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data updated 19.10 12:28

24 Oct

Lazio vs Parma: AI prediction and betting pick

On 24 October, Lazio host Parma. The AI models' pick is Lazio −1 handicap at 1.91: 11 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Lazio
Parma

AI models' pick: Lazio −1 handicap

1.91

Asian handicap: the bet wins if Lazio win by two goals or more; a one-goal win returns the stake.

AI models' pick · 11 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.28

2:0 12%1:0 11%2:1 10%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 18.10 15:31

result11.53X4.0726.35
total 2.5O1.99U1.82
both to scoreyes2.04no1.71
double chance1X1.13121.23X22.46
handicapH1 −11.91 — matches our betH2 +11.89
abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw

There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for Lazio −1. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: Lazio −1.5 and a Lazio win. 3 more went for over 2.5 goals. One more went for at least one side failing to score.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

Lazio have not managed a comfortable win over Parma for some time: April 2026 ended 1-1, and in December 2025 the Romans took only a narrow 1-0 away. Parma's season on the road, meanwhile, reads three defeats from three, 0.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, and not a single goal away from home. Lazio have won both of their home matches, scoring two and conceding one per game, and across their last five they have four wins with 10 goals scored and four conceded. Third place with 16 points against four for the side sitting 16th, plus 62% for the hosts in the prices, is why we're backing the Lazio -1 handicap at 1.91.

Where we could be wrong

There is a caveat. Patrik is out of the squad, a defender who made 16 appearances last season. At home the Romans rarely stop the other side scoring: both teams found the net in two of their three home games, and 1.44 xG per match points to a workmanlike win rather than a rout. One moment is all Parma need to reduce this to a one-goal home win and a returned stake.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 18.10 20:06
Lazio
  • PatricDF · 16 matches in 2025/26sprained ankleout
  • A. FurlanettoGK · 2 matches in 2025/26jumpers kneeout
Parma

no absences listed

managers: G. Gattuso · Alberto Gilardino · main formations this season: 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Lazio
Recent matches: Lazio
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.10JuventusA1:0xG 0.3–0.4W
11.10MonzaH3:1xG 1.8–1.8W
03.10Juve Stabiaclub friendlyH3:3D
27.09Arezzoclub friendlyH2:0W
19.09VeneziaA2:0xG 1.6–1.9W
12.09MilanH2:2xG 2.0–1.1D
Parma
Recent matches: Parma
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10InterA0:3xG 0.5–2.4L
20.09GenoaH2:1xG 0.5–0.7W
14.09ComoA1:2xG 1.1–3.0L
06.09MonzaH1:1xG 0.7–1.7D
01.09CremoneseCoppa ItaliaH0:2L
29.08JuventusA0:2xG 0.3–1.6L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLazioParmaSerie A
goals1.8 / 0.70.7 / 1.71.4
xG1.6 / 1.30.7 / 1.81.5
shots13.5 / 13.28.3 / 18.514.6
shots on target4.3 / 5.22.7 / 5.74.8
corners4.8 / 53 / 5.74.8
fouls13.2 / 12.310.7 / 15.711.1
yellow cards1.8 / 3.51.3 / 1.71.7
matches over 2.550%50%
both scored50%50%
clean sheets50%0%
failed to score0%50%
home / away
goals2 / 10.3 / 2.3
average total32.7
matches over 2.567%67%
both scored67%33%
  • Lazio score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.4
  • Parma score less than the league average: 0.7 vs 1.4
  • Lazio: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Lazio, away games only for Parma

Head to head

last 10

7–2–1Lazio wins · draws · Parma wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Lazio vs Parma1:104.04.26
Parma vs Lazio0:113.12.25
Lazio vs Parma2:228.04.25
Parma vs Lazio3:101.12.24
Lazio vs Parma1:012.05.21
Lazio vs Parma2:121.01.21Coppa Italia
Parma vs Lazio0:210.01.21
Parma vs Lazio0:109.02.20
Lazio vs Parma2:022.09.19
Lazio vs Parma4:117.03.19
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10

League table

League standings: Serie A
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
2Roma75-2-016–317WWDDW
3Lazio65-1-011–416WWDWW
4Milan74-3-014–715DDWDW
15Monza61-1-49–154LDLWL
16Parma61-1-44–104LDLWL
17Udinese71-1-59–164LLLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Lazio
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4510
  • 46-6032
  • 61-7512
  • 76-9020
Parma
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7502
  • 76-9023

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Serie A fixtures
16:00Napoli–RomaOur pick:22.356 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 2.95X 3.432 2.3518:45Torino–MonzaOur pick:BTTS1.7813 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.11X 3.422 3.4718:45Parma–TorinoOur pick:BTTS1.9311 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.15X 3.062 2.44