Skip to content
Menu

data updated 27.10 08:07

31 Oct

Chelsea vs Manchester United: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Chelsea host Manchester United. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.49; Manchester United are winless in 5.

published · updated UTC

Chelsea
Manchester United

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.49

The market prices this option at 63%

AI models' pick · 9 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 7 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.32

2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result11.82−0.18X3.86+0.1224.01+0.54
total 2.5O1.54−0.01U2.40+0.03
both to scoreyes1.50 — matches our bet+0.01no2.45−0.05
double chance1X1.23−0.07121.24−0.03X21.99+0.20
handicapH1 −12.39−0.38H2 +11.57+0.14

Over 1 day a Manchester United win drifted from 3.47 to 4.01 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.49 → 1.50 since we publishedView

The biggest move is both teams score: from 1.49 to 1.50 — 0.9 pp of implied chance, more than any other outcome.

Yes1.49 → 1.50our betNo2.50 → 2.45
1.501.752.002.252.5018 hno data25 Oct26 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.49No 2.45Yes 1.50

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.50+0.012.45−0.05
25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h
We published both teams score at 1.49
1.49opened2.50opened
8 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 3 chose other bets: a Chelsea win and a total-goals bet.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:37 UTC

Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge this autumn: in three home games both teams scored every time, every one went over 2.5 goals, and the average was 3.7 goals of their own against two conceded. Manchester United have not kept their goal intact in four away trips either, and they found the net in three of them. The market gives an exchange of goals a 63% chance, and the previous meetings back that up: 1-1 in November 2024, a 4-3 home win in April of the same year, and a 2-1 win for the away side in September 2025.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is at the other end. Manchester United have only three goals in their last five matches, averaging one per away game, and in a quarter of those trips they failed to score at all. Sixteenth place and a run without a win could push the visitors into a cautious game with a deep defensive line, and then all the goals come at one end. We're still backing both teams to score at odds of 1.49.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Chelsea
Recent matches: Chelsea
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Tottenham HotspurH0:2xG 0.6–0.8L
17.10EvertonA2:0xG 1.6–0.5W
10.10BournemouthH5:1xG 1.1–1.4W
18.09BrentfordA0:3xG 0.8–2.6L
12.09Hull CityH2:2D
09.09Leeds UnitedEFL CupH6:3W
Manchester United
Recent matches: Manchester United
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10BournemouthH0:3xG 1.0–2.2L
21.10ComoChampions LeagueA1:4xG 1.1–2.2L
18.10Leeds UnitedA1:1xG 0.9–1.5D
13.10Atlético MadridChampions LeagueA0:2xG 1.0–1.5L
10.10Tottenham HotspurH1:1xG 0.8–1.6D
20.09FulhamA1:1xG 1.6–1.6D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstChelseaManchester UnitedEPL
goals2.1 / 1.91.3 / 1.61.4
xG1.2 / 1.41.6 / 1.51.4
shots13.4 / 12.819.4 / 10.913.6
shots on target5.4 / 5.65 / 4.44.3
corners5.6 / 5.56 / 3.64.7
fouls9.9 / 1210 / 12.111.6
yellow cards2.1 / 32 / 2.42
matches over 2.575%38%
both scored63%63%
clean sheets13%0%
failed to score25%38%
home / away
goals2.8 / 21 / 1.5
average total4.82.5
matches over 2.575%25%
both scored75%75%
  • Chelsea score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.4
  • Manchester United shoot more often than the league average: 19.4 shots vs 13.6
  • Manchester United without a win in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Chelsea, away games only for Manchester United

Head to head

last 10

2–4–4Chelsea wins · draws · Manchester United wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Chelsea vs Manchester United0:118.04.26
Manchester United vs Chelsea2:120.09.25
Chelsea vs Manchester United1:016.05.25
Manchester United vs Chelsea1:103.11.24
Chelsea vs Manchester United4:304.04.24
Manchester United vs Chelsea2:106.12.23
Manchester United vs Chelsea4:125.05.23
Chelsea vs Manchester United1:122.10.22
Manchester United vs Chelsea1:128.04.22
Chelsea vs Manchester United1:128.11.21
  • both scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
4Liverpool84-3-111–815DWLWW
5Chelsea84-1-317–1513DLWWL
6Brentford82-5-114–911DWDLD
15Fulham82-2-48–108DDLWW
16Manchester United81-4-310–137LDDDL
17Crystal Palace82-1-59–197LDWLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Chelsea
  • 0-1570
  • 16-3003
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6033
  • 61-7551
  • 76-9024
Manchester United
  • 0-1500
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6013
  • 61-7540
  • 76-9034

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Premier League fixtures
15:00Manchester City–Brighton & Hove AlbionOur pick:O 2.51.4510 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.67X 4.242 4.4615:00Bournemouth–Leeds UnitedOur pick:12.1712 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 2.15X 3.382 3.3615:00Coventry City–SunderlandOur pick:BTTS1.688 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.97X 3.372 2.35