20 Oct
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt: AI prediction and betting pick
On 20 October, Napoli host Bodø/Glimt. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.55: 7 of 15 models chose it.
- Champions League, matchday 3 of 8
- +22°, overcast
- Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
published UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.55AI models' pick · 7 of 15 for this bet, 8 for others
Split panelOur football predictions so far: 86 won · 63 lost · 5 void · +3.46 units All results
likely score
2:1 10%2:0 10%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 3 days a draw drifted from 4.36 to 4.41 — fewer bets on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.55 → 1.54 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.55 → 1.54, No 2.35 → 2.36.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| We published both teams score at 1.55 | ||
| 1.54+0.01 | 2.36−0.02 | |
| 1.53−0.02 | 2.38+0.03 | |
| 1.55opened | 2.35opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more each for over 2.5 goals and for Bodø/Glimt +1.5. The other 2 went for a Napoli win.
- 7 of 15BTTSour betodds 1.55ClaudeQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra
- 3 of 15O 2.5odds 1.47
GrokKimiMistral - 3 of 15H2 (+1.5)odds 1.53ChatGPTDeepSeek
GLM - 2 of 151odds 1.60
Gemini
Sonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 17.10 at 10:01 UTC
Napoli's home games rarely stayed quiet last season: both teams scored in 58% of them, and the hosts were seldom kept off the scoresheet themselves. Bodø/Glimt were even livelier on the road, with over 2.5 goals in 73% of their away matches and barely any games in which they failed to find the net. The new campaign is telling the same story. Napoli have scored eight and conceded eight in six matches, while the Norwegians have 14 and 12 to their name, backed by 16.8 shots a game. The market sees goals at both ends as the likeliest outcome, and the price of 1.55 is about exactly that.
Where we could be wrong
The warning sign lies elsewhere. On their travels this season Bodø/Glimt have one win, one draw and one defeat, with two goals scored and three conceded, while Napoli, after two matchdays without a point in the Champions League, could open carefully and build from the back. Even so, our pick is both teams to score at 1.55.
- 7 of 15 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Napoli| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10 | Villarreal | A | 1:3xG 1.7–1.2 | L |
| 10.10 | FrosinoneSerie A | H | 3:0xG 3.2–1.0 | W |
| 20.09 | FiorentinaSerie A | A | 1:1 | D |
| 13.09 | BolognaSerie A | H | 1:0 | W |
| 09.09 | Arsenal | H | 0:1 | L |
| 05.09 | InterSerie A | A | 2:3xG 2.4–3.9 | L |
Bodø/Glimt| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10 | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1:0xG 1.2–0.8 | W |
| 10.10 | Kristiansund BKEliteserien | H | 3:1xG 4.0–0.3 | W |
| 01.10 | RanaNorwegian Cup | A | 6:2 | W |
| 20.09 | BrannEliteserien | A | 1:2 | L |
| 14.09 | SandefjordEliteserien | H | 3:2xG 3.2–1.0 | W |
| 10.09 | Bayern Munich | A | 0:5 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1-0-1 | 4–7 | 3 | LW |
| 24 | Bodø/Glimt | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1–5 | 3 | LW |
| 25 | Roma | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4–5 | 1 | DL |
| 31 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2–5 | 0 | LL |
| 32 | Napoli | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1–4 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | LASK | 2 | 0-0-2 | 3–7 | 0 | LL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
