24 Oct
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: AI prediction and betting pick
On 24 October, Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt. The AI models' pick is Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap at 2.13: 7 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.
- Bundesliga, matchday 7 of 34
- +8°, drizzle
- SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
published UTC


AI models' pick: Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap
2.13AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
1:1 9%2:0 8%3:1 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Borussia Dortmund −1.5: 2.13 → 2.13 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Borussia Dortmund −1.5 2.13 → 2.13, Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5 1.72 → 1.72.
Price changes
| When | Borussia Dortmund −1.5 · our bet | Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| We published Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap at 2.13 | ||
| 2.13opened | 1.72opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Borussia Dortmund −1.5. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Borussia Dortmund −1 and a Borussia Dortmund win. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose other bets: a total-goals bet and both teams to score.
- 5 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 2.13DeepSeek
GeminiKimiMiniMaxMistral
- 2 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 1.65ChatGPT
GLM - 1 of 161same directionodds 1.45Nemotron Super
- 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.32
GrokDeepSeek Flash
Sonar
Dots3-Note - 3 of 16O 3.5odds 1.85QwenXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra
- 1 of 16BTTSodds 1.45Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
After six rounds Borussia Dortmund sit second with 14 points, Eintracht Frankfurt eleventh with eight. At home the hosts average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded, and they have kept a clean sheet in two thirds of their home matches. Eintracht's away numbers pull the other way: 3.3 goals conceded per game and not one clean sheet on the road. The last 10 head-to-heads have brought Borussia six wins, three draws and one defeat, and lopsided scorelines have cropped up regularly in that run.
The prices split the pair a long way apart, 1.45 on the home win against 5.82 on the away win, and our pick follows the same picture: the Borussia Dortmund -1.5 handicap at 2.13.
Where we could be wrong
Eintracht are not toothless on their travels, mind. They score two goals a game away from home, and both teams have found the net in two of their three away fixtures. The last three meetings were all tight: 3-2 in May, 3-3 in January and 1-1 in the German Cup in October 2025. Borussia have not won either of their last two matches, and with Champions League football in the diary there could be some rotation — in which case a win by two or more goals stops being a formality.
- 7 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Union Berlin | A | 0:0xG 1.4–0.9 | D |
| 14.10 | Bodø/GlimtChampions League | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.2 | L |
| 09.10 | Werder Bremen | H | 2:2xG 2.4–1.1 | D |
| 19.09 | Stuttgart | A | 1:0xG 1.3–0.9 | W |
| 12.09 | Paderborn | H | 3:0xG 1.8–0.5 | W |
| 08.09 | VillarrealChampions League | H | 3:2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10 | Köln | H | 1:0xG 1.8–0.8 | W |
| 10.10 | Leipzig | A | 0:6xG 1.5–4.0 | L |
| 02.10 | Eintracht Braunschweigclub friendly | H | 4:0 | W |
| 19.09 | Freiburg | H | 2:2xG 2.2–3.1 | D |
| 12.09 | Mainz | A | 3:1xG 2.0–2.1 | W |
| 06.09 | Augsburg | H | 1:4xG 2.2–1.1 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Bundesliga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 3.2 | 1.9 |
| xG | 1.8 / 1 | 1.9 / 2.4 | 1.8 |
| shots | 15.8 / 11.8 | 14.6 / 19.2 | 15.8 |
| shots on target | 5.8 / 3.6 | 5.6 / 7.8 | 5.5 |
| corners | 4.8 / 4.6 | 5 / 4.2 | 5.4 |
| fouls | 11 / 11.6 | 10.8 / 12.4 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 2.4 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.2 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 60% | 100% | |
| both scored | 40% | 80% | |
| clean sheets | 60% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 20% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.3 / 0.7 | 2 / 3.3 | |
| average total | 3 | 5.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| both scored | 33% | 67% | |
- Borussia Dortmund score more than the league average: 2.2 vs 1.9
- Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Borussia Dortmund, away games only for Eintracht Frankfurt
Head to head
6–3–1Borussia Dortmund wins · draws · Eintracht Frankfurt wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3:2 | 08.05.26 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 3:3 | 09.01.26 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 1:1 | 28.10.25 | DFB Pokal |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 2:0 | 17.01.25 | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 2:0 | 24.08.24 | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3:1 | 17.03.24 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 3:3 | 29.10.23 | |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 4:0 | 22.04.23 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 1:2 | 29.10.22 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund | 2:3 | 08.01.22 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 7 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4-2-0 | 22–5 | 14 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4-2-0 | 11–4 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4-1-1 | 15–6 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2-2-2 | 16–12 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2-2-2 | 10–16 | 8 | LWDLW |
| 12 | Köln | 6 | 2-1-3 | 8–11 | 7 | LDLWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1520
- 16-3000
- 31-4511
- 46-6001
- 61-7530
- 76-9043
- 0-1553
- 16-3000
- 31-4523
- 46-6023
- 61-7511
- 76-9015
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals