31 Oct
Aston Villa vs Fulham: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Aston Villa host Fulham. The AI models' pick is Aston Villa to win at 1.91; Aston Villa are unbeaten in 4.
- Premier League, matchday 9 of 38
- +10°, cloudy
- Villa Park, Birmingham
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Aston Villa to win
1.91The market prices this option at 49%
Now 1.93 · 1.91 when published
AI models' pick · 12 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:0 8%2:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day a Fulham win shortened from 3.71 to 3.65 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Aston Villa: 1.91 → 1.93 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (an Aston Villa win) has drifted from 1.91 to 1.93: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Aston Villa · our bet | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93+0.02 | 3.72+0.02 | 3.65−0.07 | |
| 25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h | |||
| 1.91 | 3.70−0.01 | 3.72+0.01 | |
| We published an Aston Villa win at 1.91 | |||
| 1.91opened | 3.71opened | 3.71opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for an Aston Villa win. 2 more went for under 2.5 goals. One more went for Fulham not losing.
- 12 of 151our betodds 1.91DeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 2 of 15U 2.5odds 2.09ChatGPTMiniMax
- 1 of 15X2odds 1.85Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:37 UTC
This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.
Form and the home side's attacking quality shape this one. Aston Villa sit eighth on 11 points, Fulham fifteenth on eight. Over their last five matches the hosts have taken three wins and scored nine goals, while Fulham barely create anything on the road: 0.3 goals per away game, and no goal at all in two of their last three trips. The previous meetings back Villa too — eight wins and two defeats in the last ten, including a 3-1 in September 2025. The odds have not moved in 24 hours and still give the hosts around half the chances, so the favourite has little in hand.
Where we could be wrong
There are reasons to hesitate. At home in the league Villa look more modest than their season as a whole: one win in four matches and 1.3 goals scored. Fulham beat Villa 1-0 at their own ground in April 2026, and a deep defensive block remains their working option. Add Villa's crowded schedule with the Champions League, where rotation is a real possibility. Even so, our pick is Aston Villa to win at 1.91.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Manchester City | H | 2:1xG 0.6–1.8 | W |
| 21.10 | VikingChampions League | H | 3:1xG 2.8–0.8 | W |
| 17.10 | Newcastle United | A | 1:0xG 1.6–1.1 | W |
| 14.10 | FenerbahçeChampions League | H | 6:0xG 3.1–1.8 | W |
| 10.10 | Brentford | H | 2:2xG 2.3–1.1 | D |
| 02.10 | Sevillaclub friendly | A | 3:1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Coventry City | A | 1:0xG 0.6–0.6 | W |
| 17.10 | Hull City | H | 1:0xG 1.5–0.2 | W |
| 10.10 | Ipswich Town | A | 1:2xG 1.8–1.1 | L |
| 20.09 | Manchester United | H | 1:1xG 1.6–1.6 | D |
| 15.09 | West Ham UnitedEFL Cup | A | 3:2 | W |
| 12.09 | Liverpool | A | 0:0xG 0.7–1.3 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | EPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.3 | 1.4 |
| xG | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.4 |
| shots | 11.4 / 15.8 | 14.4 / 14 | 13.6 |
| shots on target | 3 / 4.8 | 4.5 / 3.9 | 4.3 |
| corners | 3.3 / 4.6 | 6.1 / 4.3 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 12 / 13.5 | 10.5 / 8.5 | 11.6 |
| yellow cards | 2.3 / 3.3 | 2 / 0.9 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 63% | 38% | |
| both scored | 50% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 25% | 38% | |
| failed to score | 38% | 25% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 | |
| average total | 2.8 | 1.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 75% | 25% | |
| both scored | 75% | 25% | |
- Aston Villa score less than the league average: 1.1 vs 1.4
- Fulham score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.4
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Aston Villa, away games only for Fulham
Head to head
8–0–2Aston Villa wins · draws · Fulham wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 1:0 | 25.04.26 | |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 3:1 | 28.09.25 | |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 1:0 | 03.05.25 | |
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 1:3 | 19.10.24 | |
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 1:2 | 17.02.24 | |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 3:1 | 12.11.23 | |
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 0:2 | 26.07.23 | Premier League Summer Series |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 1:0 | 25.04.23 | |
| Fulham vs Aston Villa | 3:0 | 20.10.22 | |
| Aston Villa vs Fulham | 3:1 | 04.04.21 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Newcastle United | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12–14 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3-2-3 | 9–12 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2-4-2 | 9–8 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 2-3-3 | 8–10 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2-2-4 | 8–10 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1-4-3 | 10–13 | 7 | LDDDL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1531
- 16-3002
- 31-4521
- 46-6014
- 61-7520
- 76-9024
- 0-1511
- 16-3010
- 31-4522
- 46-6022
- 61-7502
- 76-9014
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals