.12+0.14
both to scoreyes1.68 — matches our bet−0.04no2.10+0.06
double chance1X1.18−0.07121.25−0.04X22.14+0.24
handicapH1 −12.24−0.43H2 +11.67+0.19

Over 17 days a Deportivo La Coruña win drifted from 3.90 to 4.73 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.72 → 1.68 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.72 to 1.68: the market now rates it as more likely.

Yes1.72 → 1.68our betNo2.04 → 2.10
1.701.801.902.002.1013 daysno data24 Sep25 Sep26 Sep27 Sep10 Oct11 OctWe published · 1.72No 2.10Yes 1.68

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.68−0.052.10+0.08
1.73−0.022.02+0.02
1.75−0.012.00+0.01
1.76−0.011.99+0.02
1.77+0.051.97−0.07
27 Sep – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 13 days
We published both teams score at 1.72
1.72opened2.04opened
70 snapshots · the prices changed 5 times

How the match went

half-time 2:0

match report · 11.10 18:00

  1. 29'Real SociedadJon Martin (Carlos Soler)1:0
  2. 34'Real SociedadArsen Zakharyan2:0
  3. 40'Deportivo La CoruñaDavid Mella YC
  4. 45'Deportivo La Coruñaon Riki Rodríguez, off David Mella
  5. 54'Real SociedadGonçalo Guedes (Ander Barrenetxea)3:0
  6. 56'Real Sociedadon Job Ochieng, off Gonçalo Guedes
  7. 56'Real Sociedadon Mikel Oyarzabal, off Arsen Zakharyan
  8. 57'Deportivo La Coruñaon Adria Altimira, off Ximo Navarro
  9. 57'Deportivo La Coruñaon Lorenzo Amatucci, off Diego Villares
  10. 57'Deportivo La Coruñaon Adama Traoré, off Luismi Cruz
  11. 61'Deportivo La CoruñaMario Soriano (Riki Rodríguez)3:1
  12. 66'Real SociedadPablo Marin RC
  13. 69'Deportivo La CoruñaYeremay Hernández penalty3:2
  14. 69'Real Sociedadon Igor Zubeldia, off Carlos Soler
  15. 71'Deportivo La CoruñaJosé María Giménez YC
  16. 79'Deportivo La Coruñaon Jonathan Asp Jensen, off Giacomo Quagliata
  17. 88'Real Sociedadon Hector Fort, off Ander Barrenetxea
  18. 90'Deportivo La CoruñaLorenzo Amatucci RC
  19. 90+4'Real SociedadYangel Herrera YC
Match stats: Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña
Real SociedadstatDeportivo La Coruña
1.53expected goals (xG)2.00
12shots21
4on target7
40%possession60%
7corners10
14fouls13
6saves1
1yellow cards2
1red cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Real Sociedad

formation 4-4-2 · manager P. Matarazzo

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Álex Remiro6.8
  • 17Sergio Gómez6.1
  • 19M. Sarr6.8
  • 6Jon Martín7.5
  • 15Pablo Marín5.8
  • 11Gonçalo Guedes7.0
  • 18Carlos Soler7.0
  • 21Y. Herrera6.7
  • 7Barrenetxea7.1
  • 23A. Zakharyan7.7
  • 24L. Sučić6.4
substitutes
  • 27Gorka Carrera
  • 34Luken Beitia
  • 22Héctor Forton 88'6.2
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  • 14T. Kubo
  • 13Unai Marrero
  • 3Aihen Muñoz
  • 12J. Ochiengon 56'6.5
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabalon 56'6.5
  • 16Jon Pacheco
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 5Zubeldiaon 69'6.3
Deportivo La Coruña

formation 4-4-2 · manager Antonio Hidalgo

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13Leo Román5.6
  • 12G. Quagliata5.9
  • 22B. Ede6.6
  • 20J. Giménez6.2
  • 23Ximo Navarro6.2
  • 10Peke7.8
  • 8Diego Villares6.1
  • 21Mario Soriano — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 11David Mella5.6
  • 32B. Nsongo6.3
  • 19Luismi Cruz6.5
substitutes
  • 2Adrià Altion 57'6.4
  • 17Angeliño
  • 18Jonathan Asp Jensenon 79'5.8
  • 37Noé
  • 25Álvaro Fernández
  • 15Miguel Loureiro
  • 4L. Noubi
  • 31Martín Ochoa
  • 14Riki Rodríguezon 45'6.5
  • 24Adama Traoréon 57'6.7
  • 33Kevin Sánchez
  • 16L. Amatuccion 57'5.4

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 4 more bet on a Real Sociedad win — the bet won. The other 4 chose other bets: double chance, a Deportivo La Coruña handicap and a total-goals bet.

  • 8 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.72GeminiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron Ultrawon
  • 4 of 161odds 1.61DeepSeekGLMSonarNemotron Superwon
  • 2 of 16X2odds 1.90ClaudeKimilost
  • 1 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.48ChatGPTvoid
  • 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.88Grokwon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:21 UTC

Deportivo La Coruña have scored in each of their three away matches and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them: 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Real Sociedad ship the same number at home, 1.3 per match, and in two of their three home games the total went over 2.5 goals. The form lines say little about defensive discipline either: over the last five games the hosts have scored eight and conceded eight, while the visitors have eight scored and six conceded. Both sides sit side by side on 10 points after seven rounds, and neither will be playing it safe until the final whistle.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is Real Sociedad's home attack: 0.7 goals per game and two of their three matches at home without a goal at all. If they again fail to find a way into the opposition box, everything rests on a single Deportivo goal, and the odds have shifted noticeably towards the hosts over the past fortnight — a home win to nil is hardly an exotic scenario. Even so, our pick is both teams to score at 1.72.

  • 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Real Sociedad
Recent matches: Real Sociedad
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Athletic Bilbaoclub friendlyH0:1L
20.09ValenciaA3:2W
17.09BournemouthEuropa LeagueH1:2L
13.09Atlético MadridH0:3L
07.09ElcheA3:2W
Deportivo La Coruña
Recent matches: Deportivo La Coruña
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Portoclub friendlyH1:3L
25.09Penafiel FCclub friendlyA2:2D
20.09Real BetisH1:1D
16.09SevillaH0:1L
13.09GetafeA1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstReal SociedadDeportivo La CoruñaLaLiga
goals1.5 / 1.91.5 / 1.41.5
xG1.2 / 1.71.1 / 1.21.5
shots13.3 / 16.511.5 / 12.813.4
shots on target5 / 6.34.3 / 4.44.7
corners7.3 / 55.5 / 5.54.9
fouls12.6 / 10.512.5 / 1212.4
yellow cards2 / 2.81.9 / 1.92.1
matches over 2.575%38%
both scored63%88%
clean sheets13%0%
failed to score38%13%
home / away
goals1.3 / 1.51.8 / 1.8
average total2.83.5
matches over 2.575%50%
both scored50%100%
  • Deportivo La Coruña shoot less often than the league average: 11.5 shots vs 13.4
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Real Sociedad, away games only for Deportivo La Coruña

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
0:0Elche–Celta VigoOur pick:U 2.5prediction won9 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.91X 3.232 2.515:2Real Betis–OsasunaOur pick:1prediction won5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction1 1.50X 4.522 6.322:2Racing Santander–ValenciaOur pick:O 2.5prediction won7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.24X 3.502 3.15