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31 Oct

Aston Villa vs Fulham: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Aston Villa host Fulham. The AI models' pick is Aston Villa to win at 1.91; Aston Villa are unbeaten in 4.

published · updated UTC

Aston Villa
Fulham

AI models' pick: Aston Villa to win

1.91

The market prices this option at 49%

Now 1.93 · 1.91 when published

AI models' pick · 12 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

likely score

1:113%odds 6.85

2:1 9%1:0 8%2:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 9 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result11.93 — matches our bet+0.02X3.72+0.0123.65−0.06
total 2.5O1.69−0.05U2.18+0.09
both to scoreyes1.59−0.05no2.25+0.10
double chance1X1.26−0.01121.26X21.86+0.01
handicapH1 −12.66+0.01H2 +11.47

Over 1 day a Fulham win shortened from 3.71 to 3.65 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Aston Villa: 1.91 → 1.93 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (an Aston Villa win) has drifted from 1.91 to 1.93: the market now rates it as less likely.

Aston Villa1.91 → 1.93our betDraw3.71 → 3.72Fulham3.71 → 3.65
2.002.503.003.5018 hno data25 Oct26 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.91Draw 3.72Fulham 3.65Aston Villa 1.93

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenAston Villa · our betDrawFulham
1.93+0.023.72+0.023.65−0.07
25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h
1.913.70−0.013.72+0.01
We published an Aston Villa win at 1.91
1.91opened3.71opened3.71opened
8 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

The largest group of AI models went for an Aston Villa win. 2 more went for under 2.5 goals. One more went for Fulham not losing.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:37 UTC

This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.

Form and the home side's attacking quality shape this one. Aston Villa sit eighth on 11 points, Fulham fifteenth on eight. Over their last five matches the hosts have taken three wins and scored nine goals, while Fulham barely create anything on the road: 0.3 goals per away game, and no goal at all in two of their last three trips. The previous meetings back Villa too — eight wins and two defeats in the last ten, including a 3-1 in September 2025. The odds have not moved in 24 hours and still give the hosts around half the chances, so the favourite has little in hand.

Where we could be wrong

There are reasons to hesitate. At home in the league Villa look more modest than their season as a whole: one win in four matches and 1.3 goals scored. Fulham beat Villa 1-0 at their own ground in April 2026, and a deep defensive block remains their working option. Add Villa's crowded schedule with the Champions League, where rotation is a real possibility. Even so, our pick is Aston Villa to win at 1.91.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Aston Villa
Recent matches: Aston Villa
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Manchester CityH2:1xG 0.6–1.8W
21.10VikingChampions LeagueH3:1xG 2.8–0.8W
17.10Newcastle UnitedA1:0xG 1.6–1.1W
14.10FenerbahçeChampions LeagueH6:0xG 3.1–1.8W
10.10BrentfordH2:2xG 2.3–1.1D
02.10Sevillaclub friendlyA3:1W
Fulham
Recent matches: Fulham
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Coventry CityA1:0xG 0.6–0.6W
17.10Hull CityH1:0xG 1.5–0.2W
10.10Ipswich TownA1:2xG 1.8–1.1L
20.09Manchester UnitedH1:1xG 1.6–1.6D
15.09West Ham UnitedEFL CupA3:2W
12.09LiverpoolA0:0xG 0.7–1.3D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstAston VillaFulhamEPL
goals1.1 / 1.51 / 1.31.4
xG1.1 / 1.61.4 / 1.31.4
shots11.4 / 15.814.4 / 1413.6
shots on target3 / 4.84.5 / 3.94.3
corners3.3 / 4.66.1 / 4.34.7
fouls12 / 13.510.5 / 8.511.6
yellow cards2.3 / 3.32 / 0.92
matches over 2.563%38%
both scored50%50%
clean sheets25%38%
failed to score38%25%
home / away
goals1.3 / 1.50.5 / 0.8
average total2.81.3
matches over 2.575%25%
both scored75%25%

Head to head

last 10

8–0–2Aston Villa wins · draws · Fulham wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Fulham vs Aston Villa1:025.04.26
Aston Villa vs Fulham3:128.09.25
Aston Villa vs Fulham1:003.05.25
Fulham vs Aston Villa1:319.10.24
Fulham vs Aston Villa1:217.02.24
Aston Villa vs Fulham3:112.11.23
Fulham vs Aston Villa0:226.07.23Premier League Summer Series
Aston Villa vs Fulham1:025.04.23
Fulham vs Aston Villa3:020.10.22
Aston Villa vs Fulham3:104.04.21

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
8Newcastle United83-2-312–1411LWLLW
9Aston Villa83-2-39–1211LWDWW
10Hull City82-4-29–810DLDLD
14Tottenham Hotspur82-3-38–109DLDWW
15Fulham82-2-48–108DDLWW
16Manchester United81-4-310–137LDDDL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Aston Villa
  • 0-1531
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6014
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9024
Fulham
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3010
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7502
  • 76-9014

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Premier League fixtures
17:30Tottenham Hotspur–Crystal PalaceOur pick:11.629 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.53X 4.392 5.5915:00Manchester City–Brighton & Hove AlbionOur pick:O 2.51.4510 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.67X 4.242 4.4615:00Bournemouth–Leeds UnitedOur pick:12.1712 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 2.15X 3.382 3.36