18 Oct
Le Havre vs Auxerre: AI prediction and betting pick
On 18 October, Le Havre host Auxerre. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.67: 5 of 16 models chose it.
- Ligue 1, matchday 7 of 34
- +13°, overcast, wind 17 km/h
- Stade Océane, Le Havre
published UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.67Now 1.69 · 1.67 when published
AI models' pick · 5 of 16 for this bet, 11 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 3 days an Auxerre win drifted from 2.83 to 2.93 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.67 → 1.69 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.67 to 1.69: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69+0.02 | 2.08−0.01 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.67 | ||
| 1.67−0.01 | 2.09 | |
| 1.68opened | 2.09opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 7 chose other bets: a total-goals bet, double chance, a Le Havre handicap, a Le Havre win and an Auxerre win.
- 5 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.67
Gemini
GrokDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMo - 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.89DeepSeekQwen
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16U 2.5odds 1.93Claude
GLMMiniMax - 1 of 161Xodds 1.40
Sonar - 1 of 16DNB 1odds 1.77ChatGPT
- 1 of 161odds 2.42Kimi
- 1 of 162odds 2.85Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 13.10 at 16:02 UTC
Auxerre have not kept a clean sheet in any of their three away matches, and they have not been shut out either — both teams scored in all three, with the visitors averaging 1.3 goals of their own and four conceded. Le Havre ship a goal a game at home, so there should be enough for the away side to keep that run going. The previous meetings have gone the same way, with goals at both ends: 1-1 in April, 1-2 in May 2025 and 3-1 in September 2024. The market rates the chance of both teams scoring at 56%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.67.
Where we could be wrong
The hosts' attack is the main doubt in this Ligue 1 fixture: one goal in three home rounds, and two of those three games without scoring at all. Wind of 26 km/h at the Océane will not help a side that has to find the net to land the bet either.
- 5 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Le Havreno absences listed
Auxerreno absences listed
managers: Didier Digard · Christophe Pelissier · main formations this season: 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Recent matches
Le Havre| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Lille | A | 0:1xG 1.3–1.4 | L |
| 02.10 | Boulogneclub friendly | H | 6:1 | W |
| 19.09 | Toulouse | A | 2:3xG 2.3–1.9 | L |
| 12.09 | Angers | H | 0:0 | D |
| 05.09 | Brest | H | 1:2xG 2.0–2.4 | L |
| 29.08 | Lyon | A | 1:1xG 0.7–1.8 | D |
Auxerre| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Rennes | A | 1:4xG 1.8–2.6 | L |
| 02.10 | Clermont Footclub friendly | H | 4:3 | W |
| 20.09 | Brest | H | 2:1xG 1.0–0.3 | W |
| 12.09 | Nice | H | 1:0 | W |
| 04.09 | Lyon | A | 1:3 | L |
| 29.08 | Angers | H | 1:3xG 1.8–1.6 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ligue 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.6 |
| shots | 15.8 / 13 | 12 / 14.8 | 13.8 |
| shots on target | 4.5 / 4.7 | 5 / 6.3 | 4.8 |
| corners | 5.5 / 5 | 5.8 / 7.7 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 14.3 / 14 | 14 / 9.2 | 11.9 |
| yellow cards | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.6 |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 83% | |
| both scored | 50% | 83% | |
| clean sheets | 17% | 17% | |
| failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 0.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 4 | |
| average total | 1.3 | 5.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 100% | |
| both scored | 33% | 100% | |
- Le Havre score less than the league average: 0.7 vs 1.5
- Auxerre score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Le Havre without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Le Havre, away games only for Auxerre
Head to head
5–3–2Le Havre wins · draws · Auxerre wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre vs Auxerre | 1:1 | 05.04.26 | |
| Auxerre vs Le Havre | 0:1 | 26.10.25 | |
| Auxerre vs Le Havre | 1:2 | 04.05.25 | |
| Le Havre vs Auxerre | 3:1 | 01.09.24 | |
| Le Havre vs Auxerre | 1:2 | 07.05.22 | Ligue 2 |
| Auxerre vs Le Havre | 2:3 | 21.12.21 | Ligue 2 |
| Auxerre vs Le Havre | 1:1 | 05.04.21 | Ligue 2 |
| Le Havre vs Auxerre | 1:1 | 01.12.20 | Ligue 2 |
| Le Havre vs Auxerre | 1:0 | 06.03.20 | Ligue 2 |
| Auxerre vs Le Havre | 2:0 | 05.10.19 | Ligue 2 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1-3-2 | 9–11 | 6 | DWDLD |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2-0-4 | 8–16 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1-1-4 | 4–13 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0-2-4 | 4–8 | 2 | LLDLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1503
- 16-3000
- 31-4500
- 46-6003
- 61-7520
- 76-9022
- 0-1503
- 16-3012
- 31-4521
- 46-6014
- 61-7532
- 76-9006
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
