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16 Oct

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln: AI prediction and betting pick

On 16 October, Eintracht Frankfurt host Köln. The AI models' pick is over 3.5 goals at 1.96: 10 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt
Köln

AI models' pick: Over 3.5 goals

1.96

Now 1.92 · 1.96 when published

AI models' pick · 10 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

Match odds

last line update 14.10 03:17

result11.94+0.02X4.10+0.0723.34−0.05
total 3.5O1.92 — matches our bet−0.04U1.90+0.03
both to scoreyes1.35no3.01+0.05
double chance1X1.31+0.01121.22−0.01X21.85−0.02
handicapH1 −12.55+0.03H2 +11.49

Over 2 days a draw drifted from 4.03 to 4.10 — fewer bets on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Over 3.5: 1.96 → 1.92 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (over 3.5 goals) has shortened from 1.96 to 1.92: the market now rates it as more likely.

Over 3.51.96 → 1.92our betUnder 3.51.87 → 1.90
1.801.902.002.1013 hno data11 Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 OctWe published · 1.96Over 3.5 1.92Under 3.5 1.90

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 3.5 market
WhenOver 3.5 · our betUnder 3.5
1.92−0.011.90
We published over 3.5 goals at 1.96
1.93−0.051.90+0.04
12 Oct – 13 Oct · no snapshots for 13 h
1.98+0.021.86−0.01
1.96opened1.87opened
27 snapshots · the prices changed 3 times

The largest group of AI models went for over 3.5 goals. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: over 2.5 goals and over 3 goals. 3 more went for both teams to score. One more went for an Eintracht Frankfurt win.

  • 10 of 16O 3.5our betodds 1.96ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashGLMXiaomi MiMoDots3-Note
  • 3 of 16BTTSodds 1.35GrokMistralNemotron Super
  • 1 of 16O 2.5same directionodds 1.36MiniMax
  • 1 of 16O 3same directionodds 1.56Nemotron Ultra
  • 1 of 161odds 1.95Sonar

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 13.10 at 12:23 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt have shipped 16 goals in five Bundesliga rounds while scoring nine, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. Köln look just as exposed on the road: two matches, two defeats and three conceded in each. Both of Eintracht's home games and both of Köln's away trips have gone over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring, and the previous meetings hold the same standard — 2-2 in Frankfurt in April, and Eintracht Frankfurt won 4-3 in November 2025. The 3.5 line asks for four goals, though, and a price of 1.96 fairly reflects how close to even this is.

Where we could be wrong

At home Köln are a different side: three matches, two wins and 1.3 conceded on average, so they can defend their goal tightly and may sit deeper in Frankfurt, especially with only one goal of their own per game away from home. Eintracht also have a blank in this season's record, and two matches in these respective roles is too small a sample to treat the flow of goals as a rule. Our pick is over 3.5 goals at 1.96.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 13.10 11:55
Eintracht Frankfurt

no absences listed

Köln

no absences listed

managers: Adi Hutter · Rene Wagner · main formations this season: 4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Eintracht Frankfurt
Recent matches: Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10LeipzigA0:6xG 1.5–4.0L
02.10Eintracht Braunschweigclub friendlyH4:0W
19.09FreiburgH2:2xG 2.2–3.1D
12.09MainzA3:1xG 2.0–2.1W
06.09AugsburgH1:4xG 2.2–1.1L
29.08Union BerlinA3:3xG 1.5–1.8D
Köln
Recent matches: Köln
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10Borussia MönchengladbachH2:1xG 1.3–1.2W
03.10FC Viktoria Kölnclub friendlyA2:2D
19.09HamburgA1:2L
12.09Werder BremenH1:1D
04.09StuttgartA1:4L
29.08HoffenheimH3:2xG 1.9–1.9W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstEintracht FrankfurtKölnBundesliga
goals1.8 / 3.21.6 / 21.9
xG1.9 / 2.41.8 / 1.81.8
shots14.6 / 19.217.6 / 15.815.8
shots on target5.6 / 7.85.8 / 6.25.5
corners5 / 4.26.6 / 6.25.4
fouls10.8 / 12.410 / 1211.3
yellow cards2.4 / 1.21.8 / 1.61.7
matches over 2.5100%80%
both scored80%100%
clean sheets0%0%
failed to score20%0%
home / away
goals1.5 / 31 / 3
average total4.54
matches over 2.5100%100%
both scored100%100%

Head to head

last 10

2–5–3Eintracht Frankfurt wins · draws · Köln wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln2:205.04.26
Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt3:422.11.25
Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt2:003.02.24
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln1:103.09.23
Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt3:012.02.23
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln1:121.08.22
Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt1:019.02.22
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln1:125.09.21
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln2:014.02.21
Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt1:118.10.20

League table

Bundesliga
League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
9Elversberg52-1-28–87LDLWW
10Köln52-1-28–107WLDLW
11Stuttgart52-0-38–96WLLWL
13Schalke51-2-24–65LDWDL
14Eintracht Frankfurt51-2-29–165LDWLD
15Paderborn51-1-33–74LWLLD

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 0-1553
  • 16-3000
  • 31-4523
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9005
Köln
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4503
  • 46-6012
  • 61-7523
  • 76-9022

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
13:30Union Berlin–Borussia DortmundOur pick:H2 (−1)2.076 of 15 on this bet · 6 more in the same direction1 4.60X 4.172 1.6513:30Hamburg–StuttgartOur pick:O 2.51.366 of 15 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction1 3.76X 4.002 1.8313:30Werder Bremen–PaderbornOur pick:11.786 of 15 on this bet · 3 more in the same direction1 1.78X 3.962 4.00