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Northern Ireland vs Georgia 0:0: Nations League result and odds
Northern Ireland vs Georgia finished 0:0 in the Nations League. The AI models' pick was Northern Ireland to win at 2.42, and it lost.
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Northern Ireland to win
2.42AI models' pick · 9 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
What the odds were
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Only one snapshot of the line was kept — no movement was recorded for this match.
How the match went
Northern Ireland and Georgia finished goalless, 0-0 at half-time too, and the only real flashpoint came late: VAR awarded Northern Ireland a penalty on 82 minutes, and Isaac Price missed it two minutes later. Northern Ireland dominated territory, 1.90 xG to Georgia's 0.33, 15 shots to seven, five on target to two, yet could not break through. Georgia held 62% of the ball to Northern Ireland's 38%, picked up four yellow cards to Northern Ireland's none, made five saves to two, and Giorgi Mamardashvili was the match's top-rated player, rated 9.3. Our bet on Northern Ireland to win did not land; that price stood at kick-off and stayed there: 2.42. The draw was 3.05, Georgia's win 3.00, the under settled on 1.52, and both teams to score, no, on 1.74.
- 18'Giorgi Kochorashvili YC
- 46'on G. Tsitaishvili, off G. Kochorashvili
- 65'on B. Spencer, off E. Galbraith
- 65'on G. Chakvetadze, off Z. Davitashvili
- 65'on N. Lominadze, off A. Mekvabishvili
- 74'on K. Morrison, off P. Kelly
- 74'on J. Magennis, off J. Donley
- 74'on I. Yegoian, off G. Mamageishvili
- 82'penalty confirmed (VAR) · Ruairi McConville
- 83'Nodar Lominadze YC
- 84'Isaac Price missed penalty
- 86'Irakli Yegoian YC
- 86'on P. McNair, off T. Atcheson
- 86'on C. Marshall, off I. Price
- 86'on G. Mikautadze, off B. Zivzivadze
- 89'Giorgi Tsitaishvili YC
| Northern Ireland | stat | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | expected goals (xG) | 0.33 |
| 15 | shots | 7 |
| 5 | on target | 2 |
| 38% | possession | 62% |
| 8 | corners | 4 |
| 9 | fouls | 14 |
| 2 | saves | 5 |
| 79% | pass accuracy | 88% |
| 0 | yellow cards | 4 |
| 1.52 | goals prevented | 1.52 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- goals prevented
- The goalkeeper's work beyond expectation: how many goals they kept out compared with what the shots on target should have produced. A negative number means they conceded more than expected.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Northern Ireland- 1P. Charles8.7
- 4T. Atcheson6.9
- 15R. McConville8.5
- 22C. Brown7.3
- 5T. Hume7.2
- 19S. Charles7.9
- 7E. Galbraith7.2
- 3J. Devenny7.3
- 16P. Kelly6.9
- 14I. Price6.9
- 10J. Donley6.7
- 12C. Hazard
- 23B. Peacock-Farrell
- 17P. McNairon 86'6.7
- 18E. Toal
- 20B. Spenceron 65'7.3
- 6J. Thompson
- 2T. Devlin
- 13K. Morrisonon 74'6.5
- 21J. Magennison 74'6.9
- 8C. Marshallon 86'6.3
- 11P. Smyth
- 9C. O'Neill
Georgia- 1G. Mamardashvili — highest feed rating in the match9.3
- 4L. Lochoshvili6.6
- 3L. Dvali8.0
- 20S. Sazonov7.0
- 2O. Kakabadze7.5
- 14A. Mekvabishvili6.7
- 6G. Kochorashvili6.2
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia7.5
- 9Z. Davitashvili7.0
- 15G. Mamageishvili6.9
- 11B. Zivzivadze6.7
- 13D. Kereselidze
- 23L. Gugeshashvili
- 5S. Goglichidze
- 16S. Kharebashvili
- 10G. Chakvetadzeon 65'6.6
- 8N. Lominadzeon 65'6.3
- 18I. Yegoianon 74'6.3
- 12S. Lobjanidze
- 22G. Mikautadzeon 86'6.3
- 19G. Tsitaishvilion 46'6.9
- 21G. Gagua
- 17G. Kvernadze
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Northern Ireland win — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Northern Ireland not losing. 4 more bet on under 2.5 goals — the bet won. The other 2 bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet won.
- 9 of 161our betodds 2.42DeepSeek
GeminiKimi
GLMMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultralost - 4 of 16U 2.5odds 1.52
GrokQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxwon - 2 of 16BTTS noodds 1.74ChatGPTClaudewon
- 1 of 161Xsame directionodds 1.40
Sonarwon
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 04.10 at 11:58 UTC
Northern Ireland sit top of the group on seven points after three rounds, while Georgia have one point and fourth place. The two sides already met in September, when Northern Ireland won 1-0 away — their only previous meeting. The market leans the same way: 38% for the hosts, with the draw and an away win rated at 31% apiece. That September game was desperately tight, though, and a one-goal win says little about any real gap in quality.
Where we could be wrong
Georgia, on a single point, need a result, and defending is something they do well: in that one meeting they conceded just once. A draw and an away win combined carry noticeably more weight than a straight home win, so a cautious game with few chances could easily leave Northern Ireland without three points. We're still backing Northern Ireland to win at odds of 2.42.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Northern Ireland| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Ukraine | A | 3:0 | W |
| 28.09 | Hungary | H | 0:0 | D |
| 25.09 | Georgia | A | 1:0 | W |
| 08.06 | Francefriendly | A | 1:3 | L |
| 04.06 | Guineafriendly | H | 1:0 | W |
| 31.03 | Walesfriendly | A | 1:1 | D |
| 26.03 | ItalyWorld Cup qualifying | A | 0:2 | L |
| 17.11 | LuxembourgWorld Cup qualifying | H | 1:0xG 1.3–0.6 | W |
Georgia| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.10 | Hungary | A | 0:1 | L |
| 28.09 | Ukraine | H | 0:0 | D |
| 25.09 | Northern Ireland | H | 0:1 | L |
| 05.06 | Bahrainfriendly | H | 2:0 | W |
| 02.06 | Romaniafriendly | H | 1:1 | D |
| 29.03 | Lithuaniafriendly | A | 2:0 | W |
| 26.03 | Israelfriendly | H | 2:2 | D |
| 18.11 | BulgariaWorld Cup qualifying | A | 1:2xG 1.5–0.8 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
1–0–0Northern Ireland wins · draws · Georgia wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia vs Northern Ireland | 0:1 | 25.09.26 |
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4–0 | 7 | WDW |
| 2 | Ukraine | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1–3 | 4 | WDL |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1–1 | 4 | LDW |
| 4 | Georgia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 0–2 | 1 | LDL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
