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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town 3:2: result and odds

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town finished 3:2. The AI models' pick was Manchester City to win at 1.25, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Manchester City
Ipswich Town

AI models' pick: Manchester City to win

1.25

AI models' pick · Two directions drew level; the one priced closer to the line was taken

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

won+0.25 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:19%odds 12.64

2:1 9%2:2 7%1:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 13:07

result11.25 — matches our bet+0.02X6.79+0.17210.06−0.70
total 3.5O1.80−0.15U2.02+0.13
both to scoreyes1.63−0.14no2.18+0.20
double chance1X1.06+0.01121.12+0.01X24.03−0.05
handicapH1 −22.05H2 +21.76−0.02

Over 5 days an Ipswich Town win shortened from 10.76 to 10.06 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Manchester City: 1.25 → 1.25 since we publishedView

The biggest move is an Ipswich Town win: from 10.76 to 10.06.

Manchester City1.23 → 1.25our betDraw6.62 → 6.79Ipswich Town10.76 → 10.06
1.202.003.005.008.0012 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 1.25Ipswich Town 10.06Draw 6.79Manchester City 1.25

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenManchester City · our betDrawIpswich Town
1.256.79+0.1510.06−0.19
1.256.64+0.1010.25−0.04
1.256.5410.29+0.16
1.25−0.016.54+0.0210.13+0.07
1.26+0.016.52−0.1010.06−0.29
1.256.62+0.1810.35+0.27
We published a Manchester City win at 1.25
1.25+0.026.44−0.1510.08−0.45
1.236.59−0.1310.53−0.46
1.236.72+0.1010.99+0.23
1.23opened6.62opened10.76opened
63 snapshots · the prices changed 9 times

How the match went

half-time 2:1

match report · 17.10 16:15

  1. 19'Manchester CityPhil Foden (Jeremy Doku)1:0
  2. 21'Ipswich TownDaizen Maeda (Abdoul Ouattara)1:1
  3. 34'Manchester CityErling Haaland (Mateo Kovačić)2:1
  4. 50'Manchester Cityon Enzo Fernández, off Mateo Kovačić
  5. 61'Manchester Cityon Josko Gvardiol, off Nico O'Reilly
  6. 69'Manchester CityErling Haaland (Iliman Ndiaye)3:1
  7. 71'Ipswich Townon Azor Matusiwa, off Florentino Luís
  8. 71'Ipswich Townon Abdul Fatawu Issahaku, off Daizen Maeda
  9. 73'Ipswich TownAbdoul Ouattara YC
  10. 76'Manchester Cityon Abdukodir Khusanov, off Matheus Nunes
  11. 77'Manchester Cityon Elliot Anderson, off Phil Foden
  12. 77'Manchester Cityon Antoine Semenyo, off Jeremy Doku
  13. 78'Ipswich Townon Zian Flemming, off Emersonn
  14. 78'Ipswich Townon Chuba Akpom, off Julio Enciso
  15. 85'Manchester Citygoal disallowed (VAR) · Erling Haaland
  16. 88'Ipswich Townpenalty confirmed (VAR) · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
  17. 90'Ipswich TownZian Flemming penalty3:2
  18. 90+1'Ipswich Townon Jack Clarke, off Jacob Greaves
  19. 90+7'Manchester CityJosko Gvardiol YC
  20. 90+12'Ipswich TownLeif Davis YC
Match stats: Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
Manchester CitystatIpswich Town
3.61expected goals (xG)1.72
19shots8
6on target3
70%possession30%
2corners3
8fouls16
1saves4
1yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Manchester City

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager E. Maresca

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1G. Donnarumma6.0
  • 33N. O'Reilly5.8
  • 6M. Guéhi6.9
  • 3Rúben Dias7.0
  • 27Matheus Nunes6.2
  • 32A. Bouaddi6.7
  • 8M. Kovačić7.7
  • 11J. Doku7.3
  • 47P. Foden8.2
  • 7I. Ndiaye6.4
  • 9E. Haaland — highest feed rating in the match9.8
substitutes
  • 17E. Fernándezon 50'6.5
  • 10R. Cherki
  • 42A. Semenyoon 77'6.5
  • 37Allan
  • 28G. Rulli
  • 21R. Aït-Nouri
  • 24J. Gvardiolon 61'5.5
  • 45A. Khusanovon 76'6.2
  • 5E. Andersonon 77'6.0
Ipswich Town

