23 Oct
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: AI prediction and betting pick
On 23 October, Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.60: 8 of 15 models chose it.
- Super Lig, matchday 9 of 34
- +21°, clear
- GAIN Park Stadium, Alanya
published UTC
AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.60AI models' pick · 8 of 15 for this bet, 7 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
1:0 12%0:0 11%2:0 10%
The likely score lists the four most likely results. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
There is only one snapshot of the line so far — movement will appear with the next runs.
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. 7 more went for an Alanyaspor win.
- 8 of 15U 2.5our betodds 1.60ChatGPTClaude
GrokQwen
GLMMiniMaxMistral
Sonar - 7 of 151odds 1.92DeepSeek
GeminiKimiDeepSeek FlashXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 17:57 UTC
At home Alanyaspor make for sticky, low-scoring football: one goal scored and 0.7 conceded per match, with the visiting side drawing a blank in two of their three home games. Over 2.5 goals has landed there in only 33% of matches. Kocaelispor manage just 0.8 goals on the road and failed to score at all in half of their away fixtures. The two clubs share seventh and eighth place on the same 12 points after seven games, and that closeness in the table points towards a cautious evening. The market rates under 2.5 goals at around 61%, and our pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.60.
Where we could be wrong
The argument against is just as plain. Away from home Kocaelispor ship 1.5 goals a game and have yet to keep a clean sheet on their travels, and back in March Alanyaspor hammered this same opponent 5-0. If the hosts find that tempo again, three goals will arrive long before the final whistle.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Alanyaspor| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Fenerbahçe | A | 0:2xG 0.1–2.8 | L |
| 10.10 | Erzurumspor | H | 0:0xG 1.0–1.7 | D |
| 19.09 | Çorum | A | 2:1xG 1.2–1.1 | W |
| 12.09 | Göztepe | H | 2:2xG 1.7–1.8 | D |
| 07.09 | Çaykur Rizespor | A | 1:0xG 2.1–1.3 | W |
| 30.08 | Eyüpspor | A | 1:2xG 0.7–1.5 | L |
Kocaelispor| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10 | Beşiktaş | A | 1:2xG 1.6–2.2 | L |
| 19.09 | Gaziantep | H | 2:0xG 1.3–1.0 | W |
| 13.09 | Galatasaray | A | 0:1xG 0.8–2.3 | L |
| 06.09 | Samsunspor | H | 1:0xG 1.6–1.7 | W |
| 29.08 | Konyaspor | A | 2:1xG 0.8–0.8 | W |
| 24.08 | Amedspor | H | 2:0xG 1.3–0.6 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Super Lig |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.4 |
| shots | 11.4 / 14.3 | 12.1 / 17 | 14.1 |
| shots on target | 3.3 / 4.9 | 4.3 / 4 | 4.7 |
| corners | 5.3 / 3.6 | 3.4 / 6 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 14.3 / 13.4 | 12.4 / 13.7 | 12.7 |
| yellow cards | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 43% | 29% | |
| both scored | 57% | 29% | |
| clean sheets | 43% | 43% | |
| failed to score | 14% | 29% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.5 | |
| average total | 1.7 | 2.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 33% | 50% | |
| both scored | 33% | 50% | |
- Alanyaspor score less than the league average: 1.1 vs 1.5
- Kocaelispor score less than the league average: 1.1 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Alanyaspor, away games only for Kocaelispor
Head to head
2–0–1Alanyaspor wins · draws · Kocaelispor wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor | 5:0 | 18.03.26 | |
| Kocaelispor vs Alanyaspor | 2:0 | 25.10.25 | |
| Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor | 1:0 | 05.12.23 | Türkiye Kupası |
- both scored in 0 of the last 3 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 3
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Çorum | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18–13 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3-3-1 | 8–6 | 12 | LWDWD |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4-0-3 | 8–6 | 12 | WWLWL |
| 9 | Erzurumspor | 8 | 3-2-3 | 5–11 | 11 | WLWDW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1510
- 16-3011
- 31-4501
- 46-6000
- 61-7543
- 76-9012
- 0-1501
- 16-3031
- 31-4511
- 46-6010
- 61-7512
- 76-9030
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
