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30 Oct

Lille vs Lens: AI betting tips and pick

On 30 October, Lille host Lens. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.55; Lens have won 3 in a row.

published · updated UTC

Lille
Lens

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.55

The market prices this option at 60%

AI models' pick · 8 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 8 chose others

Under half back the bet

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

likely score

1:113%odds 6.87

2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:19

result12.35+0.05X3.55−0.0222.83−0.07
total 2.5O1.69+0.01U2.18
both to scoreyes1.55 — matches our betno2.32+0.01
double chance1X1.41+0.01121.28−0.01X21.58−0.03
handicapH1 −13.64+0.11H2 +11.27−0.02

Over 2 days a Lens win shortened from 2.90 to 2.83 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.55 → 1.55 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Yes 1.55 → 1.55, No 2.31 → 2.32.

Yes1.55 → 1.55our betNo2.31 → 2.32
1.601.802.002.2025 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.55No 2.32Yes 1.55

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.552.32+0.01
We published both teams score at 1.55
1.55opened2.31opened
2 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more went for Lens draw no bet. The other 5 chose other bets: a Lille win, double chance and total-goals bets.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:42 UTC

This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.

Lens have not kept a clean sheet on the road all season: both teams scored in all four of their away games, and averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded point to wide-open football. Lille manage 1.5 goals a game at home but have conceded in half of their matches there, so the visitors will fancy their chances of finding a way through. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at 60%, and the table adds to the case: Lille are third with 14 points, Lens sixth with 13, and neither side will be looking to strangle a derby like this.

Where we could be wrong

The other side of it is Lille's home record of just 0.8 goals conceded per game, with two clean sheets in four, plus three previous meetings that finished 3-0, 3-0 and 1-0 — one team was shut out every time. Lille are also juggling Ligue 1 with the Champions League, and rotation could take the edge off the hosts' attack. Even so, our pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.55.

  • 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Lille
Recent matches: Lille
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10MonacoA1:1xG 0.0–0.1D
21.10GalatasarayChampions LeagueH2:4xG 2.1–1.7L
17.10BrestH1:1xG 2.3–0.8D
13.10ArsenalChampions LeagueA0:3xG 0.3–1.7L
10.10Le HavreH1:0xG 1.4–1.3W
02.10Zulte Waregemclub friendlyH2:1W
Lens
Recent matches: Lens
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10ParisH2:1xG 1.1–0.4W
21.10Club BruggeChampions LeagueA0:3xG 2.1–2.7L
17.10TroyesA3:1xG 1.4–1.3W
13.10Sporting CPChampions LeagueH0:2xG 1.7–1.7L
09.10LyonH2:1xG 1.3–1.0W
02.10Standard Liegeclub friendlyA2:0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLilleLensLigue 1
goals1.4 / 0.82 / 1.51.5
xG1.4 / 1.71.9 / 1.51.6
shots11.3 / 15.813.9 / 10.613.4
shots on target5 / 3.95.6 / 4.54.7
corners3 / 56.5 / 3.34.6
fouls11.9 / 1512.3 / 13.612.3
yellow cards1.6 / 1.82.1 / 1.61.8
matches over 2.525%88%
both scored50%88%
clean sheets50%0%
failed to score0%13%
home / away
goals1.5 / 0.81.8 / 1.8
average total2.33.5
matches over 2.525%100%
both scored50%100%

Head to head

last 10

5–3–2Lille wins · draws · Lens wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Lille vs Lens3:004.04.26
Lens vs Lille3:020.09.25
Lille vs Lens1:030.03.25
Lens vs Lille0:226.10.24
Lille vs Lens2:129.03.24
Lens vs Lille1:108.10.23
Lens vs Lille1:104.03.23
Lille vs Lens1:009.10.22
Lille vs Lens1:216.04.22
Lens vs Lille2:204.01.22Coupe de France

League table

League standings: Ligue 1
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
2Rennes85-1-218–1416WLWLW
3Lille84-3-111–615WLWDD
4Monaco84-3-111–715DWDLD
6Paris84-2-213–914DWLWL
7Lens84-1-316–1213DLWWW
8Marseille84-0-418–1312LLWWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Lille
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3030
  • 31-4510
  • 46-6000
  • 61-7521
  • 76-9032
Lens
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3001
  • 31-4543
  • 46-6053
  • 61-7522
  • 76-9042

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Ligue 1 fixtures
18:00Le Havre–Paris Saint-GermainOur pick:H2 (−1.5)1.6512 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 10.54X 6.642 1.2316:15Nice–RennesOur pick:O 2.51.569 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.71X 3.702 2.3619:45Lyon–AngersOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.1110 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.39X 4.972 7.07