23 Oct
Brest vs Nice: AI prediction and betting pick
On 23 October, Brest host Nice. The AI models' pick is Brest to win at 2.20: 7 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.
- Ligue 1, matchday 8 of 34
- +10°, drizzle, wind 28 km/h
- Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
published UTC


AI models' pick: Brest to win
2.20AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day a Nice win drifted from 3.16 to 3.22 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Brest: 2.20 → 2.20 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Brest 2.22 → 2.20, Draw 3.42 → 3.42, Nice 3.16 → 3.22.
Price changes
| When | Brest · our bet | Draw | Nice |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published a Brest win at 2.20 | |||
| 2.20−0.02 | 3.42 | 3.22+0.06 | |
| 2.22opened | 3.42opened | 3.16opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Brest win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Brest not losing. 5 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 3 went for both teams to score.
- 7 of 161our betodds 2.22ChatGPTClaude
GeminiDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxNemotron Super - 1 of 161Xsame directionodds 1.35
Sonar - 5 of 16O 2.5odds 1.69DeepSeek
GrokKimi
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16BTTSodds 1.55QwenMistralXiaomi MiMo
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
Nice have drawn a blank on their travels this season: no goals in two away games and four conceded. Brest, by contrast, are averaging 2.3 goals a game at home while shipping 1.3. In September 2025 at Francis-Le-Blé the hosts took this same opponent apart 4-1, and they sit higher in the Ligue 1 table as well, 9 points from seven rounds against 8 from six for the visitors. The prices lean the same way: 43% for a home win against 30% for Nice.
The visitors do arrive on the back of two straight wins, and Brest have yet to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, already conceding six goals in five rounds. The two sides also shared a 2-2 draw in February 2026. Drizzle and a 28 km/h wind will break the game up into episodes, and one set piece could be enough for Nice to leave with a point.
Where we could be wrong
Even so, the home scoring, the September result and the table all point one way. Our pick is a Brest win at 2.20.
- 7 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Lille | A | 1:1xG 0.8–2.3 | D |
| 10.10 | Angers | H | 5:1xG 3.8–1.4 | W |
| 03.10 | Monzaclub friendly | H | 2:2 | D |
| 20.09 | Auxerre | A | 1:2xG 0.3–1.0 | L |
| 13.09 | Paris Saint-Germain | H | 0:1xG 1.2–1.2 | L |
| 05.09 | Le Havre | A | 2:1xG 2.4–2.0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | Lyon | A | 1:2xG 0.7–1.4 | L |
| 11.10 | Strasbourg | H | 2:1xG 1.3–0.6 | W |
| 20.09 | Lille | H | 2:1xG 1.5–1.6 | W |
| 12.09 | Auxerre | A | 0:1 | L |
| 05.09 | Le Mans | H | 1:1xG 1.1–1.3 | D |
| 30.08 | Paris | A | 0:3xG 0.8–2.4 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ligue 1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.5 |
| xG | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.6 |
| shots | 19 / 11.2 | 11.7 / 12.7 | 13.8 |
| shots on target | 6.3 / 4.2 | 3.5 / 4.5 | 4.8 |
| corners | 5.3 / 3.8 | 5.2 / 3.3 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 13.3 / 14 | 8.7 / 8.7 | 11.9 |
| yellow cards | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.6 |
| matches over 2.5 | 83% | 50% | |
| both scored | 83% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 17% | |
| failed to score | 17% | 50% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.3 / 1.3 | 0 / 2 | |
| average total | 3.7 | 2 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 50% | |
| both scored | 67% | 0% | |
- Brest shoot more often than the league average: 19 shots vs 13.8
- Nice score less than the league average: 0.8 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Brest, away games only for Nice
Head to head
2–3–4Brest wins · draws · Nice wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice vs Brest | 2:2 | 01.02.26 | |
| Brest vs Nice | 4:1 | 20.09.25 | |
| Nice vs Brest | 6:0 | 17.05.25 | |
| Brest vs Nice | 0:1 | 02.11.24 | |
| Brest vs Nice | 0:0 | 04.02.24 | |
| Nice vs Brest | 0:0 | 01.10.23 | |
| Brest vs Nice | 1:0 | 16.04.23 | |
| Nice vs Brest | 1:0 | 06.11.22 | |
| Brest vs Nice | 0:3 | 09.01.22 |
- both scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 9
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3-0-4 | 14–10 | 9 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2-3-2 | 13–10 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2-3-2 | 12–11 | 9 | LDWDW |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3-0-4 | 11–17 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 13 | Nice | 6 | 2-2-2 | 5–7 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2-1-4 | 12–15 | 7 | WDLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1532
- 16-3040
- 31-4521
- 46-6023
- 61-7512
- 76-9021
- 0-1501
- 16-3002
- 31-4512
- 46-6001
- 61-7511
- 76-9012
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals