23 Oct
Torino vs Monza: AI prediction and betting pick
On 23 October, Torino host Monza. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.78: 13 of 16 models chose it.
- Serie A, matchday 8 of 38
- +15°, mostly clear
- Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
published UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.78AI models' pick · 13 of 16 for this bet, 3 for others
Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:0 9%0:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. The other 3 chose a bet each: double chance, a total-goals bet and a Torino win.
- 13 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.78ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 1 of 161Xodds 1.30
Sonar - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 2.01
GLM - 1 of 161odds 2.11Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC
Neither Torino at home nor Monza on the road have kept a clean sheet this season. All four of Monza's away games have brought goals at both ends, with the average there up to four goals a game, and they score 1.3 while conceding 2.8 per match. Torino are not much more solid in front of their own supporters: 1.7 goals conceded on average and both teams scoring in two home games out of three. The wider picture reads the same — Torino have scored six and conceded seven in their last five, Monza eight and 11, and two of the recent meetings in Turin finished 1-1.
Where we could be wrong
There is a warning attached, though. In September 2026 Monza won 1-0 in Turin in the Coppa Italia, and the hosts failed to score that day. Torino have already had a home game without a goal of their own, and without Pellegri in the squad there are fewer options up front. Monza do not score much away from home, so in a tight, cagey match their one goal may never arrive. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.78.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
Torino
F. IsraelGK · 10 matches in 2025/26shoulder injuryout
P. PellegriFW · 12 matches in 2025/26jumpers kneeout
Monzano absences listed
managers: Ignazio Abate · Ivan Juric · main formations this season: 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Recent matches
Torino| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10 | Udinese | H | 2:1xG 2.7–0.8 | W |
| 19.09 | Bologna | A | 1:1xG 1.1–0.9 | D |
| 14.09 | Roma | H | 0:2xG 0.9–1.9 | L |
| 05.09 | Fiorentina | A | 2:1xG 0.6–1.7 | W |
| 01.09 | MonzaCoppa Italia | H | 0:1 | L |
| 29.08 | Sassuolo | A | 1:2xG 1.3–1.9 | L |
Monza| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Lazio | A | 1:3xG 1.8–1.8 | L |
| 03.10 | Brestclub friendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 26.09 | Cremoneseclub friendly | H | 2:3 | L |
| 18.09 | Sassuolo | H | 2:1xG 1.5–1.5 | W |
| 13.09 | Lecce | A | 2:3xG 2.8–1.1 | L |
| 06.09 | Parma | A | 1:1xG 1.7–0.7 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Serie A |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.4 |
| xG | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.5 |
| shots | 9.8 / 15.3 | 14.3 / 12.7 | 14.6 |
| shots on target | 3.2 / 4 | 6 / 5.2 | 4.8 |
| corners | 3.5 / 3.8 | 4.7 / 4.7 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 8.5 / 13.7 | 12.5 / 10.5 | 11.1 |
| yellow cards | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 83% | |
| both scored | 83% | 100% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 17% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 2.8 | |
| average total | 2.7 | 4 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 75% | |
| both scored | 67% | 100% | |
- Torino shoot less often than the league average: 9.8 shots vs 14.6
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Torino, away games only for Monza
Head to head
4–3–1Torino wins · draws · Monza wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino vs Monza | 0:1 | 01.09.26 | Coppa Italia |
| Monza vs Torino | 0:2 | 02.03.25 | |
| Torino vs Monza | 1:1 | 24.11.24 | |
| Torino vs Monza | 1:0 | 30.03.24 | |
| Monza vs Torino | 1:1 | 11.11.23 | |
| Torino vs Monza | 1:1 | 07.05.23 | |
| Monza vs Torino | 1:4 | 28.12.22 | club friendly |
| Monza vs Torino | 1:2 | 13.08.22 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 2 of 8
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2-2-3 | 12–14 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 13 | Torino | 6 | 2-1-3 | 7–9 | 7 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Bologna | 7 | 1-2-4 | 6–10 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 15 | Monza | 6 | 1-1-4 | 9–15 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 16 | Parma | 6 | 1-1-4 | 4–10 | 4 | LDLWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3000
- 31-4523
- 46-6001
- 61-7522
- 76-9032
- 0-1504
- 16-3022
- 31-4523
- 46-6023
- 61-7521
- 76-9012
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
