Tomorrow
Juventus vs Lazio: AI prediction and betting pick
On 18 October, Juventus host Lazio. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.88: 12 of 16 models chose it.
- Serie A, matchday 7 of 38
- +16°, overcast
- Allianz Stadium, Turin
published UTC
AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.88AI models' pick · 12 of 16 for this bet, 4 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
1:0 11%2:0 10%2:1 10%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 5 days a Lazio win drifted from 5.20 to 5.35 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.88 → 1.88 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Over 2.5 1.94 → 1.95, Under 2.5 1.88 → 1.88.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 1.88+0.01 | |
| 1.95 | 1.87−0.01 | |
| 1.95 | 1.88+0.01 | |
| 1.95−0.01 | 1.87 | |
| 1.96+0.01 | 1.87−0.01 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 1.88 | ||
| 1.95 | 1.88+0.01 | |
| 1.95+0.01 | 1.87−0.01 | |
| 1.94opened | 1.88opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose a bet each: double chance, a Juventus win and a Lazio handicap.
- 12 of 16U 2.5our betodds 1.88DeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 1 of 161Xodds 1.16
Sonar - 1 of 161odds 1.66Nemotron Super
- 1 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.72ChatGPT
- 1 of 16X2odds 2.20Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 15.10 at 16:00 UTC
Three of the last four meetings between these sides produced no more than two goals: 1-0 in Turin in October 2024, 1-1 in May 2025 and 1-0 to Lazio in October 2025. At home Juventus score 1.7 and concede 0.3 per game, and over 2.5 goals has not landed once in three matches at the Allianz Stadium, with the hosts keeping a clean sheet twice. Lazio bring exactly the same away numbers, 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded, and 67% of their trips have seen them keep a clean sheet. A downpour and 14 degrees at kick-off are more likely to dry the game up than open it. The market gives under 2.5 goals slightly more than half the chances, and that is our pick at 1.88.
Where we could be wrong
The caveat is at the other end. Lazio travel without defender Patric, who played 16 matches last season, so the visitors could be less compact at the back. And the Romans are in attacking form, with 10 goals in their last five games.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Juventusno absences listed
Lazio
PatricDF · 16 matches in 2025/26sprained ankleout
A. FurlanettoGK · 2 matches in 2025/26jumpers kneeout
managers: Luciano Spalletti · Gennaro Gattuso · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Recent matches
Juventus| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Cagliari | A | 1:1xG 2.0–0.6 | D |
| 02.10 | Cremoneseclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 20.09 | Atalanta | H | 2:0xG 1.3–0.6 | W |
| 17.09 | NECEuropa League | H | 5:0 | W |
| 13.09 | Sassuolo | A | 2:3xG 1.1–1.0 | L |
| 06.09 | Milan | H | 1:1xG 1.6–0.1 | D |
Lazio| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Monza | H | 3:1xG 1.8–1.8 | W |
| 03.10 | Juve Stabiaclub friendly | H | 3:3 | D |
| 27.09 | Arezzoclub friendly | H | 2:0 | W |
| 19.09 | Venezia | A | 2:0xG 1.6–1.9 | W |
| 12.09 | Milan | H | 2:2xG 2.0–1.1 | D |
| 07.09 | Udinese | A | 2:1xG 1.8–0.8 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Serie A |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.7 | 1.4 |
| xG | 1.6 / 0.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.5 |
| shots | 18.3 / 7.2 | 13.5 / 13.2 | 14.6 |
| shots on target | 6.5 / 2.7 | 4.3 / 5.2 | 4.8 |
| corners | 8.7 / 2.5 | 4.8 / 5 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 13.7 / 10.7 | 13.2 / 12.3 | 11.1 |
| yellow cards | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.8 / 3.5 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 17% | 50% | |
| both scored | 50% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 50% | 50% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.7 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0.3 | |
| average total | 2 | 2 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 0% | 33% | |
| both scored | 33% | 33% | |
- Juventus shoot more often than the league average: 18.3 shots vs 14.6
- Lazio score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.4
- Lazio: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Juventus, away games only for Lazio
Head to head
4–2–4Juventus wins · draws · Lazio wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus vs Lazio | 2:2 | 08.02.26 | |
| Lazio vs Juventus | 1:0 | 26.10.25 | |
| Lazio vs Juventus | 1:1 | 10.05.25 | |
| Juventus vs Lazio | 1:0 | 19.10.24 | |
| Lazio vs Juventus | 2:1 | 23.04.24 | Coppa Italia |
| Juventus vs Lazio | 2:0 | 02.04.24 | Coppa Italia |
| Lazio vs Juventus | 1:0 | 30.03.24 | |
| Juventus vs Lazio | 3:1 | 16.09.23 | |
| Lazio vs Juventus | 2:1 | 08.04.23 | |
| Juventus vs Lazio | 1:0 | 02.02.23 | Coppa Italia |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5-1-0 | 18–8 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5-1-0 | 11–4 | 16 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Roma | 6 | 4-2-0 | 14–3 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 5 | Milan | 6 | 3-3-0 | 11–5 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3-2-1 | 9–5 | 11 | WDLWD |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3-2-1 | 9–6 | 11 | WWWLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1500
- 16-3021
- 31-4500
- 46-6000
- 61-7512
- 76-9062
- 0-1520
- 16-3020
- 31-4510
- 46-6032
- 61-7512
- 76-9020
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
