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Switzerland vs North Macedonia 3:0: Nations League result and odds
Switzerland vs North Macedonia finished 3:0 in the Nations League. The AI models' pick was Switzerland −2.5 handicap at 2.26, and it won.
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Switzerland −2.5 handicap
2.26AI models' pick · 12 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
What the odds were
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Only one snapshot of the line was kept — no movement was recorded for this match.
How the match went
Switzerland settled this early: Agon Elezi was booked for North Macedonia on 37 minutes, then Fabian Rieder put the hosts 1-0 up on 43 minutes, the score at half-time. North Macedonia barely threatened afterwards, and Switzerland pulled away late on: Johan Manzambi scored from Dan Ndoye's assist in the 73rd minute, and Ndoye added the third himself on 81 minutes for 3-0. Switzerland had 20 shots to three, seven on target to none, and 57% of the ball, yet North Macedonia's goalkeeper made four saves while Switzerland's did not need a single one. Our Switzerland -2.5 handicap bet at 2.26 landed by three goals. Switzerland had gone off at 1.14 to win outright, the draw at 7.51, North Macedonia at 16.23; the over went off at 1.47 against 2.48 for the under and came in as three goals were scored, while both teams to score was settled as a no at 1.53.
- 37'Agon Elezi YC
- 43'Fabian Rieder1:0
- 45'on Johan Manzambi, off Djibril Sow
- 45'on Ardon Jashari, off Vincent Sierro
- 59'on Azer·Omeragic, off Elmin Rastoder
- 59'on Matej Gashtarov, off Ljupche Doriev
- 70'on Winsley Boteli Mokango, off Zeki Amdouni
- 70'on Zachary Athekame, off Ricardo Rodríguez
- 70'on Tihomir Kostadinov, off Agon Elezi
- 73'Johan Manzambi (Dan Ndoye)2:0
- 81'Dan Ndoye3:0
- 82'on Luka·Stankovski, off Enis Bardhi
- 82'on Bojan Miovski, off Dimitar Mitrovski
- 86'on Alvyn Sanches, off Dan Ndoye
| Switzerland | stat | North Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | shots | 3 |
| 7 | on target | 0 |
| 57% | possession | 43% |
| 8 | corners | 3 |
| 12 | fouls | 14 |
| 0 | saves | 4 |
| 0 | yellow cards | 1 |
what these numbers mean
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Switzerland- 12Y. Mvogo6.9
- 13R. Rodríguez6.8
- 5M. Akanji7.0
- 4N. Elvedi7.1
- 2S. Britschgi6.2
- 6V. Sierro7.2
- 8R. Freuler6.3
- 11D. Ndoye — highest feed rating in the match9.0
- 22F. Rieder8.1
- 15D. Sow6.4
- 10Z. Amdouni6.5
- 20M. Aebischer
- 23A. Sancheson 86'6.5
- 16Z. Athekameon 70'6.1
- 3A. Bajrami
- 19Winsley Boteli Mokangoon 70'6.4
- 18E. Cömert
- 17C. Itten
- 14A. Jasharion 45'7.2
- 21M. Keller
- 9J. Manzambion 45'8.2
- 7Joël Monteiro
- 1A. Racioppi
North Macedonia- 23S. Dimitrievski6.3
- 8E. Alioski5.7
- 6V. Musliu6.4
- 5G. Zajkov6.0
- 4A. Stojchevski5.6
- 19L. Doriev5.8
- 15A. Elezi5.7
- 7E. Elmas6.4
- 10E. Bardhi5.9
- 20D. Mitrovski6.2
- 11E. Rastoder6.2
- 3S. Alomerović
- 1D. Taleski
- 21L. Stankovskion 82'5.5
- 12D. Shishkovski
- 17A. Omeragikjon 59'6.7
- 9B. Miovskion 82'6.3
- 18T. Kostadinovon 70'5.9
- 2Bojan Ilievski
- 14G. Dzhekov
- 16M. Gashtarovon 59'6.1
- 13Anes Meljichi
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on Switzerland −2.5 — the bet won. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: a Switzerland win. 3 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet won.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 04.10 at 11:24 UTC
The two sides have met just once, at the end of September, and Switzerland won it 3-0 away. The Nati now top the group with a maximum nine points after three rounds, while North Macedonia sit fourth and are still without a point. The prices tell the same story: 1.14 on the hosts against 16.23 on the visitors, around 82% for a Switzerland win. Our pick is the Switzerland -2.5 handicap at 2.26, rated at 42% by the market — it needs a win by three or more goals, and that recent away result shows this pairing can produce a gap that wide.
Where we could be wrong
The catch is that after three defeats North Macedonia may spend the whole game camped near their own box, and a modest scoreline is enough for the hosts to stay top of the group. One goal conceded, or a late opener, and the bet goes down.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Switzerland| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.10 | Slovenia | H | 2:1 | W |
| 29.09 | Scotland | A | 3:0 | W |
| 26.09 | North Macedonia | A | 3:0 | W |
| 12.07 | ArgentinaWorld Cup | A | 1:3xG 0.5–1.9 | L |
| 07.07 | ColombiaWorld Cup | H | 0:0pensxG 0.4–1.1 | W |
| 03.07 | AlgeriaWorld Cup | H | 2:0xG 2.6–0.7 | W |
| 24.06 | CanadaWorld Cup | H | 2:1xG 1.1–1.7 | W |
| 18.06 | Bosnia and HerzegovinaWorld Cup | H | 4:1xG 2.1–0.2 | W |
North Macedonia| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.10 | Scotland | H | 0:2 | L |
| 29.09 | Slovenia | A | 0:2 | L |
| 26.09 | Switzerland | H | 0:3 | L |
| 01.06 | Turkeyfriendly | A | 0:4 | L |
| 29.05 | Bosnia and Herzegovinafriendly | A | 0:0 | D |
| 31.03 | Republic of Irelandfriendly | A | 0:0 | D |
| 26.03 | DenmarkWorld Cup qualifying | A | 0:4 | L |
| 18.11 | WalesWorld Cup qualifying | A | 1:7xG 0.6–4.6 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Head to head
1–0–0Switzerland wins · draws · North Macedonia wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia vs Switzerland | 0:3 | 26.09.26 |
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8–1 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3–2 | 4 | DWL |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2–3 | 4 | DLW |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 0–7 | 0 | LLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
