19 Oct
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: AI prediction and betting pick
On 19 October, Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.52: 11 of 15 models chose it.
- Referee: C. Aydin
- Super Lig, matchday 8 of 34
- +18°, overcast
- Papara Park, Trabzon
published UTC


AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.52AI models' pick · 11 of 15 for this bet, 4 for others
Our football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 6%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day a Trabzonspor win shortened from 2.83 to 2.64 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementTrabzonspor 2.83 → 2.64 over the day · 7 snapshotsView
The biggest move is a Trabzonspor win: from 2.83 to 2.64.
Price changes
| When | Trabzonspor | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.64−0.19 | 3.67−0.04 | 2.36+0.13 | |
| 2.83opened | 3.71opened | 2.23opened |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose a bet each: both teams to score, a Trabzonspor handicap, a Beşiktaş win and a Trabzonspor win.
- 11 of 15O 2.5our betodds 1.52ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo - 1 of 15BTTSodds 1.46
Sonar - 1 of 15DNB 1odds 2.15
GLM - 1 of 152odds 2.23
Dots3-Note - 1 of 151odds 2.83Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 13:51 UTC
Trabzonspor have won all three of their home matches, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded, and over 2.5 goals landed in every one of them. Beşiktaş have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road: 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, with both teams scoring in two of their three away trips. The previous meetings rarely finish with a low score either — a 3-3 draw in Trabzon in December 2025, then a 2-1 win for Trabzonspor away in May 2026. The market rates three goals or more at 61%, and the price of 1.52 fits that. We're backing over 2.5 goals.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt is Beşiktaş losing three attackers at once — Vlahovic, Cerny and Rashica. Without them the visitors may be more reserved and put the emphasis on packing the midfield. That opens the door to a grinding 1-0 or 2-0, with the hosts comfortably seeing it out to the final whistle.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Injuries and suspensions
- A. BatagovDF · 29 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
- M. KabasakalMF · 25 matches in 2025/26red cardout
- O. YokusluMF · 24 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
- O. CevikkanGK · 5 matches in 2025/26tendon injurydoubtful
- P. OnuachuFW · 22 goals in 2025/26injurydoubtful
- V. CernyMF · 5 goals in 2025/26muscle injuryout
- M. RashicaMF · 32 matches in 2025/26injuryout
- D. VlahovicFW · 12 goals in 2025/26illnessout
managers: Thomas Reis · V. Italiano · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | KuPSConference League | A | 4:2xG 3.6–2.1 | W |
| 10.10 | Samsunspor | A | 3:0xG 2.0–1.7 | W |
| 01.10 | Drogheda Unitedclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 19.09 | Galatasaray | H | 4:0xG 2.2–1.0 | W |
| 12.09 | Konyaspor | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.0 | L |
| 06.09 | Gençlerbirliği | H | 5:0xG 3.2–0.9 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10 | HoffenheimEuropa League | A | 3:2xG 3.4–1.2 | W |
| 11.10 | Kocaelispor | H | 2:1xG 2.2–1.6 | W |
| 20.09 | Amedspor | A | 2:3xG 2.0–1.5 | L |
| 17.09 | MarseilleEuropa League | H | 4:1 | W |
| 11.09 | Erzurumspor | H | 3:0xG 2.3–0.5 | W |
| 05.09 | Fenerbahçe | A | 2:1xG 1.8–0.6 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Super Lig | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.3 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.4 |
| shots | 14 / 14.1 | 17.6 / 8.9 | 14.1 |
| shots on target | 6.7 / 5 | 6.3 / 3.3 | 4.7 |
| corners | 5.6 / 3.7 | 7.7 / 3.7 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 10.6 / 17.3 | 13.3 / 15.1 | 12.7 |
| yellow cards | 2.3 / 2.6 | 2.3 / 2.7 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | |
| both scored | 43% | 57% | |
| clean sheets | 43% | 29% | |
| failed to score | 14% | 14% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 3.7 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 1.7 | |
| average total | 4 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 67% | |
| both scored | 33% | 67% | |
- Trabzonspor score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.5
- Beşiktaş score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.5
- Beşiktaş: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Trabzonspor, away games only for Beşiktaş
Head to head
2–5–3Trabzonspor wins · draws · Beşiktaş wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor | 1:2 | 09.05.26 | |
| Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş | 3:3 | 14.12.25 | |
| Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor | 2:1 | 15.02.25 | |
| Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş | 1:1 | 15.09.24 | |
| Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor | 3:2 | 23.05.24 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor | 2:0 | 04.02.24 | |
| Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş | 3:0 | 17.09.23 | |
| Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş | 0:0 | 16.04.23 | |
| Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor | 2:2 | 16.10.22 | |
| Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş | 1:1 | 03.04.22 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5-1-1 | 16–11 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5-0-2 | 16–8 | 15 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Amedspor | 7 | 4-2-1 | 17–9 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4-1-2 | 19–6 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4-1-2 | 16–5 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Çorum | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18–13 | 13 | WWLWW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1551
- 16-3021
- 31-4551
- 46-6021
- 61-7500
- 76-9021
- 0-1511
- 16-3043
- 31-4530
- 46-6022
- 61-7531
- 76-9022
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals