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data updated 14.10 03:20

FINISHED

Aston Villa vs Brentford 2:2: result and odds

Aston Villa vs Brentford finished 2:2. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.57, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Aston Villa
Brentford

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.57

AI models' pick · 8 of 16 for this bet, 8 for others

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

won+0.57 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:113%

2:1 8%1:2 8%0:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 10.10 12:07

result12.77+0.13X3.51+0.0722.47−0.07
total 2.5O1.67−0.07U2.23+0.12
both to scoreyes1.52 — matches our bet−0.07no2.40+0.16
double chance1X1.54+0.04121.29−0.01X21.43−0.04
handicaptaken 07.10 07:46H1 01.97H2 01.92

Over 20 days an Aston Villa win drifted from 2.64 to 2.77 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.57 → 1.52 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.57 to 1.52: the market now rates it as more likely.

Yes1.59 → 1.52our betNo2.24 → 2.40
1.601.802.002.202.4010 daysno data3 daysno data20 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25 Sep26 Sep27 Sep7 Oct10 OctWe published · 1.57No 2.40Yes 1.52

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.52−0.052.40+0.01
7 Oct – 10 Oct · no snapshots for 3 days
We published both teams score at 1.57
1.57−0.022.39+0.15
27 Sep – 7 Oct · no snapshots for 10 days
1.59opened2.24opened
104 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

How the match went

half-time 1:1

match report · 11.10 04:00

Aston Villa and Brentford shared four goals that swung twice in the closing quarter of an hour. Yarmoliuk put Brentford ahead on 10 minutes, Jackson levelled for Aston Villa two minutes later, and it was 1-1 at half-time. McGinn restored Aston Villa's lead on 77 minutes, set up by Manzambi, before Ajer equalised two minutes later, assisted by Anthony, and it finished 2-2. Our both-teams-to-score bet at 1.57 landed. Aston Villa led on shots, twenty to fourteen. They also led on target, seven to four. The expected-goals tally read 1.84 against 1.31, yet Aston Villa could not hold either lead. Brentford committed twenty-four fouls to Aston Villa's seven. They also collected five bookings to Aston Villa's two. Before kick-off Brentford's win was priced at 2.47, the draw rated 3.51, and Aston Villa were closer to even money at 2.77. The over in the goals market, on offer at 1.68, also landed as four goals went in.

  1. 10'BrentfordYehor Yarmoliuk0:1
  2. 12'Aston VillaNicolas Jackson1:1
  3. 35'BrentfordIgor Thiago YC
  4. 45'Aston Villaon Aaron Wan-Bissaka, off Matteo Ruggeri
  5. 45'Brentfordon Aaron Hickey, off Jannik Schuster
  6. 45+3'Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía YC
  7. 52'Brentfordon Mamadou Sangare, off Kevin Schade
  8. 64'Aston Villaon Ibrahim Mbaye, off Emiliano Buendía
  9. 67'Brentfordon Dango Ouattara, off Keane Lewis-Potter
  10. 67'Brentfordon Mathias Jensen, off Yehor Yarmoliuk
  11. 72'Aston VillaMatty Cash YC
  12. 75'BrentfordVitaly Janelt YC
  13. 77'Aston VillaJohn McGinn (Johan Manzambi)2:1
  14. 79'BrentfordKristoffer Ajer (Jaidon Anthony)2:2
  15. 82'BrentfordMichael Kayode YC
  16. 84'BrentfordKristoffer Ajer YC
  17. 85'Brentfordon Callum Wilson, off Jaidon Anthony
  18. 86'Aston Villaon Ross Barkley, off João Gomes
  19. 86'Aston Villaon Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha, off Johan Manzambi
  20. 90+5'BrentfordCallum Wilson YC
  21. 90+5'BrentfordK. Andrews YC
Match stats: Aston Villa vs Brentford
Aston VillastatBrentford
1.84expected goals (xG)1.31
20shots14
7on target4
52%possession48%
2corners2
7fouls24
3saves5
2yellow cards5
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Aston Villa

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Unai Emery

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Z. Suzuki6.1
  • 13M. Ruggeri6.3
  • 5T. Mings6.2
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.7
  • 2M. Cash5.9
  • 35João Gomes6.5
  • 8B. Kamara6.3
  • 44J. Manzambi7.7
  • 10E. Buendía6.0
  • 7J. McGinn7.6
  • 11N. Jackson — highest feed rating in the match8.2
substitutes
  • 18T. Abraham
  • 6R. Barkleyon 86'6.1
  • 40M. Bizot
  • 26L. Bogarde
  • 14Pau Torres
  • 17A. Garnacho
  • 19I. Mbayeon 64'6.9
  • 29A. Wan-Bissakaon 45'6.2
  • 47Alysson Edwardon 86'6.4
Brentford

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Keith Andrews

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1C. Kelleher6.7
  • 25E. Diouf6.3
  • 20K. Ajer7.2
  • 44Jannik Schuster6.3
  • 33M. Kayode5.7
  • 27V. Janelt6.0
  • 6Y. Yarmolyuk7.2
  • 7K. Schade6.4
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter6.2
  • 19J. Anthony6.9
  • 9Thiago6.4
substitutes
  • 13C. Wilsonon 85'6.3
  • 12H. Valdimarsson
  • 18M. Sangaréon 52'6.1
  • 11D. Ouattaraon 67'6.6
  • 8M. Jensenon 67'6.1
  • 2A. Hickeyon 45'6.5
  • 14Fábio Carvalho
  • 48B. Fredrick
  • 4S. van den Berg

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 4 more bet on a Brentford win — the bet lost. The other 4 chose other bets: double chance and a total-goals bet.

  • 8 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.57ClaudeDeepSeekGeminiQwenDeepSeek FlashMistralDots3-NoteNemotron Ultrawon
  • 4 of 162odds 2.54GrokKimiGLMNemotron Superlost
  • 2 of 16X2odds 1.48MiniMaxSonarwon
  • 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.68ChatGPTXiaomi MiMowon

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 11:17 UTC

The head-to-head record is the awkward part of this one. Aston Villa lost 0-1 at home in February and 0-1 away in August 2025, and in three of the last four meetings one side failed to score. The picture is different now, though. The hosts have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, they have scored four and conceded nine across the last five rounds, and Brentford both scored and conceded in each of their two away games, with an average of three goals in their matches on the road. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at around 60%, and it is a long time since a game between these two ended with neither side on the scoresheet. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.57.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is Aston Villa's attack: 16th in the Premier League, four points from five rounds and one of their two home matches without a goal of their own. If Brentford, still unbeaten, sit deep and make one attack count, the bet goes down.

  • 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Aston Villa
Recent matches: Aston Villa
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02.10Sevillaclub friendlyA3:1W
19.09Tottenham HotspurA3:2W
16.09Coventry CityEFL CupA3:1W
12.09Nottingham ForestH1:2L
08.09Club BruggeChampions LeagueA3:2W
Brentford
Recent matches: Brentford
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.09ChelseaH3:0W
15.09ReadingEFL CupA2:1W
12.09BournemouthA2:2D
05.09SunderlandH1:1D
30.08Leeds UnitedA1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstAston VillaBrentfordEPL
goals0.8 / 1.82 / 0.81.4
xG0.9 / 1.82 / 1.31.5
shots9.6 / 16.216.2 / 13.413.9
shots on target2.4 / 5.24.6 / 4.64.4
corners3 / 4.84.4 / 54.7
fouls11.4 / 10.614.4 / 911.4
yellow cards2 / 2.22.2 / 1.61.9
matches over 2.560%60%
both scored40%60%
clean sheets20%40%
failed to score60%0%
home / away
goals0.5 / 1.51.5 / 1.5
average total23
matches over 2.550%50%
both scored50%100%
  • Aston Villa score less than the league average: 0.8 vs 1.4
  • Brentford score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.4
  • Brentford unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Aston Villa, away games only for Brentford

Head to head

last 10

4–4–2Aston Villa wins · draws · Brentford wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Aston Villa vs Brentford0:101.02.26
Brentford vs Aston Villa1:116.09.25EFL Cup
Brentford vs Aston Villa1:023.08.25
Brentford vs Aston Villa0:108.03.25
Aston Villa vs Brentford3:104.12.24
Aston Villa vs Brentford3:306.04.24
Brentford vs Aston Villa1:217.12.23
Aston Villa vs Brentford3:330.07.23Premier League Summer Series
Brentford vs Aston Villa1:122.04.23
Aston Villa vs Brentford4:023.10.22
  • both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10

Other matches this round

All Premier League results
0:2Sunderland–Brighton & Hove AlbionOur pick:2prediction won11 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.08X 3.432 2.315:1Chelsea–BournemouthOur pick:BTTSprediction won11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.83X 3.922 4.112:1Ipswich Town–FulhamOur pick:U 2.5prediction lost9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.74X 3.472 2.51