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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Brentford vs Liverpool 1:2: result and odds

Brentford vs Liverpool finished 1:2. The AI models' pick was Brentford to win at 2.37, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Brentford
Liverpool

AI models' pick: Brentford to win

2.37

AI models' pick · 12 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

lost−1.00 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.25

2:1 9%1:2 8% — this score came in2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 13:07

result12.41 — matches our bet−0.03X3.65+0.0122.81+0.14
total 2.5O1.56+0.02U2.36−0.04
both to scoreyes1.47+0.01no2.53−0.07
double chance1X1.43−0.03121.29+0.02X21.57+0.04
handicapH1 −0.52.35−0.04H2 +0.51.59+0.01

Over 5 days a Liverpool win drifted from 2.67 to 2.81 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Brentford: 2.37 → 2.41 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Brentford win) has drifted from 2.37 to 2.41: the market now rates it as less likely.

Brentford2.44 → 2.41our betDraw3.64 → 3.65Liverpool2.67 → 2.81
2.503.003.5012 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 2.37Draw 3.65Liverpool 2.81Brentford 2.41

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenBrentford · our betDrawLiverpool
2.41+0.013.65−0.012.81
2.40−0.033.662.81+0.04
2.43+0.023.66−0.012.77−0.01
2.41−0.023.67+0.012.78+0.02
2.43+0.013.66−0.012.76−0.01
2.42+0.043.67+0.012.77−0.05
2.38+0.013.66+0.052.82+0.02
We published a Brentford win at 2.37
2.37−0.013.61+0.012.80
2.383.60−0.052.80+0.04
2.38−0.063.65+0.012.76+0.09
2.44opened3.64opened2.67opened
63 snapshots · the prices changed 10 times

How the match went

half-time 1:0

match report · 17.10 16:15

  1. 31'LiverpoolBradley Barcola YC
  2. 32'Liverpoolon Treymaurice Nyoni, off Dominik Szoboszlai
  3. 41'Liverpoolpenalty overturned (VAR) · Alexis Mac Allister
  4. 44'BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter (Igor Thiago)1:0
  5. 45'Liverpoolon Jeremie Frimpong, off Ronald Araujo
  6. 45'Brentfordon Kevin Schade, off Dango Ouattara
  7. 45'Brentfordon Mamadou Sangare, off Mathias Jensen
  8. 45+5'BrentfordVAR check · Yehor Yarmoliuk
  9. 45+8'BrentfordYehor Yarmoliuk RC
  10. 46'BrentfordIgor Thiago YC
  11. 49'LiverpoolJérémy Jacquet YC
  12. 52'Liverpoolon Rio Ngumoha, off Jeremie Frimpong
  13. 53'LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister YC
  14. 60'BrentfordKevin Schade YC
  15. 62'LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz (Florian Wirtz)1:1
  16. 63'BrentfordVitaly Janelt YC
  17. 70'LiverpoolAlexander Isak (Bradley Barcola)1:2
  18. 71'Brentfordon Aaron Hickey, off Sepp van den Berg
  19. 77'Brentfordon El Hadji Malick Diouf, off Keane Lewis-Potter
  20. 77'Brentfordon Mikkel Damsgaard, off Jaidon Anthony
  21. 79'Liverpoolon Lewis Koumas, off Alexander Isak
  22. 79'Liverpoolon Joe Gomez, off Víctor Muñoz
  23. 90+2'BrentfordVitaly Janelt RC
Match stats: Brentford vs Liverpool
BrentfordstatLiverpool
0.90expected goals (xG)1.54
10shots21
2on target5
40%possession60%
3corners9
7fouls13
3saves1
2yellow cards3
2red cards0
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Brentford

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Keith Andrews

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1C. Kelleher6.2
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter7.5
  • 4S. van den Berg6.3
  • 20K. Ajer6.6
  • 33M. Kayode7.4
  • 27V. Janelt5.4
  • 6Y. Yarmolyuk5.3
  • 19J. Anthony6.7
  • 8M. Jensen6.5
  • 11D. Ouattara6.3
  • 9Thiago6.4
substitutes
  • 14Fábio Carvalho
  • 13C. Wilson
  • 24M. Damsgaardon 77'6.1
  • 18M. Sangaréon 45'6.1
  • 7K. Schadeon 45'6.0
  • 25E. Dioufon 77'6.5
  • 22N. Collins
  • 2A. Hickeyon 71'6.9
  • 12H. Valdimarsson
Liverpool

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Andoni Iraola

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Alisson Becker6.5
  • 6M. Kerkez6.0
  • 4V. van Dijk7.2
  • 5J. Jacquet6.3
  • 33R. Araújo6.2
  • 8D. Szoboszlai6.1
  • 10A. Mac Allister7.0
  • 29B. Barcola6.5
  • 7F. Wirtz7.5
  • 23Víctor Muñoz — highest feed rating in the match7.9
  • 9A. Isak7.8
substitutes
  • 67L. Koumason 79'6.6
  • 73R. Ngumohaon 52'7.0
  • 25G. Mamardashvili
  • 2J. Gomezon 79'6.4
  • 30J. Frimpongon 45'6.4
  • 21K. Tsimikas
  • 3W. Endo
  • 42T. Nyonion 32'6.8
  • 18C. Gakpo

