23 Oct
Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: AI prediction and betting pick
On 23 October, Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach. The AI models' pick is Stuttgart −1.5 handicap at 1.97: 13 of 16 models chose it, 1 more went in the same direction.
- Bundesliga, matchday 7 of 34
- +11°, cloudy
- MHPArena, Stuttgart
published UTC
AI models' pick: Stuttgart −1.5 handicap
1.97AI models' pick · 13 of 16 on this bet · 1 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 99 won · 74 lost · 6 void · +4.43 units All results
likely score
1:1 8%3:1 8%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over the day a Borussia Mönchengladbach win drifted from 6.60 to 6.66 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Stuttgart −1.5: 1.97 → 1.97 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Stuttgart −1.5 1.97 → 1.97, Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5 1.86 → 1.87.
Price changes
| When | Stuttgart −1.5 · our bet | Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| We published Stuttgart −1.5 handicap at 1.97 | ||
| 1.97 | 1.87+0.01 | |
| 1.97opened | 1.86opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Stuttgart −1.5. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: a Stuttgart win. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 13 of 16H1 (−1.5)our betodds 1.97ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
GeminiKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 1 of 161same directionodds 1.39Nemotron Super
- 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.26
Grok
Sonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
Borussia Mönchengladbach have gone six rounds without a point: five straight defeats, eight goals scored and 17 conceded. On the road it has been even grimmer — three games, three defeats, an average of 0.3 scored and 3.3 conceded. Stuttgart have won six of the nine previous meetings, taking the away fixture 3-0 in January and the home one 1-0 in August 2025. The hosts are rated at 68% for the win in this Bundesliga meeting and the prices have not moved in 24 hours, so Stuttgart -1.5 is available at close to even money, 1.97. That is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
At home, though, Stuttgart have been patchy: one win and one defeat from two matches, and in one of them they failed to score. Add a midweek Champions League outing, and rotation against a side with no points looks like a sensible call. A win by two or more goals also has to hold all the way to the final whistle.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Stuttgart| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Hamburg | A | 0:1xG 1.7–1.5 | L |
| 14.10 | Slovan BratislavaChampions League | A | 3:0xG 2.2–0.8 | W |
| 10.10 | Paderborn | A | 2:0xG 2.5–2.0 | W |
| 01.10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürthclub friendly | H | 5:0 | W |
| 25.09 | 1. FC Heidenheimclub friendly | H | 3:0 | W |
| 19.09 | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0:1xG 0.9–1.3 | L |
Borussia Mönchengladbach| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | Hoffenheim | H | 1:2xG 0.4–1.8 | L |
| 11.10 | Köln | A | 1:2xG 1.2–1.3 | L |
| 03.10 | FC St. Pauliclub friendly | A | 1:1 | D |
| 24.09 | Sportfreunde Siegenclub friendly | A | 3:0 | W |
| 19.09 | Mainz | H | 3:4xG 3.2–2.8 | L |
| 12.09 | Freiburg | A | 0:5xG 0.2–2.6 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Bundesliga |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 3.6 | 1.9 |
| xG | 2 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 2.6 | 1.8 |
| shots | 15.8 / 19.2 | 16.4 / 18.8 | 15.8 |
| shots on target | 6 / 6 | 4.8 / 9 | 5.5 |
| corners | 6.2 / 6.2 | 6.6 / 5.4 | 5.4 |
| fouls | 10 / 11 | 15.2 / 9.6 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.2 / 2.2 | 3.2 / 1.8 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 60% | 100% | |
| both scored | 60% | 60% | |
| clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2 / 1 | 0.3 / 3.3 | |
| average total | 3 | 3.7 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| both scored | 50% | 33% | |
- Stuttgart score less than the league average: 1.6 vs 1.9
- Borussia Mönchengladbach score less than the league average: 1.4 vs 1.9
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Stuttgart, away games only for Borussia Mönchengladbach
Head to head
6–0–3Stuttgart wins · draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart | 0:3 | 25.01.26 | |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1:0 | 30.08.25 | |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1:2 | 01.02.25 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart | 1:3 | 14.09.24 | |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4:0 | 18.05.24 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart | 3:1 | 14.01.24 | |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2:1 | 29.04.23 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart | 3:1 | 04.11.22 | |
| Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3:2 | 05.03.22 |
- both scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 8 of 9
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Köln | 6 | 2-1-3 | 8–11 | 7 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2-0-4 | 8–10 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2-0-4 | 11–14 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1-2-3 | 5–17 | 5 | LLLWD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0-0-6 | 8–20 | 0 | LLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3011
- 31-4510
- 46-6041
- 61-7512
- 76-9033
- 0-1521
- 16-3006
- 31-4521
- 46-6032
- 61-7503
- 76-9017
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
