FINISHED
TheMongolz vs BIG 0:2: result and AI prediction
TheMongolz and BIG played on 20 October — playoffs, upper bracket semi-final, 1win Private Club Season 2 2026: the series ended 0:2. The AI models' bet: BIG to win at 2.04 — 10 of 15 models chose it; the bet won.
- 1win Private Club Season 2 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket semi-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: BIG to win
2.04The market prices this option at 49%
AI models' pick · 10 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot TheMongolz have drifted: 1.69 → 1.85, BIG — 2.27 → 2.13. The money is going on BIG.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — TheMongolz or BIG wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1BIG54 min
- map 2BIG32 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a BIG win — the bet won. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: BIG +1.5 on maps. 2 more bet on over 2.5 maps — the bet lost. One more bet on a TheMongolz win.
- 10 of 152our betodds 2.04ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultrawon - 2 of 15H2 (+1.5)same directionodds 1.33Mistral
Sonarwon - 2 of 15O 2.5odds 2.13Qwen
Dots3-Notelost - 1 of 151odds 1.92Kimilost
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Three wins in their last ten series is a thin return for BIG, but the names behind those defeats matter: they went down 1-2 to Astralis (10th), Luminosity (16th) and G2 (5th). Over the same stretch TheMongolz were beaten 0-2 by 5star, a side ranked 80th. The Valve ranking tells a similar story, 25th against 49th, and across the last 90 days BIG hold a 23-18 map record with a round difference of +22, against 12-11 and +4.
The map pool nudges things the same way. Both teams ban Anubis first more often than any other map, and both pick Inferno most often, where BIG have a 6-2 record against 3-4 for TheMongolz. We're backing BIG at 2.04, with the price having come in from 2.27 over the past 16 hours.
Where we could be wrong
The obvious hole is the pistol rounds: BIG take only 38% of them, and in a best of three that can quickly turn into a map handed over. There is nothing in the head-to-heads to lean on from the past two years, and the veto is still unknown — if TheMongolz land Dust2, where they sit at 3-1, or Nuke, where BIG are only 2-1, the picture changes.
- The market makes TheMongolz the favourite: 1.92 against 2.04 on this bet.
Form, rosters and maps
TheMongolz
49th in the Valve ranking · 1318 points
roster · player rating over six months
- nin95.96
- Techno4K5.45
- bLitz6.05
- 9106.60
- cobrazera6.02
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- W2-0Alliance#241win Private Club 219.10
- L0-25star#80FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L1-2MIBR#12FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2Falcons#6Esports World Cup 202620.08
- W2-0paiN#54Esports World Cup 202616.08
- L1-2Natus Vincere#34Esports World Cup 202615.08
- W1-0magic#23Esports World Cup 202612.08
- L1-2FaZe#26BLAST Bounty Summer 202631.07
- W2-0Wildcard#58BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier26.07
- W2-1HEROIC#15BLAST Bounty Summer 2026: Closed Qualifier24.07
maps over 90 days
12–11, round difference +4; 4 of 9 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 54%, on the T side 47%, pistol rounds 50%
1 day since the last series, 2 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 3–4 | −8 | 4 | |
| Mirage | 2–2 | +4 | 2 | |
| Nuke | 1–3 | −11 | 1 | 3 |
| Dust2 | 3–1 | +7 | 2 | |
| Ancient | 2–1 | +7 | 3 | |
| Cache | 1–0 | +5 | 1 | 2 |
| Anubis | — | 9 |
Bans Anubis first in 9 of 9 series
BIG
25th in the Valve ranking · 1482 points
roster · player rating over six months
- tabseN5.83
- faveN5.86
- blameF6.58
- JDC5.99
- gr1ks6.32
recent series · 3 wins, 7 losses
- W2-0PRIVATE#951win Private Club 219.10
- L1-2Astralis#10Stake Ranked Episode 403.10
- L1-2Luminosity#16Stake Ranked Episode 402.10
- W2-1fnatic#35Stake Ranked Episode 401.10
- L1-2G2#5FISSURE Playground 309.09
- L0-2BetBoom#11FISSURE Playground 308.09
- L0-2magic#23Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier03.09
- W2-0paiN#54Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier02.09
- L1-2Nemiga#14Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier02.09
- L1-2Spirit#1Esports World Cup 202615.08
maps over 90 days
23–18, round difference +22; 8 of 16 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 49%, on the T side 53%, pistol rounds 38%
1 day since the last series, 2 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache | 6–5 | +3 | 3 | |
| Mirage | 4–5 | −14 | 2 | |
| Inferno | 6–2 | +13 | 4 | 1 |
| Ancient | 3–4 | +4 | 1 | 1 |
| Dust2 | 2–1 | +6 | 4 | |
| Nuke | 2–1 | +10 | 5 | |
| Anubis | — | 6 |
Valve ranking as of 5 October
