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data updated 14.10 03:20

18 Oct

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim: AI prediction and betting pick

On 18 October, Borussia Mönchengladbach host Hoffenheim. The AI models' pick is over 3.5 goals at 1.99: 11 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hoffenheim

AI models' pick: Over 3.5 goals

1.99

Now 2.02 · 1.99 when published

AI models' pick · 11 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

Why this betAll odds

Match odds

last line update 14.10 03:17

result13.16−0.11X3.97−0.0522.01+0.05
total 3.5O2.02 — matches our bet+0.03U1.82−0.02
both to scoreyes1.36−0.01no2.94+0.03
double chance1X1.79−0.04121.23+0.01X21.34+0.02
handicapH1 +11.44−0.04H2 −12.78+0.14

Over 2 days a Borussia Mönchengladbach win shortened from 3.27 to 3.16 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Over 3.5: 1.99 → 2.02 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (over 3.5 goals) has drifted from 1.99 to 2.02: the market now rates it as less likely.

Over 3.51.99 → 2.02our betUnder 3.51.84 → 1.82
1.801.902.002.1013 hno data11 Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 OctWe published · 1.99Over 3.5 2.02Under 3.5 1.82

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 3.5 market
WhenOver 3.5 · our betUnder 3.5
We published over 3.5 goals at 1.99
2.02+0.021.82−0.02
12 Oct – 13 Oct · no snapshots for 13 h
2.00+0.011.84
1.99opened1.84opened
27 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for over 3.5 goals. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: over 2.5 goals. 4 more went for both teams to score.

  • 11 of 16O 3.5our betodds 1.99ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiGrokKimiQwenGLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra
  • 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.37MistralSonarDots3-NoteNemotron Super
  • 1 of 16O 2.5same directionodds 1.37DeepSeek Flash

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 13.10 at 12:23 UTC

Nothing has been modest about the scorelines in Mönchengladbach of late. Borussia Mönchengladbach's two home matches have averaged seven goals, both teams scored in each, and neither the hosts nor Hoffenheim have managed a clean sheet. The table points the same way: Borussia sit 18th without a point, seven scored and 15 conceded, while Hoffenheim are 17th on three points with nine scored and 15 conceded. The previous meetings have had no brakes on them either — 4-0 in May 2026, 5-1 in January 2026 and 4-4 in May 2025. In this Bundesliga fixture our pick is over 3.5 goals at 1.99.

Where we could be wrong

Four goals is still a bar that is cleared far from every week, and the market agrees: over 3.5 goals is rated at 48%, less than an even chance. Hoffenheim score 1.5 per game on the road and like to keep hold of the ball, with 59.8% possession for the season. Five games without a point weigh heavily too, and Borussia could start this one more cautiously than usual, having failed to score at all twice this season. Chance creation is almost level, 1.65 against 1.62 per game, so with the visitors controlling the tempo the fourth goal may never arrive.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 13.10 11:55
Borussia Mönchengladbach

no absences listed

Hoffenheim

no absences listed

managers: Alexander Blessin · Christian Ilzer · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Recent matches: Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10KölnA1:2xG 1.2–1.3L
03.10FC St. Pauliclub friendlyA1:1D
24.09Sportfreunde Siegenclub friendlyA3:0W
19.09MainzH3:4xG 3.2–2.8L
12.09FreiburgA0:5xG 0.2–2.6L
05.09ElversbergH3:4xG 2.4–2.3L
Hoffenheim
Recent matches: Hoffenheim
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10HamburgH2:3xG 0.9–1.3L
20.09PaderbornA1:3xG 1.5–0.7L
17.09OFI CreteEuropa LeagueA0:2L
12.09StuttgartH2:1xG 2.8–2.2W
05.09Borussia DortmundH2:3xG 1.2–2.0L
29.08KölnA2:3xG 1.9–1.9L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBorussia MönchengladbachHoffenheimBundesliga
goals1.4 / 3.61.8 / 2.61.9
xG1.6 / 2.61.8 / 1.61.8
shots16.4 / 18.818.6 / 14.615.8
shots on target4.8 / 94.8 / 4.85.5
corners6.6 / 5.46.8 / 55.4
fouls15.2 / 9.613.4 / 9.611.3
yellow cards3.2 / 1.81.8 / 0.41.7
matches over 2.5100%100%
both scored60%100%
clean sheets0%0%
failed to score40%0%
home / away
goals3 / 41.5 / 3
average total74.5
matches over 2.5100%100%
both scored100%100%
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach score less than the league average: 1.4 vs 1.9
  • Hoffenheim shoot more often than the league average: 18.6 shots vs 15.8
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 league defeats in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Borussia Mönchengladbach, away games only for Hoffenheim

Head to head

last 10

6–2–2Borussia Mönchengladbach wins · draws · Hoffenheim wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim4:016.05.26
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach5:114.01.26
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim4:403.05.25
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1:221.12.24
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach4:320.04.24
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim2:102.12.23
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1:428.01.23
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim3:106.08.22
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Hoffenheim5:114.05.22
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1:118.12.21
  • both scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 9 of 10

League table

Bundesliga
League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
16Union Berlin51-1-35–174WLLLD
17Hoffenheim51-0-49–133LLWLL
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50-0-57–180LLLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3006
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7503
  • 76-9017
Hoffenheim
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6032
  • 61-7524
  • 76-9013

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
13:30Bayer Leverkusen–FreiburgOur pick:11.715 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction1 1.71X 4.132 4.2516:30Bayern Munich–LeipzigOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.545 of 15 on this bet · 7 more in the same direction1 1.22X 7.142 9.5513:30Union Berlin–Borussia DortmundOur pick:H2 (−1)2.076 of 15 on this bet · 6 more in the same direction1 4.60X 4.172 1.65