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19 Oct

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: AI prediction and betting pick

On 19 October, Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.52: 11 of 15 models chose it.

published UTC

Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

1.52

AI models' pick · 11 of 15 for this bet, 4 for others

Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results

likely score

1:112%odds 7.32

1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 6%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 17.10 21:22

result12.64−0.19X3.67−0.0422.36+0.13
total 3.5O2.32−0.01U1.58
both to scoreyes1.45−0.01no2.54+0.03
double chance1X1.55−0.06121.26X21.44+0.06
handicapH1 +11.25−0.05H2 −13.59+0.39

Over the day a Trabzonspor win shortened from 2.83 to 2.64 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementTrabzonspor 2.83 → 2.64 over the day · 7 snapshotsView

The biggest move is a Trabzonspor win: from 2.83 to 2.64.

Trabzonspor2.83 → 2.64Draw3.71 → 3.67Beşiktaş2.23 → 2.36
2.503.003.5017 OctDraw 3.67Trabzonspor 2.64Beşiktaş 2.36

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenTrabzonsporDrawBeşiktaş
2.64−0.193.67−0.042.36+0.13
2.83opened3.71opened2.23opened
7 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose a bet each: both teams to score, a Trabzonspor handicap, a Beşiktaş win and a Trabzonspor win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 13:51 UTC

Trabzonspor have won all three of their home matches, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded, and over 2.5 goals landed in every one of them. Beşiktaş have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road: 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, with both teams scoring in two of their three away trips. The previous meetings rarely finish with a low score either — a 3-3 draw in Trabzon in December 2025, then a 2-1 win for Trabzonspor away in May 2026. The market rates three goals or more at 61%, and the price of 1.52 fits that. We're backing over 2.5 goals.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is Beşiktaş losing three attackers at once — Vlahovic, Cerny and Rashica. Without them the visitors may be more reserved and put the emphasis on packing the midfield. That opens the door to a grinding 1-0 or 2-0, with the hosts comfortably seeing it out to the final whistle.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 17.10 13:29
Trabzonspor
  • A. BatagovDF · 29 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • M. KabasakalMF · 25 matches in 2025/26red cardout
  • O. YokusluMF · 24 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • O. CevikkanGK · 5 matches in 2025/26tendon injurydoubtful
  • P. OnuachuFW · 22 goals in 2025/26injurydoubtful
Beşiktaş
  • V. CernyMF · 5 goals in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • M. RashicaMF · 32 matches in 2025/26injuryout
  • D. VlahovicFW · 12 goals in 2025/26illnessout

managers: Thomas Reis · V. Italiano · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Trabzonspor
Recent matches: Trabzonspor
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15.10KuPSConference LeagueA4:2xG 3.6–2.1W
10.10SamsunsporA3:0xG 2.0–1.7W
01.10Drogheda Unitedclub friendlyH0:1L
19.09GalatasarayH4:0xG 2.2–1.0W
12.09KonyasporA0:1xG 0.8–1.0L
06.09GençlerbirliğiH5:0xG 3.2–0.9W
Beşiktaş
Recent matches: Beşiktaş
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15.10HoffenheimEuropa LeagueA3:2xG 3.4–1.2W
11.10KocaelisporH2:1xG 2.2–1.6W
20.09AmedsporA2:3xG 2.0–1.5L
17.09MarseilleEuropa LeagueH4:1W
11.09ErzurumsporH3:0xG 2.3–0.5W
05.09FenerbahçeA2:1xG 1.8–0.6W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstTrabzonsporBeşiktaşSuper Lig
goals2.3 / 0.72.3 / 1.11.5
xG1.8 / 1.51.9 / 0.81.4
shots14 / 14.117.6 / 8.914.1
shots on target6.7 / 56.3 / 3.34.7
corners5.6 / 3.77.7 / 3.74.7
fouls10.6 / 17.313.3 / 15.112.7
yellow cards2.3 / 2.62.3 / 2.72
matches over 2.571%71%
both scored43%57%
clean sheets43%29%
failed to score14%14%
home / away
goals3.7 / 0.31.3 / 1.7
average total43
matches over 2.5100%67%
both scored33%67%

Head to head

last 10

2–5–3Trabzonspor wins · draws · Beşiktaş wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor1:209.05.26
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş3:314.12.25
Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor2:115.02.25
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş1:115.09.24
Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor3:223.05.24Türkiye Kupası
Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor2:004.02.24
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş3:017.09.23
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş0:016.04.23
Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor2:216.10.22
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş1:103.04.22

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Galatasaray75-1-116–1116WWWLW
2Beşiktaş75-0-216–815WWWLW
3Amedspor74-2-117–914WDWWD
4Fenerbahçe74-1-219–613WLDWW
5Trabzonspor74-1-216–513LWLWW
6Çorum84-1-318–1313WWLWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Trabzonspor
  • 0-1551
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4551
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7500
  • 76-9021
Beşiktaş
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3043
  • 31-4530
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7531
  • 76-9022

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Super Lig fixtures
16:00İstanbul Başakşehir–GaziantepOur pick:H1 (−1)2.058 of 15 on this bet · 4 more in the same direction1 1.64X 4.062 4.7013:00Kocaelispor–GöztepeOur pick:O 2.51.864 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.88X 3.392 2.3410:30Kasımpaşa–SamsunsporOur pick:12.4610 of 15 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 2.46X 3.342 2.75