formation 3-4-2-1 · manager G. O'Neil

starting XIfeed rating
  • 28C. Walton6.7
  • 24J. Greaves6.2
  • 6I. Diop6.4
  • 26D. O'Shea6.1
  • 3L. Davis6.3
  • 25E. Palacios6.6
  • 12Florentino5.9
  • 42A. Ouattara6.8
  • 10J. Enciso5.8
  • 38D. Maeda7.0
  • 19Emersonn6.3
substitutes
  • 2D. Furlong
  • 4C. Kipré
  • 5A. Matusiwaon 71'5.9
  • 7A. Fatawuon 71'6.5
  • 11J. Philogene
  • 47J. Clarkeon 90+1'0.0
  • 29C. Akpomon 78'6.5
  • 37K. Scherpen
  • 9Z. Flemmingon 78'7.7

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Manchester City win — the bet won. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Manchester City −2 and Manchester City −1.5. 5 more bet on over 3.5 goals — the bet won. The other 5 chose other bets: both teams to score and a total-goals bet.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 16.10 at 09:20 UTC

Five wins in a row, 14 goals scored and four conceded — Manchester City come into this one flying, and the market agrees, rating the hosts at 77%. All three home games have been won, at an average of 2.7 goals a game. Ipswich Town have one away win and two defeats on the road, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.7 a match, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. After six games City sit top of the Premier League on 18 points, Ipswich tenth on nine. City won the last two meetings 6-0 in January 2025 and 4-1 in August 2024.

Where we could be wrong

The question is a different one: which side will the hosts put out between Champions League matches? Rotation, allied to a habit of conceding at home at 1.3 goals a game, could keep the visitors in the contest longer than the price implies, and Ipswich do know how to score away. Our pick is still a Manchester City win.

  • Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Manchester City
Recent matches: Manchester City
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14.10Paris Saint-GermainChampions LeagueH2:4xG 2.7–1.9L
11.10LiverpoolA3:0xG 1.3–0.9W
20.09SunderlandH5:3xG 2.8–3.6W
17.09Norwich CityEFL CupH5:0W
13.09Manchester UnitedA1:0xG 1.1–1.0W
08.09PortoChampions LeagueA2:0W
Ipswich Town
Recent matches: Ipswich Town
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10FulhamH2:1xG 1.1–1.8W
19.09EvertonA0:1xG 1.4–2.2L
15.09ArsenalEFL CupH2:4L
12.09Crystal PalaceA3:2xG 1.7–0.6W
04.09LiverpoolH0:2L
30.08Manchester UnitedA2:5xG 2.0–4.6L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstManchester CityIpswich TownEPL
goals2.7 / 0.81.5 / 21.5
xG2 / 1.41.5 / 1.81.5
shots13.8 / 1211.5 / 16.513.8
shots on target5.2 / 4.34.7 / 5.54.5
corners6.2 / 4.33.3 / 5.24.7
fouls11.2 / 14.311 / 9.311.5
yellow cards1.3 / 1.81.7 / 2.31.9
matches over 2.567%67%
both scored50%67%
clean sheets50%0%
failed to score0%33%
home / away
goals2.7 / 1.31.7 / 2.7
average total44.3
matches over 2.567%67%
both scored67%67%
  • Manchester City score more than the league average: 2.7 vs 1.5
  • Ipswich Town shoot less often than the league average: 11.5 shots vs 13.8
  • Manchester City: 5 league wins in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Manchester City, away games only for Ipswich Town

Head to head

last 2

2–0–0Manchester City wins · draws · Ipswich Town wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Ipswich Town vs Manchester City0:619.01.25
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town4:124.08.24
  • both scored in 1 of the last 2 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 2

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Manchester City66-0-016–518WWWWW
2Arsenal65-0-110–515WWWLW
9Liverpool62-3-17–79DWDWL
10Ipswich Town63-0-39–129LLWLW
11Newcastle United62-2-210–138WDLWL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Manchester City
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3031
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6051
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9050
Ipswich Town
  • 0-1504
  • 16-3030
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6011
  • 61-7503
  • 76-9051

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Premier League results
1:0Fulham–Hull CityOur pick:BTTSprediction lost11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.66X 4.002 5.131:2Brentford–LiverpoolOur pick:1prediction lost12 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 2.41X 3.652 2.810:2Everton–ChelseaOur pick:1Xprediction lost6 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.10X 3.712 2.19