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Spirit vs FURIA 2:1: result and AI prediction
Spirit and FURIA played on 26 October — group stage, round 3, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: the series ended 2:1. The AI models' bet: Spirit −1.5 map handicap at 2.70 — 5 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.
- PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
- Group stage, round 3
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Spirit −1.5 map handicap
2.70The market prices this option at 37%
AI models' pick · 5 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Spirit or FURIA wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1Spirit54 min
- map 2FURIA42 min
- map 3Spirit50 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on Spirit −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Spirit win. 3 more each on FURIA +1.5 on maps (won) and on over 2.5 maps (won). The other 2 bet on under 2.5 maps — the bet lost.
- 5 of 15H1 (−1.5)our betodds 2.70
GrokKimiMistralNemotron SuperNemotron Ultralost - 2 of 151same directionodds 1.56
Gemini
Sonarwon - 3 of 15H2 (+1.5)odds 1.56ClaudeDeepSeek Flash
GLMwon - 3 of 15O 2.5odds 2.13DeepSeekQwenXiaomi MiMowon
- 2 of 15U 2.5odds 1.85ChatGPTMiniMaxlost
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
The head-to-head record over the past two years is level at three wins each, but the most recent meeting, in August, belonged to Spirit: a 2-0, built on Ancient 13-10 and Cache 13-5. Spirit also rarely let a best of three run long — a third map has come up in 7 of 21 series — and that is the main reason we're backing the Spirit −1.5 map handicap at 2.70. The veto points the same way. Inferno is Spirit's first ban in all 15 cases, which strips FURIA of their strongest map (7-2), while Anubis reads 0-2 for the Brazilians against 8-2 for Spirit. Top of the Valve ranking with 2046 points, a 41-21 map record across the last 90 days and a round difference of +136 all describe the same gap in calibre at PGL Masters Bucharest.
Where we could be wrong
Form argues the other way. FURIA have seven wins in their last 10 series, including a 2-0 over Aurora and a 2-1 against Legacy, while Spirit have taken five of 10 and lost to MOUZ and BetBoom. The veto is also still unknown: what if FURIA steer the series onto Cache or Nuke, the maps they pick most often, where Spirit sit at 4-4 and 4-3? A single map dropped and the bet goes down.
- 5 of 15 AI models back this bet and 2 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
Form, rosters and maps
Spirit
1st in the Valve ranking · 2046 points
roster · player rating over six months
- sh1ro6.58
- magixx5.82
- zont1x5.87
- tN1R6.03
- donk7.34
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-0TYLOO#44PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
- L1-2BetBoom#11PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
- L0-2Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2411.10
- L1-2MOUZ#4ESL Pro League Season 2410.10
- W2-0Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
- W2-0M80#22ESL Pro League Season 2407.10
- L0-21win#38ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- L0-2MOUZ#4ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-1PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- W2-1ShindeN#74ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
maps over 90 days
41–21, round difference +136; 7 of 21 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 57%, on the T side 54%, pistol rounds 48%
1 day since the last series, 5 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 10–4 | +35 | 9 | |
| Mirage | 7–6 | +28 | 1 | |
| Ancient | 8–2 | +28 | 5 | 2 |
| Anubis | 8–2 | +28 | 2 | 1 |
| Cache | 4–4 | +2 | 5 | |
| Nuke | 4–3 | +15 | 1 | 4 |
| Inferno | — | 15 |
Bans Inferno first in 15 of 15 series
FURIA
7th in the Valve ranking · 1829 points
roster · player rating over six months
- FalleN5.47
- YEKINDAR6.27
- yuurih5.83
- KSCERATO6.40
- molodoy6.59
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- L0-2Natus Vincere#34PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
- W2-0DENDELE#39PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
- W3-2BetBoom#11Thunderpick World Championship 202618.10
- W2-0Aurora#9Thunderpick World Championship 202617.10
- W2-1Legacy#2Thunderpick World Championship 202615.10
- W2-0BetBoom#11Thunderpick World Championship 202614.10
- L0-2MOUZ#4ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
- W2-09z#17ESL Pro League Season 2407.10
- L1-2Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- W2-1PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
maps over 90 days
42–34, round difference +77; 12 of 29 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 50%, pistol rounds 57%
0 days since the last series, 4 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirage | 9–6 | +23 | 4 | 2 |
| Dust2 | 7–6 | +9 | 2 | 4 |
| Ancient | 6–7 | +12 | 5 | |
| Cache | 6–6 | −1 | 5 | 6 |
| Nuke | 7–5 | +27 | 5 | 1 |
| Inferno | 7–2 | +22 | 1 | 8 |
| Anubis | 0–2 | −15 | 1 | 13 |
Bans Anubis first in 11 of 19 series
head-to-head series, last two years
6 series: Spirit 3 wins, FURIA 3 wins · the last 5 below
- W2-0Ancient 13-10, Cache 13-5BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
- W2-1Dust2 13-8, Overpass 12-16, Mirage 13-11PGL Astana 202611.05
- L1-2Mirage 13-16, Dust2 13-8, Nuke 7-13Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 202607.02
- L0-2Mirage 9-13, Nuke 11-13BLAST Open Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier30.08
- W2-1Train 7-13, Nuke 13-9, Mirage 13-7PGL Astana 202517.05
Valve ranking as of 5 October
