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data updated 19.10 12:28

24 Oct

Napoli vs Roma: AI prediction and betting pick

On 24 October, Napoli host Roma. The AI models' pick is Roma to win at 2.35: 6 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Napoli
Roma

AI models' pick: Roma to win

2.35

AI models' pick · 6 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:113%odds 6.17

1:2 9%2:1 8%0:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 18.10 15:31

result12.95X3.4322.35 — matches our bet
total 2.5O1.88U1.93
both to scoreyes1.66no2.11
double chance1X1.57121.32X21.40
handicapH1 +11.24H2 −13.71
abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw

There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for a Roma win. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: Roma draw no bet, Roma +1 and Roma not losing. 4 more went for under 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose other bets: 'both to score — no' and both teams to score.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

Roma travel to Naples second in the table and still without a goal conceded on the road. Seven rounds in, they have 17 points to Napoli's 10, and their three away trips have brought two wins and a draw, two goals a game and nothing conceded at the back. Across their last five matches Roma have scored eight and conceded three, while Napoli keep following wins with slip-ups and are now without Buongiorno in the middle of defence. The prices give the visitors 40% against 32% for the hosts, so the away side are the favourites at the Maradona.

Where we could be wrong

The previous meetings tell a very different story. In the last ten head-to-heads Napoli have four wins, five draws and just one defeat, and the most recent game, in February 2026, finished 2-2. At home Napoli have kept a clean sheet in two of three matches, and with 13 shots a game and 4.3 on target Roma may not find a second gear, so with a record like that the draw looks the most likely single outcome. We are backing Roma to win anyway at 2.35: the form and the away record sit with them, even if a draw would scupper the bet.

  • 6 of 16 AI models back this bet and 2 more chose a close bet in the same direction; the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 18.10 20:05
Napoli
  • A. BuongiornoDF · 42 matches in 2025/26jumpers kneeout
Roma
  • M. BahMFjumpers kneeout

managers: M. Allegri · G. Gasperini · main formations this season: 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Napoli
Recent matches: Napoli
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10VeneziaA0:1xG 2.5–0.7L
13.10VillarrealChampions LeagueA1:3xG 1.7–1.2L
10.10FrosinoneH3:0xG 3.1–1.0W
20.09FiorentinaA1:1xG 1.4–1.1D
13.09BolognaH1:0xG 1.2–0.3W
09.09ArsenalChampions LeagueH0:1L
Roma
Recent matches: Roma
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10GenoaH2:0xG 1.4–0.5W
14.10Real MadridChampions LeagueH3:4xG 1.5–1.5L
11.10ComoA0:0xG 1.1–1.4D
19.09InterH2:2D
14.09TorinoA2:0xG 1.9–0.9W
10.09FenerbahçeChampions LeagueA1:1D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstNapoliRomaSerie A
goals1.7 / 12.3 / 0.51.4
xG1.7 / 1.32.3 / 1.11.5
shots14.7 / 16.718.7 / 10.814.6
shots on target4.8 / 3.86.2 / 3.54.8
corners5.5 / 55.2 / 2.54.8
fouls9.3 / 9.212.3 / 8.811.1
yellow cards1 / 1.22 / 1.51.7
matches over 2.550%67%
both scored50%33%
clean sheets50%67%
failed to score0%17%
home / away
goals1.7 / 0.72 / 0
average total2.32
matches over 2.567%33%
both scored33%0%
  • Napoli score more than the league average: 1.7 vs 1.4
  • Roma score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.4
  • Roma unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Napoli, away games only for Roma

Head to head

last 10

4–5–1Napoli wins · draws · Roma wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Napoli vs Roma2:215.02.26
Roma vs Napoli0:130.11.25
Roma vs Napoli1:102.02.25
Napoli vs Roma1:024.11.24
Napoli vs Roma2:228.04.24
Roma vs Napoli2:023.12.23
Napoli vs Roma2:129.01.23
Roma vs Napoli0:123.10.22
Napoli vs Roma1:118.04.22
Roma vs Napoli0:024.10.21
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10

League table

League standings: Serie A
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Inter76-1-021–919WWDWW
2Roma75-2-016–317WWDDW
3Lazio65-1-011–416WWDWW
8Juventus63-2-19–511WDLWD
9Napoli73-1-310–710LWDWL
10Atalanta73-0-410–119LLLWL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Napoli
  • 0-1500
  • 16-3031
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9032
Roma
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3030
  • 31-4520
  • 46-6032
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9041

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Serie A fixtures
18:45Lazio–ParmaOur pick:H1 (−1)1.9111 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.53X 4.072 6.3518:45Torino–MonzaOur pick:BTTS1.7813 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.11X 3.422 3.4718:45Parma–TorinoOur pick:BTTS1.9311 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.15X 3.062 2.44