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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Bologna vs Inter 1:3: result and odds

Bologna vs Inter finished 1:3. The AI models' pick was Inter to win at 1.61, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Bologna
Inter

AI models' pick: Inter to win

1.61

AI models' pick · 9 of 16 for this bet, 7 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

won+0.61 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:111%odds 7.52

1:2 10%0:2 9%0:1 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 17.10 15:17

result15.80+0.32X4.21+0.1121.57 — matches our bet−0.02
total 2.5O1.63−0.02U2.31+0.06
both to scoreyes1.67no2.11
double chance1X2.40+0.07121.22X21.15
handicapH1 +11.90+0.05H2 −11.91−0.06

Over 5 days a Bologna win drifted from 5.48 to 5.80 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Inter: 1.61 → 1.57 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (an Inter win) has shortened from 1.61 to 1.57: the market now rates it as more likely.

Bologna5.48 → 5.80Draw4.10 → 4.21Inter1.59 → 1.57our bet
1.502.003.004.006.0012 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 OctWe published · 1.61Bologna 5.80Draw 4.21Inter 1.57

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenBolognaDrawInter · our bet
5.80−0.094.21+0.031.57
5.89+0.074.18+0.041.57−0.01
5.82−0.094.14+0.011.58
5.91+0.254.13+0.061.58−0.02
5.664.07+0.011.60−0.01
5.66+0.214.06+0.051.61−0.03
5.45+0.014.011.64+0.01
5.44+0.054.01+0.011.63+0.01
5.39+0.024.00+0.011.62
5.37+0.023.99−0.031.62+0.01
We published an Inter win at 1.61
5.35−0.114.02−0.081.61+0.03
5.46+0.024.101.58
5.44−0.034.101.58−0.01
5.47−0.014.101.59
5.48opened4.10opened1.59opened
64 snapshots · the prices changed 14 times

How the match went

half-time 1:1

match report · 17.10 18:25

  1. 10'BolognaTommaso Pobega (Juan Miranda)1:0
  2. 30'Bolognaon Jay Enem, off Roberto Piccoli
  3. 34'BolognaArthur Theate YC
  4. 35'InterPio Esposito YC
  5. 44'InterMarcus Thuram (Nicolò Barella)1:1
  6. 57'BolognaTommaso Pobega YC
  7. 58'Interon Ange-Yoan Bonny, off Pio Esposito
  8. 61'InterMarcus Thuram YC
  9. 63'Bolognaon Eivind Helland, off Arthur Theate
  10. 69'Interon Carlos Augusto, off Federico Dimarco
  11. 69'Interon Andy Diouf, off Luis Henrique
  12. 69'InterCarlos Augusto (Piotr Zieliński)1:2
  13. 71'BolognaJuan Miranda YC
  14. 72'BolognaFederico Bernardeschi YC
  15. 76'Bolognaon Artem Dovbyk, off Nicolo Cambiaghi
  16. 76'Bolognaon Nikola Moro, off Tommaso Pobega
  17. 79'InterCarlos Augusto YC
  18. 79'Interon Hakan Çalhanoğlu, off Piotr Zieliński
  19. 79'Interon Henrikh Mkhitaryan, off Marcus Thuram
  20. 83'InterAnge-Yoan Bonny (Carlos Augusto)1:3
Match stats: Bologna vs Inter
BolognastatInter
0.98expected goals (xG)3.41
11shots17
4on target8
35%possession65%
2corners7
8fouls11
5saves3
4yellow cards3
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Bologna

formation 3-4-2-1 · manager Raffaele Palladino

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Ł. Skorupski6.7
  • 3A. Theate5.8
  • 16N. Casale6.2
  • 36M. Darmian6.4
  • 33Juan Miranda6.5
  • 4T. Pobega7.7
  • 19L. Ferguson6.5
  • 20N. Zortea5.2
  • 28N. Cambiaghi6.0
  • 10F. Bernardeschi6.1
  • 91R. Piccoli6.2
substitutes
  • 22J. Enemon 30'6.3
  • 5E. Hellandon 63'6.0
  • 17O. El Azzouzi
  • 72U. Happonen
  • 14T. Heggem
  • 9A. Dovbykon 76'6.3
  • 18M. Libra
  • 11S. Mbangula
  • 8M. Amondarain
  • 29L. De Silvestri
  • 6N. Moroon 76'5.8
  • 21J. Odgaard
  • 25M. Pessina
  • 41M. Vitík
  • 23R. Alhassane
Inter

formation 3-5-2 · manager C. Chivu

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Josep Martínez7.0
  • 95A. Bastoni6.9
  • 25M. Akanji7.5
  • 31Y. Bisseck6.7
  • 32F. Dimarco6.7
  • 8P. Sučić7.2
  • 7P. Zieliński — highest feed rating in the match7.7
  • 23N. Barella7.7
  • 11Luis Henrique6.6
  • 94F. Esposito6.3
  • 9M. Thuram7.6
substitutes
  • 14A. Bonnyon 58'7.3
  • 46L. Bovio
  • 20H. Çalhanoğluon 79'6.4
  • 30Carlos Augustoon 69'7.4
  • 12R. Di Gennaro
  • 17A. Dioufon 69'6.2
  • 22H. Mkhitaryanon 79'6.3
  • 48M. Mosconi
  • 49I. Provedel
  • 99D. Spence
  • 5A. Stanković

