30 Oct
Lille vs Lens: AI betting tips and pick
On 30 October, Lille host Lens. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.55; Lens have won 3 in a row.
- Ligue 1, matchday 9 of 34
- +8°, cloudy
- Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.55The market prices this option at 60%
AI models' pick · 8 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 8 chose others
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Lens win shortened from 2.90 to 2.83 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.55 → 1.55 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.55 → 1.55, No 2.31 → 2.32.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 2.32+0.01 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.55 | ||
| 1.55opened | 2.31opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more went for Lens draw no bet. The other 5 chose other bets: a Lille win, double chance and total-goals bets.
- 8 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.55DeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16DNB 2odds 2.15ChatGPTClaude
GLM - 2 of 161odds 2.30KimiNemotron Super
- 1 of 161Xodds 1.40
Sonar - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.68
Gemini
- 1 of 16U 2.5odds 2.18MiniMax
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:42 UTC
This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.
Lens have not kept a clean sheet on the road all season: both teams scored in all four of their away games, and averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded point to wide-open football. Lille manage 1.5 goals a game at home but have conceded in half of their matches there, so the visitors will fancy their chances of finding a way through. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at 60%, and the table adds to the case: Lille are third with 14 points, Lens sixth with 13, and neither side will be looking to strangle a derby like this.
Where we could be wrong
The other side of it is Lille's home record of just 0.8 goals conceded per game, with two clean sheets in four, plus three previous meetings that finished 3-0, 3-0 and 1-0 — one team was shut out every time. Lille are also juggling Ligue 1 with the Champions League, and rotation could take the edge off the hosts' attack. Even so, our pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.55.
- 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Monaco | A | 1:1xG 0.0–0.1 | D |
| 21.10 | GalatasarayChampions League | H | 2:4xG 2.1–1.7 | L |
| 17.10 | Brest | H | 1:1xG 2.3–0.8 | D |
| 13.10 | ArsenalChampions League | A | 0:3xG 0.3–1.7 | L |
| 10.10 | Le Havre | H | 1:0xG 1.4–1.3 | W |
| 02.10 | Zulte Waregemclub friendly | H | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Paris | H | 2:1xG 1.1–0.4 | W |
| 21.10 | Club BruggeChampions League | A | 0:3xG 2.1–2.7 | L |
| 17.10 | Troyes | A | 3:1xG 1.4–1.3 | W |
| 13.10 | Sporting CPChampions League | H | 0:2xG 1.7–1.7 | L |
| 09.10 | Lyon | H | 2:1xG 1.3–1.0 | W |
| 02.10 | Standard Liegeclub friendly | A | 2:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ligue 1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.6 |
| shots | 11.3 / 15.8 | 13.9 / 10.6 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 5 / 3.9 | 5.6 / 4.5 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3 / 5 | 6.5 / 3.3 | 4.6 |
| fouls | 11.9 / 15 | 12.3 / 13.6 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.6 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 88% | |
| both scored | 50% | 88% | |
| clean sheets | 50% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 13% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 2.3 | 3.5 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 100% | |
| both scored | 50% | 100% | |
- Lille shoot less often than the league average: 11.3 shots vs 13.4
- Lens score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.5
- Lens: 3 league wins in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Lille, away games only for Lens
Head to head
5–3–2Lille wins · draws · Lens wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille vs Lens | 3:0 | 04.04.26 | |
| Lens vs Lille | 3:0 | 20.09.25 | |
| Lille vs Lens | 1:0 | 30.03.25 | |
| Lens vs Lille | 0:2 | 26.10.24 | |
| Lille vs Lens | 2:1 | 29.03.24 | |
| Lens vs Lille | 1:1 | 08.10.23 | |
| Lens vs Lille | 1:1 | 04.03.23 | |
| Lille vs Lens | 1:0 | 09.10.22 | |
| Lille vs Lens | 1:2 | 16.04.22 | |
| Lens vs Lille | 2:2 | 04.01.22 | Coupe de France |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18–14 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4-3-1 | 11–6 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4-3-1 | 11–7 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 6 | Paris | 8 | 4-2-2 | 13–9 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16–12 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4-0-4 | 18–13 | 12 | LLWWW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3030
- 31-4510
- 46-6000
- 61-7521
- 76-9032
- 0-1511
- 16-3001
- 31-4543
- 46-6053
- 61-7522
- 76-9042
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals