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data updated 19.10 12:28

24 Oct

Lens vs Paris: AI prediction and betting pick

On 24 October, Lens host Paris. The AI models' pick is Lens to win at 2.33: 7 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Lens
Paris

AI models' pick: Lens to win

2.33

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.07

2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 19.10 12:13

result12.33 — matches our bet+0.29X3.63−0.1022.87−0.47
total 2.5O1.65+0.03U2.26−0.04
both to scoreyes1.52−0.01no2.40+0.04
double chance1X1.42+0.09121.29+0.01X21.61−0.15
handicapH1 −13.47+0.63H2 +11.28−0.11

Over the day a Lens win drifted from 2.04 to 2.33 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Lens: 2.33 → 2.33 since we publishedView

The biggest move is a Lens win: from 2.04 to 2.33.

Lens2.04 → 2.33our betDraw3.73 → 3.63Paris3.34 → 2.87
2.002.503.003.5018 Oct19 OctWe published · 2.33Draw 3.63Paris 2.87Lens 2.33

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenLens · our betDrawParis
We published a Lens win at 2.33
2.33+0.193.63−0.072.87−0.25
2.14+0.103.70−0.033.12−0.22
2.04opened3.73opened3.34opened
7 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for a Lens win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Lens not losing. 4 more went for both teams to score. The other 4 chose other bets: a total-goals bet and a Paris handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC

Lens have the home numbers to justify their status: 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at Bollaert-Delelis, with just one defeat in three matches there. Paris look far more modest on the road — a goal scored and a goal conceded per away game, and in two of their three away trips they did not score at all. The previous meetings favour the hosts as well: five wins against two defeats in ten matches, a 5-0 win in February and a 2-1 home win a year ago. The market makes Lens the favourites with a 46% chance in this Ligue 1 fixture.

Where we could be wrong

Paris have arguments of their own, though. They sit sixth with 11 points after six rounds and have already kept three clean sheets this season. What happens if the visitors give up possession, play on the counter, and Lens, who have yet to keep a clean sheet, concede first? Drizzle and a 19 km/h wind at kick-off also point towards a cautious game rather than a comfortable home win. Even so, our pick is Lens to win at 2.33.

  • 7 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Lens
Recent matches: Lens
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10TroyesA3:1xG 1.4–1.3W
13.10Sporting CPChampions LeagueH0:2xG 1.7–1.7L
09.10LyonH2:1xG 1.3–1.0W
02.10Standard Liegeclub friendlyA2:0W
18.09MonacoA1:2xG 1.2–1.8L
13.09Le MansA2:2xG 1.6–2.6D
Paris
Recent matches: Paris
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.10RennesH4:3xG 3.7–3.1W
10.10LorientA0:1xG 1.0–0.6L
19.09StrasbourgH2:1xG 1.1–0.2W
12.09LyonH0:0D
06.09MarseilleA3:2W
30.08NiceH3:0xG 2.4–0.8W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLensParisLigue 1
goals1.8 / 1.71.3 / 0.71.5
xG2.1 / 1.71.7 / 0.61.6
shots14.8 / 11.513.8 / 9.313.8
shots on target6.5 / 54.3 / 34.8
corners7 / 3.24 / 3.54.8
fouls11.7 / 13.213.7 / 9.811.9
yellow cards2 / 1.32.2 / 1.21.6
matches over 2.583%50%
both scored83%33%
clean sheets0%50%
failed to score17%50%
home / away
goals2.3 / 1.31 / 1
average total3.72
matches over 2.567%33%
both scored67%33%
  • Lens score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.5
  • Paris score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Lens, away games only for Paris

Head to head

last 10

5–3–2Lens wins · draws · Paris wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Paris vs Lens0:514.02.26
Lens vs Paris2:119.10.25
Lens vs Paris0:002.07.22club friendly
Lens vs Paris1:205.08.20club friendly
Paris vs Lens0:202.03.20Ligue 2
Lens vs Paris2:128.09.19Ligue 2
Paris vs Lens2:003.03.19Ligue 2
Lens vs Paris0:028.09.18Ligue 2
Lens vs Paris1:030.04.18Ligue 2
Paris vs Lens2:208.12.17Ligue 2
  • both scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10

League table

League standings: Ligue 1
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Paris Saint-Germain74-2-114–914LWWWW
2Paris74-2-112–714WDWLW
3Lille74-2-110–514WWLWD
7Lorient73-2-27–611WDLWW
8Lens73-1-314–1110LDLWW
9Marseille73-0-414–109LLLWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Lens
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3001
  • 31-4533
  • 46-6062
  • 61-7512
  • 76-9032
Paris
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3031
  • 31-4500
  • 46-6031
  • 61-7502
  • 76-90+51

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Ligue 1 fixtures
18:45Brest–NiceOur pick:12.207 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.20X 3.422 3.222:2Lyon–NiceOur pick:H1 (−1)prediction lost10 of 16 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction1 1.87X 3.822 4.011:0Lorient–MonacoOur pick:BTTSprediction lost7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.65X 3.442 2.08