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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Everton vs Chelsea 0:2: result and odds

Everton vs Chelsea finished 0:2. The AI models' pick was Everton or draw at 1.69, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Everton
Chelsea

AI models' pick: Everton or draw

1.69

AI models' pick · 6 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

lost−1.00 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:113%odds 6.98

2:1 9%1:0 7%2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 11:07

result13.10−0.01X3.71+0.0522.19+0.04
total 2.5O1.66−0.01U2.25+0.03
both to scoreyes1.54no2.33−0.02
double chance1X1.68 — matches our bet−0.01121.28+0.01X21.37+0.02
handicapH1 +11.33−0.01H2 −13.19+0.05

Over 5 days a draw drifted from 3.66 to 3.71 — fewer bets on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Everton or draw: 1.69 → 1.68 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: 1X 1.69 → 1.68, 12 1.27 → 1.28, X2 1.35 → 1.37.

1X1.69 → 1.68our bet121.27 → 1.28X21.35 → 1.37
1.301.401.501.601.7012 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 1.691X 1.68X2 1.3712 1.28

Price changes

Price changes in the Double chance market
When1X · our bet12X2
1.68−0.011.281.37
1.69−0.011.28+0.011.37+0.02
We published Everton or draw at 1.69
1.70+0.011.271.35
1.69opened1.27opened1.35opened
61 snapshots · the prices changed 3 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 17.10 13:43

  1. 23'EvertonHarrison Armstrong YC
  2. 27'ChelseaPedro Neto YC
  3. 32'ChelseaJosh Acheampong YC
  4. 34'EvertonJames Tarkowski YC
  5. 34'ChelseaMorgan Rogers YC
  6. 46'ChelseaPedro Neto0:1
  7. 55'Evertonon Tyrique George, off Ainsley Maitland-Niles
  8. 65'ChelseaCole Palmer YC
  9. 75'Chelseaon Mike Penders, off Emiliano Martínez
  10. 85'Evertonon Christian Nørgaard, off Harrison Armstrong
  11. 85'Evertonon Brennan Johnson, off Jack Grealish
  12. 89'EvertonChristian Nørgaard YC
  13. 90'ChelseaPedro Neto0:2
  14. 90+2'Chelseaon Danny Welbeck, off João Pedro
  15. 90+2'Chelseaon Marco Palestra, off Jorrel Hato
  16. 90+2'Chelseaon Romeo Lavia, off Moises Caicedo
  17. 90+12'Chelseaon Geovany Quenda, off Pedro Neto
Match stats: Everton vs Chelsea
EvertonstatChelsea
0.54expected goals (xG)1.59
6shots18
5on target7
47%possession53%
5corners7
8fouls15
4saves5
3yellow cards4
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Everton

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager D. Moyes

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1J. Pickford6.6
  • 16V. Mykolenko7.0
  • 4J. Branthwaite6.6
  • 6J. Tarkowski5.9
  • 2A. Maitland-Niles6.0
  • 37J. Garner6.5
  • 45H. Armstrong5.7
  • 10J. Grealish6.5
  • 8K. Dewsbury-Hall6.4
  • 34M. Röhl6.3
  • 11T. Barry6.4
substitutes
  • 12M. Travers
  • 15J. O'Brien
  • 20T. Dibling
  • 24C. Alcaraz
  • 23C. Nørgaardon 85'5.8
  • 30H. Hackney
  • 58B. Graham
  • 19Tyrique Georgeon 55'6.3
  • 22B. Johnsonon 85'6.1
Chelsea

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager Xabi Alonso

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1E. Martínez7.6
  • 21J. Hato7.5
  • 6L. Colwill7.1
  • 5M. Lacroix7.6
  • 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong7.0
  • 14J. Henderson7.1
  • 25M. Caicedo7.2
  • 17M. Rogers6.8
  • 10C. Palmer7.3
  • 7Pedro Neto — highest feed rating in the match9.7
  • 9João Pedro6.4
substitutes
  • 39M. Penderson 75'7.2
  • 18D. Welbeckon 90+2'0.0
  • 4V. Barco
  • 45R. Laviaon 90+2'0.0
  • 32M. Nicoll-Jazuli
  • 23Geovany Tcherno Quendaon 90+12'0.0
  • 41Estêvão
  • 2M. Palestraon 90+2'0.0
  • 3W. Fofana

