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data updated 17.10 21:23

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Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: AI prediction and betting pick

On 18 October, Kasımpaşa host Samsunspor. The AI models' pick is Kasımpaşa to win at 2.46: 10 of 15 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor

AI models' pick: Kasımpaşa to win

2.46

AI models' pick · 10 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:114%odds 6.10

0:0 9%1:0 9%2:1 9%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 17.10 21:22

result12.46 — matches our betX3.3422.75
total 2.5O1.99U1.81
both to scoreyes1.73no1.99
double chance1X1.43121.31X21.52+0.01
handicapH1 −13.92H2 +11.22

Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Kasımpaşa: 2.46 → 2.46 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Kasımpaşa 2.46 → 2.46, Draw 3.34 → 3.34, Samsunspor 2.75 → 2.75.

Kasımpaşa2.46 → 2.46our betDraw3.34 → 3.34Samsunspor2.75 → 2.75
2.402.602.803.003.203.4017 OctWe published · 2.46Draw 3.34Samsunspor 2.75Kasımpaşa 2.46

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenKasımpaşa · our betDrawSamsunspor
We published a Kasımpaşa win at 2.46
2.46opened3.34opened2.75opened
7 snapshots · the prices have not changed

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for a Kasımpaşa win. 5 more chose close bets in the same direction: Kasımpaşa draw no bet and Kasımpaşa not losing. 3 more went for under 2.5 goals. One more went for at least one side failing to score.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 13:51 UTC

Samsunspor arrive on a run of five straight defeats, a sequence in which they have scored one goal and conceded 12. That leaves them 17th on 4 points, while Kasımpaşa sit tenth with 10. On the road this season the visitors average 0.7 goals scored and the same number conceded, and in two of their three away trips they failed to score at all, so one good moment could be enough for the hosts. The previous meetings offer no warning either: Kasımpaşa won 2-0 in Samsun in March 2025, and the same venue produced a 0-0 in September 2025. The market rates the home side at 38%, which is a fair amount for a team facing opponents in the relegation zone. Our pick is Kasımpaşa to win at 2.46.

Where we could be wrong

The caveat is how Kasımpaşa have taken those points at home. They have picked up something from all three home games, but all three ended level, averaging one goal scored and one conceded, and the attacking numbers lag behind: 1.03 xG per game with 44.6% possession. Çörekçi is out at the back, and Karapo and Ben Ouanes are doubtful. With finishing like that, a draw is no less realistic here than a home win.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 17.10 13:29
Kasımpaşa
  • K. CorekciDF · 9 matches in 2025/26achilles tendon injuryout
  • A. KarapoDF · 34 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful
  • M. OuanesMF · 28 matches in 2025/26muscle injurydoubtful
Samsunspor
  • J. AssoumouMF · 9 matches in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • C. YukselMF · 32 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful

managers: Emre Belozoglu · Thorsten Fink · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Kasımpaşa
Recent matches: Kasımpaşa
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09.10GalatasarayA1:3xG 0.5–2.5L
03.10Fatih Karagümrükclub friendlyH2:1W
18.09KonyasporH0:0xG 0.6–1.2D
13.09GençlerbirliğiA2:1xG 1.3–1.2W
06.09AmedsporH2:2xG 1.0–1.1D
30.08İstanbul BaşakşehirA1:1xG 1.7–0.8D
Samsunspor
Recent matches: Samsunspor
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10TrabzonsporH0:3xG 1.7–2.0L
20.09ErzurumsporA0:1xG 0.4–0.7L
12.09ÇorumH1:5xG 1.2–1.7L
06.09KocaelisporA0:1xG 1.7–1.6L
30.08FenerbahçeH0:2xG 0.5–1.6L
22.08Çaykur RizesporA2:0xG 0.3–1.9W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstKasımpaşaSamsunsporSuper Lig
goals1.1 / 1.10.9 / 2.11.5
xG1 / 1.21.2 / 1.61.4
shots11.3 / 15.114.6 / 1514.1
shots on target3.3 / 4.73.1 / 6.34.7
corners3.4 / 7.34.6 / 5.44.7
fouls14.9 / 12.613.4 / 13.112.7
yellow cards3 / 2.30.9 / 1.72
matches over 2.543%43%
both scored71%29%
clean sheets29%14%
failed to score14%57%
home / away
goals1 / 10.7 / 0.7
average total21.3
matches over 2.533%0%
both scored67%0%
  • Kasımpaşa score less than the league average: 1.1 vs 1.5
  • Samsunspor score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
  • Samsunspor: 5 league defeats in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Kasımpaşa, away games only for Samsunspor

Head to head

last 7

3–1–3Kasımpaşa wins · draws · Samsunspor wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor3:008.08.26club friendly
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor0:130.01.26
Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa0:017.09.25
Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa0:229.03.25
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor1:426.10.24
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor1:027.04.24
Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa4:209.12.23
  • both scored in 2 of the last 7 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 7

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
8Kocaelispor74-0-38–612WWLWL
9Kasımpaşa72-4-18–810DDWDL
10Çaykur Rizespor83-1-48–1110LWDLL
16Konyaspor71-2-44–85LLWDD
17Samsunspor71-1-56–154LLLLL
18Eyüpspor71-0-62–203WLLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Kasımpaşa
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3012
  • 31-4502
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9033
Samsunspor
  • 0-1515
  • 16-3012
  • 31-4523
  • 46-6002
  • 61-7513
  • 76-9010

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Super Lig fixtures
13:00Kocaelispor–GöztepeOur pick:O 2.51.864 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.88X 3.392 2.3416:00İstanbul Başakşehir–GaziantepOur pick:H1 (−1)2.058 of 15 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 1.64X 4.062 4.7017:00Trabzonspor–BeşiktaşOur pick:O 2.51.5211 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.64X 3.672 2.36