AI prediction and analysis

The vote split evenly: 4 each on an Inter win (won), on both teams to score (won) and on Inter −1 (won). The other 4 chose other bets: a total-goals bet, a Bologna handicap and an Inter handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 15.10 at 15:59 UTC

Bologna go into this Serie A fixture without Jens Odgaard, who has already scored seven goals in the 2025/26 season, and without Holm and Mbangula, while Theate is a doubt. At home they are still waiting for a first win: two draws and a defeat, one goal scored and 1.3 conceded per game, and in three matches this season they failed to score at all. Inter sit top with 16 points after six rounds and have already taken a win and a draw on the road, scoring at 1.5 goals a game, which is why the market rates their success at 59% and prices it below every other outcome. Our pick is an Inter win at 1.61.

Where we could be wrong

But will Inter keep the game under control when they have conceded 11 goals in five matches across all competitions? The previous meetings are level: in the last ten Bologna have three wins, four draws and three defeats, May 2026 brought a 3-3 shootout and in April 2025 the hosts won 1-0. This is also only Bologna's fourth home game, and they have yet to lose one without scoring.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 15.10 15:43
Bologna
  • E. HolmDF · 19 matches in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • S. MbangulaMF · 27 matches in 2025/26injuryout
  • J. OdgaardMF · 7 goals in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • A. TheateDF · 33 matches in 2025/26leg injurydoubtful
Inter
  • C. JonesMF · 49 matches in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • J. StonesDF · 21 matches in 2025/26injuryout

managers: Raffaele Palladino · Cristian Chivu · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Bologna
Recent matches: Bologna
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10LecceA2:1xG 2.0–1.5W
19.09TorinoH1:1xG 0.9–1.1D
13.09NapoliA0:1xG 0.3–1.2L
06.09SassuoloH2:2xG 1.9–1.6D
31.08AtalantaA0:1xG 1.1–0.1L
24.08LazioH0:1xG 1.8–0.6L
Inter
Recent matches: Inter
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13.10Club BruggeChampions LeagueH3:4xG 4.3–4.3L
10.10ParmaH3:0xG 2.4–0.5W
03.10Lumezzaneclub friendlyH2:0W
19.09RomaA2:2D
14.09UdineseH5:3xG 3.0–0.9W
08.09Real MadridChampions LeagueA1:2xG 1.8–2.9L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBolognaInterSerie A
goals0.8 / 1.23 / 1.31.4
xG1.4 / 12.8 / 1.21.5
shots12.7 / 1322.5 / 1114.6
shots on target3.5 / 3.77.2 / 3.54.8
corners4 / 6.75.7 / 3.74.8
fouls13.5 / 13.57.7 / 9.711.1
yellow cards1.7 / 21.3 / 1.71.7
matches over 2.533%83%
both scored50%67%
clean sheets0%33%
failed to score50%0%
home / away
goals1 / 1.31.5 / 1
average total2.32.5
matches over 2.533%50%
both scored67%50%
  • Bologna score less than the league average: 0.8 vs 1.4
  • Inter score more than the league average: 3 vs 1.4
  • Inter: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Bologna, away games only for Inter

Head to head

last 10

3–4–3Bologna wins · draws · Inter wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Bologna vs Inter3:323.05.26
Inter vs Bologna3:104.01.26
Bologna vs Inter1:119.12.25Super Cup
Bologna vs Inter1:020.04.25
Inter vs Bologna2:215.01.25
Bologna vs Inter0:109.03.24
Inter vs Bologna1:220.12.23Coppa Italia
Inter vs Bologna2:207.10.23
Bologna vs Inter1:026.02.23
Inter vs Bologna6:109.11.22
  • both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10

League table

League standings: Serie A
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Inter65-1-018–816WWWDW
2Lazio65-1-011–416WWDWW
13Lecce62-0-46–126LLWLL
14Bologna61-2-35–75LDLDW
15Udinese61-1-49–134WLLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Bologna
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4500
  • 46-6012
  • 61-7512
  • 76-9012
Inter
  • 0-1532
  • 16-3022
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6052
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9041

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Serie A results
2:0Roma–GenoaOur pick:O 2.5prediction lost8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.58X 4.022 6.041:0Venezia–NapoliOur pick:2prediction lost12 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 4.57X 3.982 1.7310:30Udinese–LecceOur pick:U 2.51.8212 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.82X 3.592 4.49