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Liquid vs Legacy 2:0: result and AI prediction

Liquid and Legacy played on 26 October — group stage, round 3, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: the series ended 2:0. The AI models' bet: Liquid +1.5 map handicap at 1.67 — 11 of 16 models chose it; the bet won.

published · updated UTC

Liquid
Legacy

AI models' pick: Liquid +1.5 map handicap

1.67

The market prices this option at 59%

AI models' pick · 11 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 5 chose others

won+0.67 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 26.10 at 09:52 UTC

Series winner13.2321.43
Map handicap +1.5H11.67 — matches our betH22.44
Total maps 2.5O2.17U1.82

Since the first snapshot Liquid have drifted: 2.86 → 3.33, Legacy — 1.52 → 1.41. The money is going on Legacy.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Liquid or Legacy wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1Liquid49 min
  2. map 2Liquid47 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Liquid +1.5 on maps — the bet won. 2 more bet on over 2.5 maps — the bet lost. The other 3 chose a bet each: a Legacy win, a total-maps bet and a Legacy handicap.

Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.

Legacy sit higher in the ranking, but they rarely wrap a series up in two maps: nine of their 22 matches have gone to a decider, and that is exactly what the Liquid +1.5 map handicap feeds on. Liquid have maps of their own where the margins are thin — a 7-1 record on Inferno and 8-2 on Mirage over the last 90 days — and the previous meetings ran straight through them. In October the two sides played out a pair of 2-1 series, with Inferno finishing 13-7 and 13-11.

Form does not back Legacy either: four wins from their last ten series, with defeats to Nemiga (14th), BetBoom (11th) and FURIA (7th), while Liquid took MOUZ 2-1 in the same period. Legacy also come into this one without a day off. We're backing Liquid on the +1.5 map handicap at 1.67.

Where we could be wrong

The veto is still unknown, and that is where the doubt sits. Legacy have banned Anubis first in all 15 of their vetoes, and Ancient is the map they pick more than any other — Liquid are 0-2 there. Recent 0-2 defeats to magic (23rd) and fnatic (35th) show the state Liquid can be in when they hand a series over inside two maps.

Form, rosters and maps

map pool: Ancient, Anubis, Cache, Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, Nuke

Liquid

19th in the Valve ranking · 1527 points

roster · player rating over six months

  • EliGE6.41
  • NAF6.21
  • JT5.66
  • malbsMd6.03
  • Jorko6.28

recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses

  • L0-2FUT#8PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
  • W2-1MOUZ#4PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
  • L0-2magic#231win Private Club 220.10
  • L0-2fnatic#351win Private Club 219.10
  • L1-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Stake Pulse Beat III16.10
  • W2-0JiJieHao#30Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
  • L1-2100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
  • W2-1BBL#37Stake Pulse Beat III13.10
  • W2-0Wildcard#58iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202627.09
  • W2-0M80#22iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN 202626.09

maps over 90 days

38–29, round difference +60; 9 of 24 best-of-three series went to a third map

Rounds won on the CT side 53%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 58%

1 day since the last series, 9 maps this week

map pool over 90 days

MapW–LRounds ±PicksBans
Cache8–6+1024
Nuke5–7−153
Anubis7–4+288
Mirage8–2+2624
Dust23–7−339
Inferno7–1+366
Ancient0–2−620

Bans Ancient first in 15 of 21 series

Legacy

2nd in the Valve ranking · 1931 points

roster · player rating over six months

  • arT5.63
  • latto6.56
  • dumau6.34
  • try6.44
  • n1ssim5.77

recent series · 4 wins, 6 losses

  • W2-0DENDELE#39PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
  • L0-2Nemiga#14PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
  • L1-2BetBoom#11Thunderpick World Championship 202616.10
  • L1-2FURIA#7Thunderpick World Championship 202615.10
  • W2-0PARIVISION#36Thunderpick World Championship 202614.10
  • L1-2M80#22ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
  • L0-21win#38ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
  • W2-0ShindeN#74ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
  • L1-2PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
  • W3-0G2#5FISSURE Playground 313.09

maps over 90 days

34–23, round difference +28; 9 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map

Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 47%, pistol rounds 59%

0 days since the last series, 4 maps this week

map pool over 90 days

MapW–LRounds ±PicksBans
Dust28–7−34
Mirage9–4+1242
Ancient6–6+1052
Inferno4–2+121
Nuke4–2+95
Cache3–2−15
Anubis—15

Bans Anubis first in 15 of 15 series

head-to-head series, last two years

3 series: Liquid 2 wins, Legacy 1 win

  • W2-1Mirage 11-13, Inferno 13-7, Nuke 13-9PGL Masters Bucharest 202526.10
  • W2-1Mirage 6-13, Dust2 13-6, Inferno 13-11CS Asia Championships 202516.10
  • L0-2Nuke 4-13, Anubis 10-13PGL Bucharest 202506.04

Valve ranking as of 5 October

Other CS2 matches

All matches
1:29z–TYLOOOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.52prediction lost13 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.182 6.252:1Spirit–FURIAOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.70prediction lost5 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction1 1.562 2.701:2G2–DENDELE CSOur pick:H2 (+1.5)1.79prediction won10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.332 3.852:0BetBoom Team–Natus VincereOur pick:H1 (+1.5)1.49prediction won13 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.702 1.56