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data updated 25.09 15:20

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North Macedonia vs Switzerland: Nations League AI prediction and betting pick

On 26 September, North Macedonia host Switzerland in the Nations League. The AI models' pick is Switzerland −1.5 handicap at 2.10: 9 of 17 models chose it, 7 more went in the same direction.

published · updated UTC

North Macedonia
Switzerland

AI models' pick: Switzerland −1.5 handicap

2.10

AI models' pick · 9 of 17 on this bet · 7 more in the same direction

AI models' settled picks so far: 3 won · 3 lost · −0.93 units All results

AI models

  • 9H2 (-1.5) — matches our betodds 2.10ChatGPT, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, GLM, MiniMax, Mistral, Dots3-Note
  • 6H2 (-1) — matches our betodds 1.60Qwen, DeepSeek Flash, Sonar, Xiaomi MiMo, Ling 3.0 Flash VL, Nemotron Ultra
  • 12 — matches our betodds 1.38Nemotron Super
  • 1BTTS noodds 1.76Claude
all 17 AI predictions

Match odds

last line update 25.09 15:20

result17.98+0.46X4.77+0.1321.38+0.01
total 2.5O1.75+0.01U2.08
both to scoreyes2.01+0.04no1.73−0.03
double chance1X3.02+0.07121.16−0.01X21.09
handicapH1 +1.51.71+0.01H2 −1.52.11 — matches our bet+0.01

Over 4 days a North Macedonia win drifted from 7.52 to 7.98 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Switzerland −1.5: 2.10 → 2.11 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: North Macedonia +1.5 1.70 → 1.71, Switzerland −1.5 2.10 → 2.11.

North Macedonia +1.51.70 → 1.71Switzerland −1.52.10 → 2.11our bet
1.701.801.902.002.102 daysno data21 Sep22 Sep24 Sep25 SepWe published · 2.10Switzerland −1.5 2.11North Macedonia +1.5 1.71

Price changes

Price changes in the Handicap +1.5 market
WhenNorth Macedonia +1.5Switzerland −1.5 · our bet
1.712.11−0.01
1.71−0.012.12+0.01
1.72+0.022.11−0.02
We published Switzerland −1.5 handicap at 2.10
1.70−0.012.13+0.04
22 Sep – 24 Sep · no snapshots for 2 days
1.71+0.012.09−0.01
1.70opened2.10opened
31 snapshots · the prices changed 5 times
All snapshots (31)
Odds in the Handicap +1.5 market, every snapshot
WhenNorth Macedonia +1.5Switzerland −1.5
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.11
1.712.12
1.712.12
1.722.11
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.702.13
1.712.09
1.712.09
1.702.10
1.702.10
1.702.10
1.702.10
1.702.10

AI prediction and analysis

9 of 17 AI models went for Switzerland −1.5. 7 more chose close bets in the same direction: Switzerland −1 and a Switzerland win. One more went for at least one side failing to score.

  • 9 of 17H2 (-1.5)our betodds 2.10ChatGPTDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiGLMMiniMaxMistralDots3-Note
  • 6 of 17H2 (-1)same directionodds 1.60QwenDeepSeek FlashSonarXiaomi MiMoLing 3.0 Flash VLNemotron Ultra
  • 1 of 172same directionodds 1.38Nemotron Super
  • 1 of 17BTTS noodds 1.76Claude

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 24.09 at 09:24 UTC

North Macedonia have been beaten by a wide margin in their recent competitive games and have barely scored. Switzerland arrive after the World Cup and are far better equipped in attack. The prices say the same thing: 1.37 on the Nati against 7.52 on the hosts, a gap of almost six times over, with the visitors given around 68% in normal time.

A win by two or more goals — which is what the -1.5 handicap needs — is rated at 45%, almost half of the scenarios on the night. That is our pick at 2.10.

The doubt is whether Switzerland go through the opening round at half pace, short of their usual intensity after a long break. At home North Macedonia will almost certainly sit deep and play to keep the score down, and prising open a block like that twice in one evening does not always come off. A one-goal win would not be enough to land the bet.

Where we could be wrong

Nothing in our data argues against this bet: neither the vote split nor any estimate on this page points to a different outcome.

Bottom line. Our pick: Switzerland −1.5 handicap.

The bet is the option the AI models named most often; the bookmakers' line sits alongside for comparison and plays no part in the choice — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
North Macedonia
Recent matches: North Macedonia
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01.06TurkeyfriendlyA0:4L
29.05Bosnia and HerzegovinafriendlyA0:0D
31.03Republic of IrelandfriendlyA0:0D
26.03DenmarkWorld Cup qualifyingA0:4L
18.11WalesWorld Cup qualifyingA1:7xG 0.6–4.6L
13.11LatviafriendlyH0:0D
Switzerland
Recent matches: Switzerland
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12.07ArgentinaWorld CupA1:3xG 0.5–1.9L
07.07ColombiaWorld CupH0:0xG 0.4–1.1W
03.07AlgeriaWorld CupH2:0xG 2.6–0.7W
24.06CanadaWorld CupH2:1xG 1.1–1.7W
18.06Bosnia and HerzegovinaWorld CupH4:1xG 2.1–0.2W
13.06QatarWorld CupA1:1xG 3.2–0.6D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

League table

League B, Group 1
League standings: Nations League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Scotland00-0-00–00
2Switzerland00-0-00–00
3Slovenia00-0-00–00
4North Macedonia00-0-00–00

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Other matches this round

Full Nations League fixtures
18:45England–SpainOur pick:22.4314 of 17 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 3.07X 3.442 2.3118:45Czechia–CroatiaOur pick:22.1512 of 17 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.33X 3.492 2.1413:00Slovenia–ScotlandOur pick:U 2.51.6411 of 17 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.54X 3.142 2.86
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