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magic vs TheMongolz 0:2: result and AI prediction
magic and TheMongolz played on 21 October — playoffs, lower bracket quarter-final, 1win Private Club Season 2 2026: the series ended 0:2. The AI models' bet: magic to win at 2.22 — 4 of 15 models chose it; the bet lost.
- 1win Private Club Season 2 2026
- Playoffs, lower bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: magic to win
2.22The market prices this option at 45%
AI models' pick · 4 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 3 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot magic have shortened: 2.27 → 2.13, TheMongolz — 1.69 → 1.85. The money is going on magic.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — magic or TheMongolz wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1TheMongolz46 min
- map 2TheMongolz45 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a magic win — the bet lost. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: magic +1.5 on maps. 3 more each on a TheMongolz win (won) and on under 2.5 maps (won). The other 2 bet on TheMongolz −1.5 on maps — the bet won.
- 4 of 151our betodds 2.22ChatGPTQwen
GLMNemotron Ultralost - 3 of 15H1 (+1.5)same directionodds 1.37ClaudeMiniMax
Dots3-Notelost - 3 of 152odds 1.79
GrokDeepSeek Flash
Sonarwon - 3 of 15U 2.5odds 1.96DeepSeek
GeminiXiaomi MiMowon - 2 of 15H2 (−1.5)odds 3.57KimiMistralwon
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Both teams arrive with four wins from their last ten series, but the quality behind those wins is not the same. magic put up a 2-0 against Liquid, ranked 19th, while TheMongolz were beaten 0-2 by 5star, a side down in 80th. The gap in the Valve ranking is clear too: 23rd and 1489 points against 49th and 1318. The individual numbers tilt the same way, with magic the more even side — lattykk 6.55, tENZY 6.18, MaSvAl 6.05, against 910 (6.56) as the only standout on the other roster.
The veto also works for magic. Nuke is their first ban in 13 of 14 cases, and TheMongolz hold only a 1-3 record there, so the map effectively drops out of the pool. magic's own pick, Ancient, has brought them a 10-9 record over the past three months. The prices have drifted slightly towards magic in the last day, from 2.27 to 2.22, and that is where we are going: magic to win at 2.22.
Where we could be wrong
The warning sign is the head-to-head story. The two previous meetings over two years both went to TheMongolz, and both were settled on Mirage, where magic sit on 2-6 across 90 days — the worst map in their pool. Mirage is also the second most frequent pick for TheMongolz, and with the veto unknown ahead of an elimination match, that map can very easily turn up in this series.
- 4 of 15 AI models back this bet and 3 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
- The market makes TheMongolz the favourite: 1.79 against 2.22 on this bet.
Form, rosters and maps
magic
23rd in the Valve ranking · 1489 points
roster · player rating over six months
- MaSvAl6.05
- AW5.85
- lattykk6.55
- sFade85.72
- tENZY6.18
recent series · 4 wins, 6 losses
- W2-0Liquid#191win Private Club 220.10
- L0-2PARIVISION#361win Private Club 219.10
- L0-2GamerLegion#271win Private Club 128.09
- L1-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#181win Private Club 127.09
- W2-1GamerLegion#271win Private Club 126.09
- W2-1EYEBALLERS#431win Private Club 125.09
- L1-2MIBR#12StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L0-2Vitality#3StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
- L0-2Alliance#24FISSURE Playground 310.09
- W2-0PARIVISION#36FISSURE Playground 310.09
maps over 90 days
27–27, round difference −43; 9 of 22 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 51%, on the T side 45%, pistol rounds 50%
0 days since the last series, 4 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 10–9 | −17 | 9 | |
| Dust2 | 5–5 | +5 | 2 | 1 |
| Mirage | 2–6 | −24 | 2 | 2 |
| Cache | 5–2 | +9 | 5 | |
| Anubis | 2–3 | −13 | 6 | |
| Inferno | 3–2 | −3 | 2 | |
| Nuke | — | 13 |
Bans Nuke first in 13 of 14 series
TheMongolz
49th in the Valve ranking · 1318 points
roster · player rating over six months
- nin95.92
- Techno4K5.44
- bLitz6.04
- 9106.56
- cobrazera5.99
recent series · 4 wins, 6 losses
- L0-2BIG#251win Private Club 220.10
- W2-0Alliance#241win Private Club 219.10
- L0-25star#80FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L1-2MIBR#12FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2Falcons#6Esports World Cup 202620.08
- W2-0paiN#54Esports World Cup 202616.08
- L1-2Natus Vincere#34Esports World Cup 202615.08
- W1-0magic#23Esports World Cup 202612.08
- L1-2FaZe#26BLAST Bounty Summer 202631.07
- W2-0Wildcard#58BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier26.07
maps over 90 days
12–13, round difference −10; 4 of 10 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 53%, on the T side 45%, pistol rounds 50%
0 days since the last series, 4 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 3–4 | −8 | 4 | |
| Mirage | 2–3 | −5 | 2 | |
| Nuke | 1–3 | −11 | 1 | 3 |
| Dust2 | 3–1 | +7 | 2 | |
| Ancient | 2–1 | +7 | 3 | |
| Cache | 1–1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Anubis | — | 9 |
Bans Anubis first in 9 of 9 series
head-to-head series, last two years
2 series: magic 0 wins, TheMongolz 2 wins
- L0-1Mirage 7-13Esports World Cup 202612.08
- L0-2Mirage 23-25, Inferno 4-13PGL Astana 202609.05
Valve ranking as of 5 October
