19 Oct
Parma vs Torino: AI prediction and betting pick
On 19 October, Parma host Torino. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.93: 11 of 16 models chose it.
- Serie A, matchday 7 of 38
- +20°, overcast
- Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
published UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.93Now 1.98 · 1.93 when published
AI models' pick · 11 of 16 for this bet, 5 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
0:0 11%0:1 10%1:0 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 5 days a Parma win drifted from 3.05 to 3.33 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.93 → 1.98 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.93 to 1.98: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98+0.02 | 1.75−0.02 | |
| 1.96+0.02 | 1.77−0.02 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.93 | ||
| 1.94+0.01 | 1.79 | |
| 1.93 | 1.79−0.01 | |
| 1.93opened | 1.80opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more went for a Torino win. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Torino handicap.
- 11 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.93ClaudeDeepSeek
GeminiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 162odds 2.50
GrokKimiNemotron Super - 1 of 16X2odds 1.37
Sonar - 1 of 16DNB 2odds 1.71ChatGPT
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 15.10 at 16:00 UTC
Neither Parma nor Torino have kept a clean sheet this season — both defences leak. At home Parma score a goal and concede a goal per game, and two of their three home matches have seen both teams score. Torino concede in every away game: both sides scored on all three of their trips, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The previous meetings have also come with goals at both ends: 2-1 in September 2025, 4-1 in March 2026 and 2-2 in March 2025. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.93.
Where we could be wrong
The hosts' attack is the worry: four goals in six matches, an xG of 0.62 and 2.7 shots on target per game, with Parma failing to score at all in three of them. Torino, without Israel in goal and Pellegri up front, are capable of a cagey, scrappy game and of settling for a single-goal match, as in the goalless draw of January 2025.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
no absences listed
F. IsraelGK · 10 matches in 2025/26shoulder injuryout
P. PellegriFW · 12 matches in 2025/26jumpers kneeout
managers: Alberto Gilardino · Ignazio Abate · main formations this season: 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10 | Inter | A | 0:3xG 0.5–2.4 | L |
| 20.09 | Genoa | H | 2:1xG 0.5–0.7 | W |
| 14.09 | Como | A | 1:2xG 1.1–3.0 | L |
| 06.09 | Monza | H | 1:1xG 0.7–1.7 | D |
| 01.09 | CremoneseCoppa Italia | H | 0:2 | L |
| 29.08 | Juventus | A | 0:2xG 0.3–1.6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10 | Udinese | H | 2:1xG 2.7–0.8 | W |
| 19.09 | Bologna | A | 1:1xG 1.1–0.9 | D |
| 14.09 | Roma | H | 0:2xG 0.9–1.9 | L |
| 05.09 | Fiorentina | A | 2:1xG 0.6–1.7 | W |
| 01.09 | MonzaCoppa Italia | H | 0:1 | L |
| 29.08 | Sassuolo | A | 1:2xG 1.3–1.9 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Serie A | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xG | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| shots | 8.3 / 18.5 | 9.8 / 15.3 | 14.6 |
| shots on target | 2.7 / 5.7 | 3.2 / 4 | 4.8 |
| corners | 3 / 5.7 | 3.5 / 3.8 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 10.7 / 15.7 | 8.5 / 13.7 | 11.1 |
| yellow cards | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 67% | |
| both scored | 50% | 83% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 50% | 17% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.3 | |
| average total | 2 | 2.7 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 100% | |
- Parma score less than the league average: 0.7 vs 1.4
- Torino shoot less often than the league average: 9.8 shots vs 14.6
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Parma, away games only for Torino
Head to head
3–4–3Parma wins · draws · Torino wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino vs Parma | 4:1 | 13.03.26 | |
| Parma vs Torino | 2:1 | 29.09.25 | |
| Parma vs Torino | 2:2 | 08.03.25 | |
| Torino vs Parma | 0:0 | 05.01.25 | |
| Torino vs Parma | 1:0 | 03.05.21 | |
| Parma vs Torino | 0:3 | 03.01.21 | |
| Torino vs Parma | 1:1 | 20.06.20 | |
| Parma vs Torino | 3:2 | 30.09.19 | |
| Parma vs Torino | 0:0 | 06.04.19 | |
| Torino vs Parma | 1:2 | 10.11.18 |
- both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2-2-2 | 10–10 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2-1-3 | 7–9 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2-0-4 | 6–12 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1-1-4 | 5–11 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1-1-4 | 4–10 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1-1-4 | 7–14 | 4 | LLWDL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3002
- 31-4512
- 46-6010
- 61-7502
- 76-9023
- 0-1501
- 16-3000
- 31-4523
- 46-6001
- 61-7522
- 76-9032
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals