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data updated 14.10 03:20

18 Oct

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: AI prediction and betting pick

On 18 October, Bayer Leverkusen host Freiburg. The AI models' pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win at 1.71: 5 of 16 models chose it, 2 more went in the same direction.

published UTC

Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg

AI models' pick: Bayer Leverkusen to win

1.71

AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet · 2 more in the same direction

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

Why this betAll odds

Match odds

last line update 14.10 03:17

result11.71 — matches our bet+0.06X4.13−0.1224.25−0.24
total 2.5O1.47+0.02U2.58−0.05
both to scoreyes1.48−0.01no2.50+0.03
double chance1X1.21+0.02121.21+0.01X22.14−0.07
handicapH1 −1.52.78+0.17H2 +1.51.43−0.06

Over 2 days a Bayer Leverkusen win drifted from 1.65 to 1.71 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Bayer Leverkusen: 1.71 → 1.71 since we publishedView

The biggest move is a Bayer Leverkusen win: from 1.65 to 1.71.

Bayer Leverkusen1.65 → 1.71our betDraw4.25 → 4.13Freiburg4.49 → 4.25
1.752.504.0013 hno data11 Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 OctWe published · 1.71Freiburg 4.25Draw 4.13Bayer Leverkusen 1.71

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenBayer Leverkusen · our betDrawFreiburg
We published a Bayer Leverkusen win at 1.71
1.71+0.034.13−0.094.25−0.06
12 Oct – 13 Oct · no snapshots for 13 h
1.68+0.034.22−0.034.31−0.18
1.65opened4.25opened4.49opened
27 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for a Bayer Leverkusen win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Bayer Leverkusen −1. 3 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 6 chose other bets: total-goals bets, both teams to score, a Freiburg handicap and 'both to score — no'.

  • 5 of 161our betodds 1.71DeepSeek FlashSonarXiaomi MiMoDots3-NoteNemotron Super
  • 3 of 16O 2.5odds 1.45ClaudeQwenMistral
  • 2 of 16O 3odds 1.70ChatGPTKimi
  • 2 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.06DeepSeekGrok
  • 1 of 16BTTSodds 1.49Nemotron Ultra
  • 1 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.76GLM
  • 1 of 16O 3.5odds 2.18Gemini
  • 1 of 16BTTS noodds 2.47MiniMax

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 13.10 at 12:23 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen have been close to flawless at home this season: not a single goal conceded and three scored in each match, with 2.25 xG per game across all competitions and 59% possession. The record in the previous meetings backs them too — five wins, three draws and two defeats from the last ten — and in October 2025 they beat Freiburg 2-0 on home soil. The market has the hosts as firm favourites, with the visitors a distant second.

Where we could be wrong

Freiburg arrive top of the table, though, and that is the catch: 13 points after five rounds, no defeats, 14 goals scored and four conceded. The price on the home side has drifted from 1.65 to 1.71 in two days, which says something about the respect the visitors command. Will Bayer Leverkusen's clean-sheet run hold up against a side that drew 3-3 with them in March? We're backing the home win at 1.71 — the quality and the home numbers are on their side.

  • 5 of 16 AI models back this bet and 2 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 13.10 11:55
Bayer Leverkusen

no absences listed

Freiburg

no absences listed

managers: Carles Martinez · Julian Schuster · main formations this season: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Bayer Leverkusen
Recent matches: Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10.10MainzA4:3xG 1.7–2.9W
20.09LeipzigH2:0xG 2.3–1.0W
16.09CeljeEuropa LeagueH2:0xG 1.9–0.9W
12.09AugsburgA2:2xG 2.6–1.1D
05.09Union BerlinH4:0xG 3.1–0.4W
29.08ElversbergA2:3xG 1.9–1.3L
Freiburg
Recent matches: Freiburg
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11.10SchalkeH2:1xG 1.1–0.3W
03.10FC Luzernclub friendlyH4:2W
19.09Eintracht FrankfurtA2:2xG 3.1–2.2D
12.09Borussia MönchengladbachH5:0xG 2.6–0.2W
05.09PaderbornA1:0xG 1.2–0.8W
30.08Werder BremenH4:1xG 2.4–0.5W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBayer LeverkusenFreiburgBundesliga
goals2.8 / 1.62.8 / 0.81.9
xG2.3 / 1.32 / 0.81.8
shots21.2 / 11.817.2 / 8.615.8
shots on target6.4 / 3.86 / 25.5
corners8 / 3.45.6 / 3.45.4
fouls12.4 / 1110.4 / 14.611.3
yellow cards1.6 / 2.41.6 / 2.21.7
matches over 2.580%80%
both scored60%60%
clean sheets40%40%
failed to score0%0%
home / away
goals3 / 01.5 / 1
average total32.5
matches over 2.550%50%
both scored0%50%
  • Bayer Leverkusen score more than the league average: 2.8 vs 1.9
  • Freiburg score more than the league average: 2.8 vs 1.9
  • Freiburg: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Bayer Leverkusen, away games only for Freiburg

Head to head

last 10

5–3–2Bayer Leverkusen wins · draws · Freiburg wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen3:307.03.26
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg2:026.10.25
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2:204.05.25
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg5:121.12.24
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2:317.03.24
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg2:129.10.23
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen1:126.02.23
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg2:303.09.22
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg2:114.05.22
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2:119.12.21
  • both scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 8 of 10

League table

Bundesliga
League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Freiburg54-1-014–413WDWWW
2Borussia Dortmund54-1-011–413DWWWW
3Bayern Munich53-2-016–411DWWDW
4Bayer Leverkusen53-1-114–810WWDWL
5Leipzig53-0-215–59WLWLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Bayer Leverkusen
  • 0-1532
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6033
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9031
Freiburg
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3041
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6030
  • 61-7500
  • 76-9041

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
15:30Borussia Mönchengladbach–HoffenheimOur pick:O 3.51.9911 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction1 3.16X 3.972 2.0116:30Bayern Munich–LeipzigOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.545 of 15 on this bet · 7 more in the same direction1 1.22X 7.142 9.5513:30Union Berlin–Borussia DortmundOur pick:H2 (−1)2.076 of 15 on this bet · 6 more in the same direction1 4.60X 4.172 1.65