FINISHED
Fulham vs Hull City 1:0: result and odds
Fulham vs Hull City finished 1:0. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.71, and it lost.
- Referee: Chris Kavanagh · 4.1 yellow cards per match
- Premier League, matchday 7 of 38
- +14°, overcast, wind 17 km/h
- Craven Cottage, London
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.71AI models' pick · 11 of 16 for this bet, 5 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%2:2 6%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 5 days a Hull City win drifted from 4.78 to 5.13 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.71 → 1.73 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.71 to 1.73: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73+0.01 | 2.02 | |
| 1.72+0.02 | 2.02−0.03 | |
| 1.70+0.01 | 2.05−0.01 | |
| 1.69−0.01 | 2.06+0.01 | |
| 1.70+0.01 | 2.05−0.01 | |
| 1.69 | 2.06−0.02 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.71 | ||
| 1.69−0.02 | 2.08+0.02 | |
| 1.71opened | 2.06opened | |
How the match went
- 22'Lucas Herrington YC
- 27'Josh King YC
- 27'Regan Slater YC
- 33'Alex Iwobi (Sander Berge)1:0
- 45'on Tim Iroegbunam, off Lucas Herrington
- 68'on Robinio Vaz, off Matt Crooks
- 68'on Joe Gelhardt, off Sorba Thomas
- 68'on Ryan Giles, off Brooke Norton-Cuffy
- 75'on Hidemasa Morita, off Regan Slater
- 78'on Ryan Sessegnon, off Josh King
- 78'on Tom Cairney, off Oscar Bobb
- 84'Sander Berge YC
- 85'on Cesar Palacios Perez, off Gonzalo García
- 90+4'Ryan Sessegnon RC
| Fulham | stat | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | expected goals (xG) | 0.18 |
| 18 | shots | 5 |
| 6 | on target | 0 |
| 76% | possession | 24% |
| 11 | corners | 2 |
| 13 | fouls | 11 |
| 0 | saves | 5 |
| 2 | yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | red cards | 0 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Fulham- 1B. Leno6.7
- 33A. Robinson7.0
- 3C. Bassey7.4
- 22D. Affengruber7.5
- 21T. Castagne7.5
- 19S. Charles7.2
- 16S. Berge7.7
- 17A. Iwobi — highest feed rating in the match8.2
- 24Joshua King6.7
- 14Oscar Bobb7.1
- 7Gonzalo García6.3
- 9Rodrigo Muniz
- 11Kevin
- 20Manuel Ángel
- 10T. Cairneyon 78'7.2
- 8César Palacioson 85'7.1
- 23B. Lecomte
- 2K. Tete
- 5J. Andersen
- 30R. Sessegnonon 78'6.1
Hull City- 19K. Tzolakis6.9
- 18B. Norton-Cuffy5.7
- 22L. Herrington6.0
- 15J. Egan6.6
- 6S. Ajayi6.6
- 2L. Coyle6.5
- 7S. Thomas6.2
- 27R. Slater5.8
- 25M. Crooks6.7
- 10M. Belloumi5.9
- 9O. McBurnie6.1
- 5H. Moritaon 75'6.4
- 17P. McNair
- 3R. Gileson 68'6.3
- 47R. Vazon 68'6.3
- 12D. Phillips
- 11J. Gelhardton 68'6.1
- 14J. Hjertø-Dahl
- 42T. Iroegbunamon 45'6.2
- 21E. Stroud
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 4 more bet on a Fulham win — the bet won. One more bet on over 2.5 goals.
- 11 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.71ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokQwenMiniMaxMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Notelost - 4 of 161odds 1.72DeepSeek Flash
GLMNemotron SuperNemotron Ultrawon - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.73Kimilost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:20 UTC
Fulham have not kept a clean sheet in any of their three home games: they score 1.7 and concede 2.3 per match, and in every one of those meetings the goals flew in at both ends. Hull City are no tighter on the road — both teams scored in two of their three away matches, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of games for the pair of them in those roles. The hosts, on two points after six Premier League rounds, see plenty of the ball at 53.5%, yet they do little to protect their goal: seven scored and nine conceded.
