FINISHED
Vitality vs 9z 2:0: result and AI prediction
Vitality and 9z played on 24 October — group stage, round 1, PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: the series ended 2:0. The AI models' bet: Vitality −1.5 map handicap at 1.59 — 1 of 15 models chose it; the bet won.
- PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
- Group stage, round 1
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Vitality −1.5 map handicap
1.59The market prices this option at 62%
AI models' pick · 1 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 14 more in the same direction
What the odds were
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Vitality or 9z wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
How the series went
- map 1Vitality47 min
- map 2Vitality51 min
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Vitality win, but at 1.18 we do not publish that bet — the price is too low. Our pick was the same side at a better price, Vitality −1.5 on maps — the bet won: one model chose it.
- 1 of 15H1 (−1.5)our betodds 1.59Kimiwon
- 14 of 151same directionodds 1.18ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMax
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultrawon
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Nine wins in Vitality's last ten series did not come against filler opposition: 3-0 against MOUZ, fourth in the Valve ranking, plus 2-1 wins over Falcons and Aurora. 9z have three wins and seven defeats in the same period, a 13-22 map record across 90 days and a round difference of -55, where Vitality sit at 38-18 and +156. Dust2 is the most common pick for both sides, and if the series reaches it the map numbers favour the favourite: 12-2 against 3-4, with Vitality taking 62% of rounds on the CT side against 49% for 9z. We're backing the Vitality -1.5 map handicap at 1.59, and the format supports it: best-of-three series involving 9z have gone to a third map 4 of 15 times, though Vitality themselves have been taken the distance 8 of 20.
Where we could be wrong
The tournament roster is missing jL, apEX is listed outside the main five, and that rotation can disrupt the familiar partnerships. Add 12 days without a match and the June head-to-head, where 9z took Mirage 13-9 and Dust2 13-11.
- One of the teams has a player from outside its regular lineup in the tournament roster: with a stand-in a team plays differently from its previous series.
Form, rosters and maps
Vitality
3rd in the Valve ranking · 1911 points
roster · player rating over six months
- ropz6.28
- ZywOo7.12
- flameZ6.28
- jL5.97
- mezii5.92
In the tournament roster, not in the regular lineup: apEX
Not in the tournament roster: jL
recent series · 9 wins, 1 loss
- W3-0MOUZ#4ESL Pro League Season 2411.10
- W2-1Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2410.10
- W2-0PARIVISION#36ESL Pro League Season 2409.10
- W2-1Falcons#6ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-1Natus Vincere#34ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- W2-01win#38ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- W3-1Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- W2-0FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202620.09
- L1-2Aurora#9StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-0FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
maps over 90 days
38–18, round difference +156; 8 of 20 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 62%, on the T side 52%, pistol rounds 57%
12 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 12–2 | +72 | 5 | 1 |
| Anubis | 4–6 | +2 | 1 | 3 |
| Mirage | 7–3 | +24 | 8 | |
| Nuke | 4–4 | −4 | 5 | 2 |
| Cache | 7–1 | +39 | 2 | 3 |
| Inferno | 4–2 | +23 | 4 | |
| Ancient | — | 17 |
Bans Ancient first in 17 of 17 series
9z
17th in the Valve ranking · 1543 points
roster · player rating over six months
- meyern5.75
- max5.87
- luchov6.26
- dgt6.39
- HUASOPEEK6.09
recent series · 3 wins, 7 losses
- L0-2Aurora#9Thunderpick World Championship 202616.10
- L1-2Falcons#6Thunderpick World Championship 202615.10
- W2-0Aurora#9Thunderpick World Championship 202614.10
- L0-2FURIA#7ESL Pro League Season 2407.10
- W2-0BetBoom#11ESL Pro League Season 2406.10
- L0-2Natus Vincere#34ESL Pro League Season 2405.10
- W2-0TYLOO#44ESL Pro League Season 2404.10
- L0-2Aurora#9ESL Pro League Season 2403.10
- L1-2G2#5FISSURE Playground 310.09
- L0-2MIBR#12FISSURE Playground 309.09
maps over 90 days
13–22, round difference −55; 4 of 15 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 49%, on the T side 43%, pistol rounds 50%
7 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 3–7 | −19 | 2 | 1 |
| Dust2 | 3–4 | −22 | 4 | |
| Mirage | 4–2 | +14 | 4 | |
| Cache | 2–3 | +2 | 1 | |
| Inferno | 1–4 | −23 | 3 | |
| Ancient | 0–2 | −7 | 2 | |
| Anubis | — | 7 |
Bans Anubis first in 7 of 8 series
head-to-head series, last two years
3 series: Vitality 2 wins, 9z 1 win
- W2-0Dust2 13-2, Nuke 13-6BLAST Open Fall 202629.08
- L1-2Inferno 13-4, Mirage 9-13, Dust2 11-13Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 202612.06
- W2-0Overpass 13-3, Nuke 13-5BLAST Open Spring 202619.03
Valve ranking as of 5 October