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Everton not losing — the bet lost. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Everton +1.5, Everton +1 and Everton draw no bet. 4 more bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. The other 5 chose other bets: total-goals bets and a Chelsea win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:20 UTC

Everton have not lost at home: two wins and a draw, 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, with clean sheets in two of those three. Chelsea on their travels are a different story — one win and two defeats, 1.3 scored against 2.3 conceded, and not a single away game without conceding. The pair sit level in the Premier League table on 10 points each after six rounds, and the last meeting in Liverpool, in March 2026, went to the hosts 3-0. The market rates Everton avoiding defeat at 56%, and the home numbers back that up. Our pick is Everton or draw at 1.69.

Where we could be wrong

The visitors' attack is still a concern: 18 goals in six matches this season and a goal in every away trip, so the home side are hardly likely to be allowed a clean sheet here. Everton lean on their discipline in front of their own supporters' eyes at home, but Mykolenko is a doubt and the left side of the defence may have to be rebuilt.

  • 6 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction; more than half chose something else.
  • Bookmakers: Chelsea looks more likely.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 15.10 21:35
Everton
  • V. MykolenkoDF · 37 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful
Chelsea
  • J. GittensMF · 29 matches in 2025/26ankle injuryout
  • E. EmeghaFW · 8 goals in 2025/26muscle injurydoubtful

managers: Leighton Baines · Xabi Alonso · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Everton
Recent matches: Everton
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10Hull CityA2:2xG 1.7–1.3D
19.09Ipswich TownH1:0xG 2.2–1.4W
16.09Wolverhampton WanderersEFL CupH1:0W
12.09Tottenham HotspurA0:0D
06.09Manchester UnitedH2:2xG 1.0–0.7D
29.08BournemouthA1:1xG 1.8–2.2D
Chelsea
Recent matches: Chelsea
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10BournemouthH5:1xG 1.1–1.4W
18.09BrentfordA0:3xG 0.8–2.6L
12.09Hull CityH2:2D
09.09Leeds UnitedEFL CupH6:3W
06.09ArsenalA1:2xG 0.4–2.0L
30.08Brighton & Hove AlbionH4:3xG 2.9–1.4W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstEvertonChelseaEPL
goals1.3 / 0.82.5 / 2.21.5
xG1.5 / 1.41.3 / 1.71.5
shots15.8 / 1313.7 / 13.513.8
shots on target5 / 3.85.3 / 64.5
corners5.2 / 4.85.7 / 5.54.7
fouls7.3 / 138.3 / 12.311.5
yellow cards1.5 / 1.71.5 / 31.9
matches over 2.533%100%
both scored50%83%
clean sheets50%0%
failed to score17%17%
home / away
goals1.7 / 0.71.3 / 2.3
average total2.33.7
matches over 2.533%100%
both scored33%67%
  • Everton shoot more often than the league average: 15.8 shots vs 13.8
  • Chelsea score more than the league average: 2.5 vs 1.5
  • Everton unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Everton, away games only for Chelsea

Head to head

last 10

3–3–4Everton wins · draws · Chelsea wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Everton vs Chelsea3:021.03.26
Chelsea vs Everton2:013.12.25
Chelsea vs Everton1:026.04.25
Everton vs Chelsea0:022.12.24
Chelsea vs Everton6:015.04.24
Everton vs Chelsea2:010.12.23
Chelsea vs Everton2:218.03.23
Everton vs Chelsea0:106.08.22
Everton vs Chelsea1:001.05.22
Chelsea vs Everton1:116.12.21
  • both scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
4Brentford62-4-012–610DDDWD
5Everton62-4-08–510DDDWD
6Chelsea63-1-215–1310WLDLW
7Leeds United62-3-18–59DDWDL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Everton
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3000
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9031
Chelsea
  • 0-1570
  • 16-3003
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7551
  • 76-9003

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Premier League results
1:0Fulham–Hull CityOur pick:BTTSprediction lost11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.66X 4.002 5.133:2Manchester City–Ipswich TownOur pick:1prediction won6 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.25X 6.792 10.061:2Brentford–LiverpoolOur pick:1prediction lost12 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 2.41X 3.652 2.81