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data updated 17.10 21:23

FINISHED

Frosinone vs Sassuolo 4:2: result and odds

Frosinone vs Sassuolo finished 4:2. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.41, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Frosinone
Sassuolo

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.41

AI models' pick · 9 of 16 for this bet, 7 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

won+0.41 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:111%odds 7.12

1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 16.10 17:07

result12.40−0.04X3.70+0.1122.79+0.09
total 2.5O1.43−0.05U2.75+0.20
both to scoreyes1.36 — matches our bet−0.05no2.95+0.21
double chance1X1.44121.28X21.57+0.03
handicapH1 −13.46−0.16H2 +11.29+0.03

Over 4 days a draw drifted from 3.59 to 3.70 — fewer bets on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.41 → 1.36 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.41 to 1.36: the market now rates it as more likely.

Yes1.41 → 1.36our betNo2.74 → 2.95
1.502.002.503.0012 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 OctWe published · 1.41No 2.95Yes 1.36

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.362.95−0.02
1.36−0.022.97+0.13
1.382.84+0.01
1.382.83+0.01
1.38−0.012.82+0.01
We published both teams score at 1.41
1.39−0.012.81+0.06
1.40−0.012.75+0.01
1.41opened2.74opened
54 snapshots · the prices changed 7 times

How the match went

half-time 3:2

match report · 16.10 20:52

  1. 9'FrosinoneGiacomo Calò1:0
  2. 15'SassuoloDomenico Berardi (Darryl Bakola)1:1
  3. 17'Frosinonegoal disallowed (VAR) · Giorgi Kvernadze
  4. 26'FrosinoneAntonio Raimondo2:1
  5. 30'FrosinoneAntonio Raimondo3:1
  6. 37'SassuoloKristian Thorstvedt3:2
  7. 57'FrosinoneAntonio Raimondo4:2
  8. 58'Sassuoloon Kieron Bowie, off Kristian Thorstvedt
  9. 67'Sassuoloon Benjamin Dominguez, off Sebastiano Esposito
  10. 68'Sassuoloon Rafael Obrador, off Josh Doig
  11. 68'Sassuoloon Luca Lipani, off Nemanja Matić
  12. 74'Frosinoneon Omar Fayed Abdelwahab El Rakhawy, off Ilario Monterisi
  13. 74'Frosinoneon Alessio Zerbin, off Giorgi Kvernadze
  14. 80'Frosinoneon Wisdom Amey, off Anthony Oyono
  15. 80'Frosinoneon Matteo Cichella, off Giacomo Calò
  16. 82'SassuoloKieron Bowie YC
  17. 83'Sassuoloon Cristian Volpato, off Armand Lauriente
  18. 90'Frosinoneon Daniel Birligea, off Antonio Raimondo
Match stats: Frosinone vs Sassuolo
FrosinonestatSassuolo
2.12expected goals (xG)1.94
21shots14
10on target6
42%possession58%
5corners4
13fouls11
4saves6
0yellow cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Frosinone

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager M. Alvini

starting XIfeed rating
  • 22L. Palmisani6.3
  • 79G. Bracaglia6.4
  • 30I. Monterisi6.2
  • 2G. Cittadini6.6
  • 20A. Oyono6.0
  • 14G. Calò8.2
  • 73P. Masini6.0
  • 17G. Kvernadze6.5
  • 10R. Schmid6.3
  • 7F. Ghedjemis6.4
  • 9A. Raimondo — highest feed rating in the match9.3
substitutes
  • 24A. Zerbinon 74'6.7
  • 71A. Terzić
  • 90E. Tchato
  • 12M. Pisseri
  • 70L. Hasa
  • 40S. Fini
  • 74Omar Fayedon 74'6.1
  • 34A. El Azzouzi
  • 91S. Desplanches
  • 16Matteo Cichellaon 80'6.1
  • 3G. Calvani
  • 89T. Bobček
  • 11D. Bîrligeaon 90'0.0
  • 5W. Ameyon 80'6.2
  • 25K. Akpoguma
Sassuolo

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager A. Aquilani

starting XIfeed rating
  • 49A. Murić7.3
  • 3J. Doig6.2
  • 15D. Ćaleta-Car6.6
  • 26C. Odenthal6.5
  • 20I. Van der Brempt5.4
  • 50D. Bakola7.2
  • 18N. Matić5.8
  • 45A. Laurienté6.4
  • 42K. Thorstvedt6.9
  • 10D. Berardi7.2
  • 94S. Esposito6.3
substitutes
  • 46S. Cinquegrano
  • 6S. Walukiewicz
  • 25B. Domínguezon 67'6.4
  • 8A. Ghion
  • 35L. Lipanion 68'5.9
  • 33Rafael Obradoron 68'5.5
  • 70E. Pieragnolo
  • 12G. Satalino
  • 19L. Skjellerup
  • 55I. Sulemana
  • 80S. Turati
  • 7C. Volpatoon 83'6.0
  • 5Fali Candé
  • 9K. Bowieon 58'6.1
  • 17Vasilije Adžić

