1 Oct
Israel vs Kosovo: Nations League AI prediction and betting pick
On 1 October, Israel host Kosovo in the Nations League. The AI models' pick is Kosovo to win at 2.25: 14 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.
published UTC
AI models' pick: Kosovo to win
2.25AI models' pick · 14 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction
AI models' settled picks so far: 11 won · 9 lost · 2 void · −0.26 units All results
AI models
- 142 — matches our betodds 2.25ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, GLM, MiniMax, Mistral, Xiaomi MiMo, Dots3-Note, Nemotron Super, Nemotron Ultra
- 2X2 — matches our betodds 1.38Claude, Sonar
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.
AI prediction and analysis
14 of 16 AI models went for a Kosovo win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Kosovo not losing.
- 14 of 162our betodds 2.25ChatGPTDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16X2same directionodds 1.38ClaudeSonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 28.09 at 13:18 UTC
The two previous meetings between these sides were played almost level: a 1-1 draw in March 2023 and a narrow 1-0 to Kosovo in November of the same year. There is not much there to promise a comfortable away win, and the market rates this outcome at 41% against 28% for the draw. Still, Kosovo sit second in the group on three points, while Israel have nothing after two rounds and prop up the four. The visitors have not lost in either head-to-head, and the price of 2.25 looks to come from the trip rather than from any gap in results between these teams.
Pointless so far, Israel have to push forward at home from the first minute, and Kosovo have never scored more than one goal per game in these previous meetings, so they are unlikely to settle things with a second. A draw looks every bit as realistic as an away win, and it all hinges on whether the Kosovo defence holds up on the road. Our pick is Kosovo to win at 2.25 in the Nations League.
Where we could be wrong
Nothing in our data argues against this bet: neither the vote split nor any estimate on this page points to a different outcome.
Bottom line. Most likely outcome: Kosovo to win.
By our estimate the match result would be priced 1 3.23 · X 3.57 · 2 2.44. Where the line pays more, the price is on your side
The bet is the option the AI models named most often; the bookmakers' line sits alongside for comparison and plays no part in the choice — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Israel| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.09 | Republic of Ireland | H | 0:3 | L |
| 24.09 | Austria | A | 1:3 | L |
| 03.06 | Albaniafriendly | A | 1:0 | W |
| 26.03 | Georgiafriendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 16.11 | MoldovaWorld Cup qualifying | H | 4:1xG 4.4–0.3 | W |
| 13.11 | Lithuaniafriendly | A | 0:0 | D |
| 14.10 | ItalyWorld Cup qualifying | A | 0:3xG 0.4–3.3 | L |
Kosovo| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.09 | Austria | A | 1:3 | L |
| 24.09 | Republic of Ireland | H | 1:0 | W |
| 07.06 | Andorrafriendly | H | 3:0 | W |
| 31.05 | Czechiafriendly | A | 1:2 | L |
| 31.03 | TurkeyWorld Cup qualifying | H | 0:1 | L |
| 26.03 | SlovakiaWorld Cup qualifying | A | 4:3 | W |
| 18.11 | SwitzerlandWorld Cup qualifying | H | 1:1xG 0.5–0.5 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
0–1–1Israel wins · draws · Kosovo wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo vs Israel | 1:0 | 12.11.23 | Euro qualifying |
| Israel vs Kosovo | 1:1 | 25.03.23 | Euro qualifying |
- both scored in 1 of the last 2 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 0 of 2
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6–2 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | Kosovo | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2–3 | 3 | WL |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3–1 | 3 | LW |
| 4 | Israel | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1–6 | 0 | LL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