Where we could be wrong
The Hull injury list is the worry. Without goalkeeper Butland and without Ans and his five goals, working an attack through to a shot becomes harder, and in the last four meetings Fulham did not concede at all. Even so, we're backing both teams to score at 1.71.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Fulham
T. CairneyMF · 29 matches in 2025/26knee injurydoubtful- A. RobinsonDF · 26 matches in 2025/26ankle injurydoubtful
Hull City- I. AnsahFW · 5 goals in 2025/26back injuryout
J. ButlandGK · 89 matches in 2025/26arm injuryout
D. GyabiMF · 21 matches in 2025/26groin injuryout
C. HughesDF · 43 matches in 2025/26groin injuryout
E. MatazoMF · 1 match in 2025/26knee injuryout- M. TargettDF · 46 matches in 2025/26ankle injuryout
- M. ChoFW · 5 goals in 2025/26muscle injurydoubtful
- L. Gourna-DouathMF · 15 matches in 2025/26calf injurydoubtful
managers: Alvaro Arbeloa · Sergej Jakirovic · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Recent matches
Fulham| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Ipswich Town | A | 1:2xG 1.8–1.1 | L |
| 20.09 | Manchester United | H | 1:1xG 1.6–1.6 | D |
| 15.09 | West Ham UnitedEFL Cup | A | 3:2 | W |
| 12.09 | Liverpool | A | 0:0xG 0.7–1.3 | D |
| 05.09 | Crystal Palace | H | 2:3xG 3.1–2.0 | L |
| 30.08 | Sunderland | A | 0:1xG 0.9–2.0 | L |
Hull City| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Everton | H | 2:2xG 1.3–1.7 | D |
| 19.09 | Newcastle United | A | 1:2xG 1.6–1.4 | L |
| 12.09 | Chelsea | A | 2:2 | D |
| 08.09 | SunderlandEFL Cup | A | 0:1 | L |
| 05.09 | Aston Villa | H | 0:0xG 0.6–1.9 | D |
| 29.08 | Coventry City | A | 1:0xG 0.7–1.3 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | EPL |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| shots | 14.2 / 15.7 | 11.7 / 14 | 13.8 |
| shots on target | 4.5 / 4.8 | 4 / 4.7 | 4.5 |
| corners | 5.5 / 4.7 | 4 / 6 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 10 / 8 | 10.8 / 6.7 | 11.5 |
| yellow cards | 2 / 0.8 | 3.2 / 0.7 | 1.9 |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| both scored | 67% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 17% | 50% | |
| failed to score | 33% | 17% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.7 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 1.3 | |
| average total | 4 | 2.7 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 67% | |
| both scored | 100% | 67% | |
- Fulham score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- Hull City shoot less often than the league average: 11.7 shots vs 13.8
- Fulham without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Fulham, away games only for Hull City
Head to head
6–1–3Fulham wins · draws · Hull City wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City vs Fulham | 0:2 | 07.01.23 | FA Cup |
| Hull City vs Fulham | 0:1 | 12.02.22 | Championship |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 2:0 | 21.08.21 | Championship |
| Hull City vs Fulham | 0:1 | 11.01.20 | Championship |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 0:3 | 02.11.19 | Championship |
| Hull City vs Fulham | 2:2 | 30.12.17 | Championship |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 2:1 | 13.09.17 | Championship |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 4:1 | 29.01.17 | FA Cup |
| Fulham vs Hull City | 0:1 | 23.01.16 | Championship |
| Hull City vs Fulham | 2:1 | 19.08.15 | Championship |
- both scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | 2-3-1 | 8–5 | 9 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2-3-1 | 8–6 | 9 | WDDLD |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2-3-1 | 7–7 | 9 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0-3-3 | 3–9 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0-2-4 | 6–10 | 2 | LLDDL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1511
- 16-3010
- 31-4512
- 46-6022
- 61-7502
- 76-9004
- 0-1503
- 16-3020
- 31-4520
- 46-6011
- 61-7522
- 76-9010
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
