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24 Oct

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: AI prediction and betting pick

On 24 October, Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt. The AI models' pick is Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap at 2.13: 7 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt

AI models' pick: Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap

2.13

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results

likely score

2:19%odds 8.08

1:1 9%2:0 8%3:1 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 19.10 12:09

result11.45X5.0625.82
total 3.5O1.85U1.96
both to scoreyes1.45no2.58
double chance1X1.14121.16X22.73
handicapH1 −1.52.13 — matches our betH2 +1.51.72

Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Borussia Dortmund −1.5: 2.13 → 2.13 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Borussia Dortmund −1.5 2.13 → 2.13, Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5 1.72 → 1.72.

Borussia Dortmund −1.52.13 → 2.13our betEintracht Frankfurt +1.51.72 → 1.72
1.701.801.902.002.1018 Oct19 OctWe published · 2.132.131.72

Price changes

Price changes in the Handicap −1.5 market
WhenBorussia Dortmund −1.5 · our betEintracht Frankfurt +1.5
We published Borussia Dortmund −1.5 handicap at 2.13
2.13opened1.72opened
10 snapshots · the prices have not changed

The largest group of AI models went for Borussia Dortmund −1.5. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Borussia Dortmund −1 and a Borussia Dortmund win. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 4 chose other bets: a total-goals bet and both teams to score.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC

After six rounds Borussia Dortmund sit second with 14 points, Eintracht Frankfurt eleventh with eight. At home the hosts average 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded, and they have kept a clean sheet in two thirds of their home matches. Eintracht's away numbers pull the other way: 3.3 goals conceded per game and not one clean sheet on the road. The last 10 head-to-heads have brought Borussia six wins, three draws and one defeat, and lopsided scorelines have cropped up regularly in that run.

The prices split the pair a long way apart, 1.45 on the home win against 5.82 on the away win, and our pick follows the same picture: the Borussia Dortmund -1.5 handicap at 2.13.

Where we could be wrong

Eintracht are not toothless on their travels, mind. They score two goals a game away from home, and both teams have found the net in two of their three away fixtures. The last three meetings were all tight: 3-2 in May, 3-3 in January and 1-1 in the German Cup in October 2025. Borussia have not won either of their last two matches, and with Champions League football in the diary there could be some rotation — in which case a win by two or more goals stops being a formality.

  • 7 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Borussia Dortmund
Recent matches: Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10Union BerlinA0:0xG 1.4–0.9D
14.10Bodø/GlimtChampions LeagueA0:1xG 0.8–1.2L
09.10Werder BremenH2:2xG 2.4–1.1D
19.09StuttgartA1:0xG 1.3–0.9W
12.09PaderbornH3:0xG 1.8–0.5W
08.09VillarrealChampions LeagueH3:2W
Eintracht Frankfurt
Recent matches: Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16.10KölnH1:0xG 1.8–0.8W
10.10LeipzigA0:6xG 1.5–4.0L
02.10Eintracht Braunschweigclub friendlyH4:0W
19.09FreiburgH2:2xG 2.2–3.1D
12.09MainzA3:1xG 2.0–2.1W
06.09AugsburgH1:4xG 2.2–1.1L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBorussia DortmundEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
goals2.2 / 0.81.8 / 3.21.9
xG1.8 / 11.9 / 2.41.8
shots15.8 / 11.814.6 / 19.215.8
shots on target5.8 / 3.65.6 / 7.85.5
corners4.8 / 4.65 / 4.25.4
fouls11 / 11.610.8 / 12.411.3
yellow cards2.4 / 1.82.4 / 1.21.7
matches over 2.560%100%
both scored40%80%
clean sheets60%0%
failed to score0%20%
home / away
goals2.3 / 0.72 / 3.3
average total35.3
matches over 2.567%100%
both scored33%67%

Head to head

last 10

6–3–1Borussia Dortmund wins · draws · Eintracht Frankfurt wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt3:208.05.26
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund3:309.01.26
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund1:128.10.25DFB Pokal
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund2:017.01.25
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt2:024.08.24
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt3:117.03.24
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund3:329.10.23
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt4:022.04.23
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund1:229.10.22
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund2:308.01.22

League table

League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Bayern Munich64-2-022–514DWWDW
2Borussia Dortmund64-2-011–414WWWDD
3Freiburg64-1-115–613WWDWL
10Augsburg62-2-216–128WDLDL
11Eintracht Frankfurt62-2-210–168LWDLW
12Köln62-1-38–117LDLWL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Borussia Dortmund
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3000
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6001
  • 61-7530
  • 76-9043
Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 0-1553
  • 16-3000
  • 31-4523
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9015

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
13:30Köln–SchalkeOur pick:12.026 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.02X 3.842 3.2913:30Leipzig–ElversbergOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.9111 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.37X 5.482 7.0718:30Stuttgart–Borussia MönchengladbachOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.9713 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 1.39X 5.362 6.66