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Brentford win — the bet lost. 6 more chose close bets in the same direction: Brentford draw no bet and Brentford not losing. The other 2 chose a bet each: both teams to score and a Liverpool win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:20 UTC

Brentford have given very little away at home this autumn: two wins in three matches, 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game, with two clean sheets. Liverpool arrive with their first-choice attack stripped out — no Isak, no Ekitike and no Gakpo, who have scored 17 and 9 goals in 2025/26 — and on top of that come Gravenberch's suspension and Bradley's knee, with seven unavailable. The hosts sit higher in the table too, fourth on 10 points against nine points and ninth place for the visitors. Over three days the price on Brentford has shortened from 2.44 to 2.38 while Liverpool have drifted from 2.67 to 2.8, and in October 2025 at this same ground Brentford won 3-2.

Where we could be wrong

Away from home Liverpool have looked the better version of themselves so far: two wins in three trips, 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. The previous meetings favour the visitors as well, with six Brentford defeats in the last 10, and the home side are without two forwards, with four more doubtful. Even with that, our pick is Brentford to win at 2.37.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 15.10 21:36
Brentford
  • K. FuroFW · 3 matches in 2025/26surgeryout
  • A. MilamboFW · 3 matches in 2025/26knockout
  • N. CollinsDF · 41 matches in 2025/26calf injurydoubtful
  • M. DamsgaardMF · 37 matches in 2025/26ankle injurydoubtful
  • J. DasilvaMF · 2 matches in 2025/26muscle injurydoubtful
  • K. SchadeMF · 8 goals in 2025/26injurydoubtful
Liverpool
  • C. BradleyDF · 21 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • H. EkitikeFW · 17 goals in 2025/26achilles tendon injuryout
  • C. GakpoMF · 9 goals in 2025/26ankle injuryout
  • R. GravenberchMF · 6 goals in 2025/26red cardout
  • A. IsakFW · 22 matches in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • G. LeoniDF · 1 match in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • D. SzoboszlaiMF · 13 goals in 2025/26hamstring injuryout
  • R. NgumohaFW · 29 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful

managers: Keith Andrews · Andoni Iraola · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Brentford
Recent matches: Brentford
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10Aston VillaA2:2xG 1.1–2.3D
18.09ChelseaH3:0xG 2.6–0.8W
15.09ReadingEFL CupA2:1W
12.09BournemouthA2:2xG 0.5–1.8D
05.09SunderlandH1:1xG 1.2–1.7D
30.08Leeds UnitedA1:1xG 1.7–1.5D
Liverpool
Recent matches: Liverpool
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14.10LASKChampions LeagueA6:3xG 3.3–2.1W
11.10Manchester CityH0:3xG 0.9–1.3L
20.09BournemouthA1:0xG 1.6–0.8W
15.09Tottenham HotspurEFL CupH3:1W
12.09FulhamH0:0xG 1.3–0.7D
09.09Atlético MadridChampions LeagueH2:1W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBrentfordLiverpoolEPL
goals2 / 11.2 / 1.21.5
xG1.8 / 1.41.5 / 1.21.5
shots15.8 / 14.514.8 / 12.213.8
shots on target4.5 / 55 / 3.74.5
corners4 / 4.54.2 / 4.74.7
fouls16 / 8.714 / 10.811.5
yellow cards2.7 / 1.72.7 / 21.9
matches over 2.567%50%
both scored67%33%
clean sheets33%50%
failed to score0%33%
home / away
goals2.3 / 0.31.7 / 0.7
average total2.72.3
matches over 2.567%33%
both scored33%33%
  • Brentford score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.5
  • Liverpool score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
  • Brentford unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Brentford, away games only for Liverpool

Head to head

last 10

2–2–6Brentford wins · draws · Liverpool wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Liverpool vs Brentford1:124.05.26
Brentford vs Liverpool3:225.10.25
Brentford vs Liverpool0:218.01.25
Liverpool vs Brentford2:025.08.24
Brentford vs Liverpool1:417.02.24
Liverpool vs Brentford3:012.11.23
Liverpool vs Brentford1:006.05.23
Brentford vs Liverpool3:102.01.23
Liverpool vs Brentford3:016.01.22
Brentford vs Liverpool3:325.09.21
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
3Brighton & Hove Albion64-1-118–513LDWWW
4Brentford62-4-012–610DDDWD
5Everton62-4-08–510DDDWD
8Hull City62-3-18–69WDDLD
9Liverpool62-3-17–79DWDWL
10Ipswich Town63-0-39–129LLWLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Brentford
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3000
  • 31-4531
  • 46-6031
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9033
Liverpool
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3001
  • 31-4500
  • 46-6031
  • 61-7503
  • 76-9021

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Premier League results
1:0Fulham–Hull CityOur pick:BTTSprediction lost11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.66X 4.002 5.133:2Manchester City–Ipswich TownOur pick:1prediction won6 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.25X 6.792 10.060:2Everton–ChelseaOur pick:1Xprediction lost6 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.10X 3.712 2.19