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Vitality vs FUT Esports 1:2: result and AI prediction

Vitality and FUT Esports played on 26 October — group stage, round 3, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: the series ended 1:2. The AI models' bet: Vitality −1.5 map handicap at 2.17 — 13 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.

published · updated UTC

Vitality
FUT Esports

AI models' pick: Vitality −1.5 map handicap

2.17

The market prices this option at 46%

AI models' pick · 13 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 2 chose others

lost−1.00 units

What the odds were

line when the AI models voted, 26.10 at 09:52 UTC

Series winner11.3323.85
Map handicap −1.5H12.17 — matches our betH21.82
Total maps 2.5O2.33U1.72

Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.

abbreviations
  • 1, 2 — Vitality or FUT Esports wins the series
  • H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
  • O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map

How the series went

  1. map 1Vitality49 min
  2. map 2FUT Esports47 min
  3. map 3FUT Esports50 min

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Vitality −1.5 on maps — the bet lost. 2 more bet on FUT Esports +1.5 on maps — the bet won.

Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.

Ancient goes first every time Vitality step up to the veto — all 16 times — and that is precisely FUT Esports' most frequent pick, chosen five times. So the opponent walks into this series without their base map. Vitality's own picks are tight too: 12-2 on Dust2 and 5-2 on Inferno across the last 90 days, and FUT have used their first ban on Inferno in 7 of 10 vetoes, which does not leave them much room.

Form backs the same side. Ten wins from the last ten series, a 3-0 against MOUZ, who sit fourth, and a 2-0 against The MongolZ, with a 42-16 record in maps, a round difference of +186 and 63% of rounds won on the CT side. The previous meetings go the same way: 3-0 over two years, and in August it finished 2-0, Anubis 13-7 and Dust2 13-8. That is the case for the Vitality -1.5 map handicap at 2.17.

Where we could be wrong

The soft spot is Anubis, where Vitality sit at 4-5 and which is FUT's third most popular pick — in June the French dropped it 5-13. The veto is still unknown, and 8 of Vitality's 21 best-of-three series have gone to a third map, so a single map conceded is enough for the bet to go down.

Form, rosters and maps

map pool: Ancient, Anubis, Cache, Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, Nuke

Vitality

3rd in the Valve ranking · 1911 points

roster · player rating over six months

  • ropz6.28
  • ZywOo7.13
  • flameZ6.31
  • jL5.95
  • mezii5.91

recent series · 10 wins, 0 losses

  • W2-0The MongolZ#49PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
  • W2-09z#17PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
  • W3-0MOUZ#4ESL Pro League Season 2411.10
  • W2-1Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2410.10
  • W2-0PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
  • W2-1Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
  • W2-1Natus Vincere#34ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
  • W2-01win#38ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
  • W3-1Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
  • W2-0FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09

maps over 90 days

42–16, round difference +186; 8 of 21 best-of-three series went to a third map

Rounds won on the CT side 63%, on the T side 53%, pistol rounds 55%

1 day since the last series, 4 maps this week

map pool over 90 days

MapW–LRounds ±PicksBans
Dust212–2+7251
Mirage8–3+277
Cache9–1+5223
Anubis4–5+513
Inferno5–2+304
Nuke4–3042
Ancient—16

Bans Ancient first in 16 of 16 series

FUT Esports

8th in the Valve ranking · 1799 points

roster · player rating over six months

  • SunPayus6.24
  • xfl0ud5.93
  • dem0n6.31
  • Krabeni6.13
  • dziugss6.15

recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses

  • W2-0Liquid#19PGL Masters Bucharest 202625.10
  • W2-0TYLOO#44PGL Masters Bucharest 202624.10
  • L0-2Vitality#3BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
  • W2-0Inner Circle#20BLAST Open Fall 202630.08
  • W2-1Lynn Vision#64BLAST Open Fall 202629.08
  • L0-2Legacy#2BLAST Open Fall 202627.08
  • L1-3Spirit#1Esports World Cup 202623.08
  • W2-1FURIA#7Esports World Cup 202622.08
  • W2-0MOUZ#4Esports World Cup 202621.08
  • W2-1magic#23Esports World Cup 202619.08

maps over 90 days

18–11, round difference +45; 4 of 10 best-of-three series went to a third map

Rounds won on the CT side 52%, on the T side 55%, pistol rounds 60%

1 day since the last series, 4 maps this week

map pool over 90 days

MapW–LRounds ±PicksBans
Ancient5–3+2151
Dust23–305
Nuke2–3−84
Anubis2–2+731
Mirage4–0+141
Cache2–0+1112
Inferno—7

Bans Inferno first in 7 of 10 series

head-to-head series, last two years

3 series: Vitality 3 wins, FUT Esports 0 wins

  • W2-0Anubis 13-7, Dust2 13-8BLAST Open Fall 202631.08
  • W2-1Anubis 5-13, Overpass 13-2, Nuke 13-8Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 202611.06
  • W2-1Mirage 13-6, Dust2 11-13, Nuke 13-11BLAST Rivals Spring 202629.04

Valve ranking as of 5 October

Other CS2 matches

All matches
1:29z–TYLOOOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.52prediction lost13 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.182 6.252:1Spirit–FURIAOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.70prediction lost5 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction1 1.562 2.702:0Liquid–LegacyOur pick:H1 (+1.5)1.67prediction won11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.232 1.431:2G2–DENDELE CSOur pick:H2 (+1.5)1.79prediction won10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.332 3.85