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 5 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Sassuolo handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 15.10 at 15:59 UTC

Sassuolo have played three away games this season and both teams scored in all three, with an average of 1.3 scored and 2 conceded. The defence arrives in pieces: Idzes, Pas and Pieragnolo are all unavailable, three defenders at once. Frosinone are producing 1.7 goals a game at home and sit ninth with 10 points after six rounds, and their previous meetings have rarely seen anyone keep a clean sheet — 1-1 in the Coppa Italia in early September and 4-2 in September 2023. The market rates goals at both ends at 66%, and the price of 1.41 says much the same.

Where we could be wrong

Frosinone's home numbers point the other way: they did not concede in two of their three games in front of their own crowd, and both teams scored in only one of them. The attack is short-handed too, without Bîrligea and his nine goals. Even so, our pick is both teams to score, and it rests on Sassuolo not having kept a clean sheet on the road once this season.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 15.10 15:43
Frosinone
  • D. BirligeaFW · 9 goals in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • F. GrillitschMF · 36 matches in 2025/26thigh injuryout
Sassuolo
  • D. BolocaMF · 4 matches in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • J. IdzesDF · 35 matches in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • I. KoneMF · 6 goals in 2025/26broken legout
  • Y. PazDFknee injuryout
  • E. PieragnoloDF · 1 match in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • F. LeysenDF · 69 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful

managers: Massimiliano Alvini · Alberto Aquilani · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Frosinone
Recent matches: Frosinone
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10NapoliA0:3xG 1.0–3.1L
02.10Beneventoclub friendlyH2:1W
20.09ComoH2:0xG 2.2–2.1W
12.09GenoaA1:1xG 1.9–1.9D
06.09VeneziaH3:2xG 1.9–2.2W
02.09SassuoloCoppa ItaliaA1:1pensL
Sassuolo
Recent matches: Sassuolo
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10MilanH1:1xG 1.2–1.2D
18.09MonzaA1:2xG 1.5–1.5L
13.09JuventusH3:2xG 1.0–1.1W
06.09BolognaA2:2xG 1.6–1.9D
02.09FrosinoneCoppa ItaliaH1:1pensW
29.08TorinoH2:1xG 1.9–1.3W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstFrosinoneSassuoloSerie A
goals1.5 / 1.21.7 / 1.71.4
xG1.4 / 2.21.7 / 1.31.5
shots16.8 / 20.516 / 1514.6
shots on target4.8 / 5.76.5 / 64.8
corners5.5 / 7.34.3 / 6.54.8
fouls16.5 / 12.39.5 / 11.511.1
yellow cards2 / 2.71.3 / 2.31.7
matches over 2.550%83%
both scored33%100%
clean sheets33%0%
failed to score33%0%
home / away
goals1.7 / 11.3 / 2
average total2.73.3
matches over 2.533%100%
both scored33%100%
  • Frosinone shoot more often than the league average: 16.8 shots vs 14.6
  • Sassuolo score more than the league average: 1.7 vs 1.4
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Frosinone, away games only for Sassuolo

Head to head

last 9

2–3–4Frosinone wins · draws · Sassuolo wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Sassuolo vs Frosinone1:102.09.26Coppa Italia
Sassuolo vs Frosinone0:113.05.25Serie B
Frosinone vs Sassuolo1:214.12.24Serie B
Sassuolo vs Frosinone1:009.03.24
Frosinone vs Sassuolo4:217.09.23
Sassuolo vs Frosinone2:205.05.19
Frosinone vs Sassuolo0:216.12.18
Frosinone vs Sassuolo0:108.05.16
Sassuolo vs Frosinone2:206.01.16
  • both scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 9

League table

League standings: Serie A
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
8Napoli63-1-210–610LLWDW
9Frosinone63-1-29–710WWDWL
10Atalanta63-0-38–89WLLLW
11Sassuolo62-2-210–108WDWLD
12Torino62-1-37–97LWLDW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Frosinone
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3022
  • 31-4531
  • 46-6001
  • 61-7512
  • 76-9011
Sassuolo
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3010
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7523
  • 76-9043

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Serie A results
1:0Venezia–NapoliOur pick:2prediction lost12 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 4.57X 3.982 1.731:3Bologna–InterOur pick:2prediction won9 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 5.80X 4.212 1.572:0Roma–GenoaOur pick:O 2.5prediction lost8 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.58X 4.022 6.04