24 Oct
Köln vs Schalke: AI prediction and betting pick
On 24 October, Köln host Schalke. The AI models' pick is Köln to win at 2.02: 6 of 15 models chose it.
- Bundesliga, matchday 7 of 34
- +11°, mostly clear, wind 16 km/h
- RheinEnergieSTADION, Cologne
published UTC
AI models' pick: Köln to win
2.02AI models' pick · 6 of 15 for this bet, 9 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Köln: 2.02 → 2.02 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Köln 2.02 → 2.02, Draw 3.84 → 3.84, Schalke 3.29 → 3.29.
Price changes
| When | Köln · our bet | Draw | Schalke |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published a Köln win at 2.02 | |||
| 2.02opened | 3.84opened | 3.29opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Köln win. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: Köln draw no bet. 5 more went for both teams to score. The other 4 went for over 2.5 goals.
- 5 of 151our betodds 2.02ChatGPT
Gemini
GrokKimi
Sonar - 1 of 15DNB 1same directionodds 1.53Nemotron Ultra
- 5 of 15BTTSodds 1.50QwenDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super
- 4 of 15O 2.5odds 1.58ClaudeDeepSeek
GLMMiniMax
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
The head-to-head record is all Köln. Six wins and four draws from the last ten meetings with Schalke, and in the two most recent ones Köln won 1-0 in February 2025 and 3-1 away in September 2024. At home this season the hosts have two wins and a draw, averaging two goals a game, while Schalke have lost two of their three away matches and conceded two per game on the road. The table says the same: 12th place and seven points for Köln against 15th and five points for the visitors. The market gives the home side 47% against 29% for Schalke, and the prices have not moved in either direction over the past day.
Where we could be wrong
How solid is that edge, though? In five matches this season Köln have scored five and conceded nine, and they are yet to keep a clean sheet at home. Schalke have shut out their opponents twice this season, and if the visitors strike first, coming back with that attack will be hard work. We're still backing Köln to win at 2.02.
- 6 of 15 AI models back this bet; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Köln| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.8 | L |
| 11.10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2:1xG 1.3–1.2 | W |
| 03.10 | FC Viktoria Kölnclub friendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 19.09 | Hamburg | A | 1:2 | L |
| 12.09 | Werder Bremen | H | 1:1 | D |
| 04.09 | Stuttgart | A | 1:4 | L |
Schalke| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Mainz | H | 0:1xG 0.3–1.5 | L |
| 11.10 | Freiburg | A | 1:2xG 0.3–1.1 | L |
| 03.10 | Austria Lustenauclub friendly | A | 1:0 | W |
| 24.09 | Rot-weiss Oberhausenclub friendly | A | 5:2 | W |
| 20.09 | Elversberg | H | 0:0xG 1.0–1.0 | D |
| 11.09 | Union Berlin | A | 3:1xG 2.5–1.9 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Bundesliga |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 2 | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.9 |
| xG | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.8 |
| shots | 17.6 / 15.8 | 10.4 / 16 | 15.8 |
| shots on target | 5.8 / 6.2 | 3.6 / 6.2 | 5.5 |
| corners | 6.6 / 6.2 | 2.8 / 7.4 | 5.4 |
| fouls | 10 / 12 | 8.8 / 9.8 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.8 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | |
| both scored | 100% | 40% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 40% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 60% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2 | |
| average total | 3.3 | 3.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| both scored | 100% | 67% | |
- Köln score less than the league average: 1.6 vs 1.9
- Schalke score less than the league average: 0.8 vs 1.9
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Köln, away games only for Schalke
Head to head
6–4–0Köln wins · draws · Schalke wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln vs Schalke | 1:0 | 09.02.25 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Schalke vs Köln | 1:3 | 01.09.24 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Schalke vs Köln | 0:0 | 29.01.23 | |
| Köln vs Schalke | 3:1 | 07.08.22 | |
| Köln vs Schalke | 2:2 | 27.01.22 | club friendly |
| Köln vs Schalke | 1:0 | 22.05.21 | |
| Schalke vs Köln | 1:2 | 20.01.21 | |
| Köln vs Schalke | 3:0 | 29.02.20 | |
| Schalke vs Köln | 1:1 | 05.10.19 | |
| Köln vs Schalke | 2:2 | 31.10.18 | DFB Pokal |
- both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2-2-2 | 10–16 | 8 | LWDLW |
| 12 | Köln | 6 | 2-1-3 | 8–11 | 7 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2-0-4 | 8–10 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2-0-4 | 11–14 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1-2-3 | 4–7 | 5 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1-2-3 | 5–9 | 5 | LLWLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1510
- 16-3011
- 31-4503
- 46-6012
- 61-7523
- 76-9023
- 0-1501
- 16-3022
- 31-4500
- 46-6010
- 61-7500
- 76-9014
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
