31 Oct
Troyes vs Le Mans: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Troyes host Le Mans. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.65; Troyes are winless in 5.
- Ligue 1, matchday 9 of 34
- +8°, mostly clear
- Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.65The market prices this option at 56%
AI models' pick · 9 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 7 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Le Mans win shortened from 3.26 to 3.07 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.65 → 1.65 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.65 → 1.65, No 2.14 → 2.15.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 2.15+0.01 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.65 | ||
| 1.65opened | 2.14opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 3 chose a bet each: a Troyes handicap, double chance and a Troyes win.
- 9 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.65ClaudeDeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.80ChatGPT
GeminiKimi
GLM - 1 of 16DNB 1odds 1.58
Sonar - 1 of 16X2odds 1.70MiniMax
- 1 of 161odds 2.14Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:42 UTC
Two sides from the relegation zone, and both have their main problem at the back. Troyes concede 2.8 goals a game at home and have kept a clean sheet in just one of four home matches. Le Mans leak on the road as well, 2.3 conceded per away trip, but they have scored in each of their three away games, and all three saw goals at both ends. The market rates both teams scoring at around 56%, and the previous meeting says the same: 2-2 in Le Mans in October 2025. Our pick is both teams to score at odds of 1.65.
Where we could be wrong
The weak spot is the Troyes attack. At home they manage 0.8 goals a match and in half of their home games they have failed to score at all, while across seven rounds they have five goals scored and 16 conceded. In January 2026 Le Mans already left Troyes with a 2-0 win, so an away win in which the visitors do not concede is well within the range of this season.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Troyes| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Toulouse | A | 0:0 | D |
| 17.10 | Lens | H | 1:3xG 1.3–1.4 | L |
| 11.10 | Marseille | H | 0:2xG 1.1–1.3 | L |
| 02.10 | Dijonclub friendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 19.09 | Angers | A | 0:2xG 1.0–2.3 | L |
| 13.09 | Lille | A | 0:2xG 0.4–1.6 | L |
Le Mans| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Auxerre | A | 1:1 | D |
| 16.10 | Toulouse | H | 0:3xG 1.0–1.8 | L |
| 10.10 | Paris Saint-Germain | A | 1:3xG 1.4–4.3 | L |
| 02.10 | Guingampclub friendly | A | 1:2 | L |
| 19.09 | Lorient | H | 2:1xG 0.9–1.0 | W |
| 13.09 | Lens | H | 2:2xG 2.6–1.6 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ligue 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.6 / 2 | 1.4 / 2 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.6 |
| shots | 13.6 / 11.8 | 10.6 / 16.1 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 2.8 / 4.5 | 3.8 / 5.4 | 4.7 |
| corners | 6.5 / 2.4 | 2.5 / 6 | 4.6 |
| fouls | 12.6 / 13.6 | 14.5 / 10.5 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.6 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 1.8 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 38% | 75% | |
| both scored | 38% | 88% | |
| clean sheets | 25% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 63% | 13% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 0.8 / 2.8 | 1.3 / 2 | |
| average total | 3.5 | 3.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| both scored | 50% | 100% | |
- Troyes score less than the league average: 0.6 vs 1.5
- Le Mans shoot less often than the league average: 10.6 shots vs 13.4
- Troyes without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Troyes, away games only for Le Mans
Head to head
2–2–3Troyes wins · draws · Le Mans wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes vs Le Mans | 0:2 | 31.01.26 | Ligue 2 |
| Le Mans vs Troyes | 2:2 | 03.10.25 | Ligue 2 |
| Troyes vs Le Mans | 2:1 | 18.10.19 | Ligue 2 |
| Troyes vs Le Mans | 2:1 | 24.02.12 | Ligue 2 |
| Le Mans vs Troyes | 1:1 | 26.09.11 | Ligue 2 |
| Troyes vs Le Mans | 0:1 | 10.05.11 | Ligue 2 |
| Le Mans vs Troyes | 1:0 | 06.12.10 | Ligue 2 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 7
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2-2-4 | 9–15 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1-4-3 | 11–16 | 7 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2-1-5 | 12–18 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1-2-5 | 5–16 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0-2-6 | 8–15 | 2 | DLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1520
- 16-3021
- 31-4514
- 46-6005
- 61-7500
- 76-9015
- 0-1521
- 16-3012
- 31-4533
- 46-6043
- 61-7503
- 76-9013
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
